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Economy

Fidelity Bank investors earn 406% gain in 5 years

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Investors in Fidelity Bank Plc earned about 406 per cent in capital gains over the past five years, ranking above other major return benchmarks at the Nigerian stock market and the banking sector.

Trading reports covering May 31, 2019 to May 31, 2024 showed that its share price rose by 405.95 per cent, an average annual capital gain of 81.19 per cent. These returns underscore Fidelity Bank’s immense value as a stock for all times, helping investors to hedge against inflation while preserving significant long-term value.

Comparative analysis showed that Fidelity Bank outperformed all other major market indices with the bank’s average annual return for the period twice the average return by the overall market and almost four times of average return in the banking sector.

The All Share Index (ASI) – the common, value-based index that tracks all share prices at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), which is widely regarded as Nigeria’s benchmark for the equities market, recorded a five-year return of 215.83 per cent, an average annual return of 43.17 per cent.

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Contrary to the significantly above average performance of Fidelity Bank, the NGX Banking Index-which tracks the banking sector, doubled by 118.92 per cent over the five-year period, representing average annual return of 23.78 per cent, more than 57.4 percentage points below the bank’s average return.

Two other major price indices – the NGX 30 Index and NGX Main Board Index – recorded five-year cumulative returns of 182.38 per cent and 263.18 per cent, representing average annual gain of 36.48 per cent and 52.64 per cent respectively.

The NGX 30 Index tracks share prices of the 30 largest companies at the stock market while the NGX Main Board Index represents the largest and most diversified group of listed companies at the stock exchange. Fidelity Bank is quoted on the main board, like most other major banks and companies at the stock market.

The average annual return of 81.2 per cent underlines that Fidelity Bank provides substantial return for investors, even where such investors had borrowed money at the ruling interest rate and the invested fund was adjusted for impact of inflation rate.

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Nigeria’s inflation rate peaked at a high of 33.69 per cent in April 2024 while the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) recently increased the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), otherwise known as benchmark interest rate, to 26.25 per cent.

Fidelity Bank’s share price, which closed May 31, 2019 at N1.68 per share, rose successively to N8.50 per share by the end of May 2024. The ASI had, during the period, risen from its opening index of 31,069.37 points to close weekend at 98,125.73 points.

The NGX Banking Index rose from 361.57 points to 791.54 points. The NGX 30 Index, which opened the period at 1,286.68 points, closed the period at 3,633.28 points. The NGX Main Board Index appreciated from 1,267.54 points to close at 4,603.49 points.

Market analysts are unanimous that share prices are illustrative of the fundamental values of quoted companies. Managing Director, HighCap Securities Limited, Mr. David Adnori, said the price of any stock in the market is a correct reflection of the market value for the stock.

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Five-year review of the audited reports and accounts of Fidelity Bank showed strong correlation between the bank’s upwardly share pricing trend and expansive growth in its business operations. Pre-tax profit rose from N30.35 billion in 2019 to N124.26 billion in 2023, an increase of 309.4 per cent.

Net profit after tax also grew by 203.3 per cent from N42.80 billion in 2019 to N129.80 billion in 2023. Earnings per share has risen successively from 98 kobo in 2019 to N3.11 per share in 2023. Book balance expanded by 195.26 per cent from N2.11 trillion in 2019 to N6.23 trillion in 2023, within the fastest growth in the industry.

Customers’ deposits, which underlines the competitive market share, more than tripled from N1.225 trillion in 2019 to N4.01 trillion in 2023, an increase of 227.35 per cent. Shareholders’ funds had also grown from N234.03 billion to N437.31 billion.

Independent investment research reports by many market pundits showed that Fidelity Bank was assigned a “buy” ticker, a recommendation to investors to consider its potential attractive returns. The reports were based on the bank’s historical and current operational performances, and clear-sighted implementation of its growth plan.

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The reports also considered the quality of board and management and the general human capital and resources of the bank. The investment advisory reports included those of Afrinvest Group, FSDH Capital and CardinalStone among others.

Analysts say Fidelity Bank’s share price could double in the period ahead given professional assessment of top traditional performance parameters including the company’s operational reports, investors’ preference and projections.

The interim report and account for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024 showed that the bank started the current business year on stronger footing with three-digit growths across key performance indicators.

The three-month report, released at the NGX, confirmed gross earnings increased by 89.9 per cent to N192.1 billion in Q1 2024. Top-line performance continued to be driven by broad-based growth across income lines with interest income rising by 90.7 per cent and non-interest income growing by 84 per cent in Q1 2024.

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Growth in interest income was spurred by a higher yield environment and strong earning assets base, while the increase in non-interest income was led by double-digit growth in account maintenance charges, foreign exchange (forex)-related income, trade, banking services, remittances, and increased customer transactions.

Profit before tax doubled by 120 per cent to N39.5 billion in Q1 2024 as against N17.9 billion in Q1 2023. The performance was also driven by expanding market share with total deposits rising by 17 per cent within the three months to N4.7 trillion, compared with N4 trillion recorded at the end of 2023.

The leading financial institution also increased its support for national economic growth with net loans and advances rising by 21 per cent from N3.1 trillion at the end of 2023 to N3.7 trillion by March 2024.

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Economy

CHECK Exchange Rate As Naira Weakens More In Parallel Market

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Naira has continued its downward slide in the parallel market on Thursday, exchanging at N1,621/$1, a depreciation from N1,580/$1 recorded just a day earlier on Wednesday.

This represents a N41 decline in 24 hours, deepening concerns among traders and economic watchers about sustained volatility in the FX market.

While the official exchange rate stood at N1,644.00/$1 on Wednesday, according to figures published on the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) website, there was no updated official rate published by the CBN several hours after the market close on Thursday.

Meanwhile, market participants at Wuse Zone 4 in Abuja attributed the persistent depreciation to a resurgence in speculative activities, unmet demand from importers, and lingering confidence issues in the foreign exchange market.

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Alhaji Aminu Gwadabe, President of the Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), attributed the ongoing volatility in the forex market to a mix of local and global uncertainties. In a message sent to Nairametrics, he stated:

“The volatility, fears, happenings, and shocks in both the local and international markets called for disdain.

President Trump’s tariff announcements have sent markets into panic, loss of confidence, revenue losses, and budget reviews.”

He added that despite ongoing interventions by the CBN, instability persists.

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“As usual, the CBN, being a catalytic actor, must continue to ensure stability through timely interventions. However, volatility remains a challenge and needs to be more comprehensively addressed,” Gwadabe said.

He further called for an expanded policy transmission mechanism to better serve the retail end of the FX market.

“It is therefore necessary for the CBN to reevaluate the efficacy of that Policy transmission mechanisms and expand its scope to the BDCs retail segment of the market to cater for the needs of the critical retail needs of invisible transactions where the BDCs pose the most potent tool of the CBN policy transmission mechanism.”

Dr. Muda Yusuf, CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), also linked the naira’s recent struggles to global developments and speculative pressures.

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“This is not unconnected to recent policy signals from President Trump and global oil price movements. The market is heavily information-driven, and speculative pressure has spiked following the tariff announcements,” Yusuf explained.

“Now that Trump appears to be having second thoughts, we might even see a bit of a breather in the FX market,” he added.

Meanwhile, traders on the ground say the situation is being worsened by the uncertainty surrounding ongoing government reforms and inconsistent access to official FX windows.

“The demand today was unusually high, especially from small businesses that can’t access the banks. It’s putting pressure on our supply,” a trader at Abuja’s Wuse Zone 4, who asked not to be named stated.

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The spread between the official exchange rate of N1,644/$1 and the parallel market rate of N1,621/$1 narrowed slightly on Thursday, a sign that some convergence may be taking place, despite persistent volatility.

Market analysts warn that unless the CBN resumes consistent interventions or significantly boosts FX liquidity, the naira may continue to face downward pressure in the weeks ahead

The continued slide of the naira, despite heightened CBN interventions, signals persistent challenges in Nigeria’s FX liquidity and structural demand-supply mismatch.

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Asian stocks jump as Trump postpones painful tariffs

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Stocks rocketed Thursday as a relief rally spread through markets after Donald Trump paused crippling tariffs on US partners, with Chinese markets even brushing off his decision to ramp up duties on Beijing to 125 percent.

The across-the-board gains tracked a blistering performance on Wall Street as the US president said he would delay for 90 days measures announced last week that set off a firestorm on trading floors and sparked global recession fears.

Trump said he would keep in place a basic levy of 10 percent on dozens of countries but upped the ante in his brutal trade war with superpower rival China by hitting it even harder after it retaliated.

China’s own 84 percent retaliatory measures kicked in at 0401 GMT Thursday, later saying that US tariffs would “severely impact the stability of the global economic order”.

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Trump made the decision because he said investors were “jumping a little bit out of line” as markets collapsed and US Treasuries — considered the safest option in times of crisis — were also showing signs of cracking on concerns about the world’s top economy.

People “were getting yippy, a little bit afraid”, he added, referring to a term in sports to describe a loss of nerves.

The extra tariffs on Beijing, however, were “based on the lack of respect that China has shown to the world’s markets”, Trump said.

The president denied he had made a U-turn, telling reporters that “you have to be flexible”.

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And his top trade advisor, Peter Navarro, said, “This will go down in American history as the greatest trade negotiating day we have ever had.

“We’re in a beautiful position for the next 90 days, we’ve got over 75 countries that are going to come in and negotiate with us and what they’re going to have to do, without fail, is they’re going to have to lower their non-tariff barriers.”

Trump’s shock announcement on his Truth Social network sparked a buying frenzy as Asian and European investors chased beaten-down stocks.

“Asia markets are flipping the switch — from fear to euphoria — as Trump throws a 90-day lifeline, pausing the reciprocal tariff barrage,” said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management.

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“The president’s post nodded to the ‘yippy’ reaction to his historic hikes, and honestly, that sums it up.

“We just witnessed one of the all-time bouncebacks — and now, we look for Asia investors, much like their North American counterparts, to step in and buy the ‘yips’.”

Hong Kong rallied more than two percent — a third day of gains after collapsing more than 13 percent on Monday in its worst day since 1997 during the Asian financial crisis. Shanghai gained more than one percent.

The two markets have been given extra support by optimism that China will unveil fresh stimulus to support its economy in light of the tariff measures. Official data showing another drop in consumer prices last month added to those hopes.

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– ‘Fear to euphoria’ –

Tokyo’s Nikkei surged more than nine percent, while Taipei’s 9.3 percent gain was its best rise on record — after Monday’s 9.7 percent drop represented its worst fall.

Seoul, Singapore, Jakarta, Sydney, Saigon and Bangkok climbed between four and 6.6 percent. Manila and Wellington were also well in the positive territory.

London, Paris and Frankfurt soared at the open.

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Tech firms were the standout performers, with Sony, Sharp, Panasonic and SoftBank chalking up double-digit gains, while airlines, car makers and casinos also enjoyed strong buying.

Apple suppliers posted strong rallies — Hong Kong-listed AAC Technologies surged 5.6 percent and in Taiwan, Hon Hai added almost 10 percent.

Gold surged almost three percent to around $3,120 — around $50 short of its record touched last month — thanks to the weaker dollar and as the uncertainty saw investors rush into the safe haven.

Chihiro Ota, at SMBC Nikko Securities, said: “What happens now? If the US takes a hardline stance (in negotiations), then the market would be disappointed. If it turns out that they can engage in talks, then it may create a room for (an upswing).”

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US Treasury yields also edged down after a successful auction of $38 billion in notes, said Briefing.com.

That eased pressure on the bond market, which had fanned worries that investors were losing confidence in the United States.

However, observers warn that the China-US standoff could be another step towards a disengagement from the world’s top two economies.

“The escalation of the trade war between the US and China suggests that a full trade decoupling is increasingly likely,” said Mali Chivakul, emerging markets economist at J. Safra Sarasin bank.

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“Even if we may see a de-escalation later, a decoupling could still be the result.”

Trump’s trade war is also causing a headache for the US Federal Reserve as it weighs whether to cut interest rates to protect the economy, or keep them elevated to ward off the inflation many say tariffs will fuel.

Minutes from its March meeting, released Wednesday, showed members felt they “may face difficult tradeoffs if inflation proved to be more persistent while the outlook for growth and employment weakened”.

Oil prices edged down after bouncing more than four percent Wednesday, though they remain under pressure amid concerns about the global economy and its impact on demand.

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– Key figures around 0715 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: 9.1 percent at 34,609.00 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.7 percent at 20,804.08

Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.2 percent at 3,223.64 (close)

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London – FTSE 100: UP 6.1 percent at 8,145.26

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 147.05 yen from 147.82 yen on Wednesday

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0968 from $1.0948

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2875 from $1.2810

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Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.20 pence from 85.45 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.6 percent at $62.00 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.7 percent at $65.04 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 7.9 percent at 40,608.45 (close)

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Economy

Mobile Money transactions hit $1.68trn in one year

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Mobile money platforms processed about 108 billion transactions valued at $1.68 trillion in 2024, according to GSMA’s ‘State of the Industry Report on Mobile Money 2025’ report released Tuesday.

GSMA’s mobile money programme works to advance the mobile money ecosystem of communities that lack access to more traditional banking services. The global body for telecom operators stated that mobile money transaction volumes increased by 20 percent year-on-year, while transaction values grew by 16 percent, up from a 13 percent increase in 2023.

“Transaction volumes and values for mobile money accounts experienced robust double-digit growth in 2024. Approximately 108 billion transactions, totalling over $1.68 trillion, were processed through mobile money accounts in 2024,” the report said.

Vivek Badrinath, director general of GSMA, said mobile money has emerged as a powerful driver of financial inclusion and economic growth. “Its continued success depends on supportive regulatory environments that promote innovation, accessibility, and help unlock the full socio-economic potential.

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“To ensure mobile money remains accessible, affordable, and safe, it is vital for governments and regulators to work with financial service providers to support financial literacy programs, empowering underserved populations and opening new opportunities for financial decision-making,” he said.

The report stated that the GDP of countries with mobile money services increased by approximately $720 billion by 2023, reflecting a 1.7 percent increase. In Sub-Saharan Africa, mobile money added about $190 billion to GDP in the same year.

“The region remains the leader in mobile money, with active accounts increasing notably in East and West Africa. East Africa was highlighted for its growth in active accounts in 2024, followed by Southeast Asia and West Africa. Countries in East Asia-Pacific, including Cambodia, Fiji, the Philippines, and Vietnam, also demonstrated growth, attributed to favorable regulatory conditions.”

GSMA noted that mobile money providers in East Asia-Pacific have evolved to offer comprehensive financial services, with 44 percent providing credit services by June 2024. However, challenges persist, particularly for women, as eight of the 12 surveyed countries reported disparities in mobile money ownership based on gender.

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“Nearly 60 percent of mobile money providers are addressing these gaps by implementing digital literacy initiatives,” the report said.

Mobile money reached two significant milestones in 2024, surpassing two billion registered accounts and over half a billion active monthly users across the globe. The industry took 18 years to achieve one billion registered accounts and 250 million active users from 2001, but this has doubled in the last five years.

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