Economy
Crude supply drags as NNPC slows modular refineries’ approval
Operators of modular refineries are facing a major setback as they encounter resistance from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) in a bid to secure alternative crude oil supplies.
Nigeria’s position as Africa’s biggest oil producer should logically confer the benefits of ample supply to its local refiners. However, the reality is starkly different.
Leaked memos and extensive interviews with industry insiders showed the state-owned company is foot-dragging on approvals for modular refineries to seek alternative crude oil supplies.
Modular refineries are simplified refineries with significantly less capital investment than traditionally full-scale refineries.
Insiders said the red tape is a death knell for modular refineries struggling to survive amid funding drought, as foreign investors withhold their money due to a lack of guaranteed crude oil supply.
A leaked memo seen by BusinessDay showed AIPCC Energy Limited, owners and operators of the Edo Refinery and Petrochemicals Company Limited (ERPCL), has faced significant operational hurdles due to the persistent lack of crude oil supply despite being a fully functional 1,000 barrels per stream day crude oil refinery located in Ologbo, Edo State.
The company has existing crude oil supply agreements with Seplat and ND Western since 2022, but bureaucratic bottlenecks have prevented the refinery from accessing the much-needed resource.
ERPCL’s letter addressed to Mele Kyari, group chief executive officer of NNPC, alleged the company has been in constant communication, sending letters and having meetings with the NNPC since 2021.
“On 18th August 2021, our team led by our chairman, met with you and your top management team to discuss our intention to buy crude oil from NNPC and we immediately wrote to the NNPC, seeking crude supply,” the letter dated 22 July 2024 said.
It added, “In July 2022, the representatives of NNPC (from HQ Abuja and NPDC Benin) visited our facility for site inspection and to confirm the mechanical completion of the Edo refinery. In September 2022, we were invited for a commercial negotiation meeting with the NNPC Head of terms, after which we sent a follow-up letter identifying the oil fields from which we can offtake crude oil.
“In March 2022, we also wrote to the Ministry of Petroleum Resources, informing it of our refinery status, future projects and our challenges of lack of crude oil supply to our refinery. We had also written to and had a meeting with the NNPC Exploration and Production Limited (NEPL) between November 2022 and March 2023, indicating our severe need for crude oil supply from oil fields where NEPL has equity stakes.”
ERPCL noted that despite these correspondences and communications with NNPC over the past three years on the issues of crude oil supply, it has succeeded.
ERPCL also has a Crude Oil Supply Agreement with ND Western to lift crude oil from the Ughelli Pumping Station (UPS) owned by NEPL and operated by Shoreline.
“We have held several meetings with Shoreline and Heritage Oil and indicated our readiness to make modifications needed to offtake crude oil from the UPS but no progress has been made till date,” ERPCL.
The owners of ERPCL seek Kyari intervention as group CEO of NNPC for NUIMS to give occurrence to the Seplat-ERPCL agreement to enable Edo refinery to start lifting crude oil from Oil Mining License 53.
They also want Kyari’s intervention for NEPL and shoreline to allow Edo refinery to start lifting ND Western’s crude oil from the Ughelli pumping station.
Nigeria currently boasts 25 licensed modular refineries. Five are operational, producing diesel, kerosene, black oil, and naphtha.
OPAC and Aradel have the highest capacities among the five working refineries at 11,000 and 10,000 bpd respectively, while Duport has the lowest at 2,500 bpd. Edo Refinery and Waltersmith fall in between, with capacities of 1,000 and 5,000 bpd, respectively.
About 10 are in various stages of completion, while the others have only received licences to establish. The rest remains stalled due to the unavailability of crude and other issues.
The CEO of another modular refinery, who pleaded anonymity, stated that modular operators had raised concerns severally in the past that some mafias in the oil sector were bent on stopping in-country refining of crude oil for the production of Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol but received no positive feedback, stressing that the chairman of Dangote Petroleum Refinery just re-echoed it last month.
“No modular refinery has received a barrel from NNPC despite engagement since 2020,” he said.
Eche Idoko, the publicity secretary of Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN), advised the federal government to treat indigenous refiners right, given that foreign investments are no longer flowing into the sector.
“In the last eight years, no major foreign investments had been recorded,” Idoko said.
He noted that five CORAN members have completed their refineries.
“The others are having a major challenge. This challenge is that the people who are supposed to finance them have not disbursed financing for construction because they want some level of guarantee,” he said.
“A guarantee that if they finish the refinery, they are going to get feedstock, which, of course, is crude oil,” Idoko said.
Industry experts say the economic impact of this inadequate supply is profound.
BusinessDay findings showed that agriculture and manufacturing, which depend heavily on diesel and other refined products, suffer from high operational costs due to exorbitant fuel prices.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported a 20 percent increase in food prices over the past year, a trend directly linked to high diesel costs driven by insufficient local refining capacity.
Moreover, the high cost of diesel, which peaked at N1,800 per litre early this year, places a heavy burden on logistics and transportation, further driving up the cost of goods and services. The coming of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery forced the price to N1,200/litre in April.
Last Monday, the Federal Executive Council (FCE) approved a proposal by President Bola Tinubu directing the NNPC to sell crude oil to Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other modular refineries in naira.
Idoko believes this move will boost domestic refining capacity and ultimately reduce fuel prices for consumers. However, he emphasised the need for concrete actions to back up the announcement.
“Regulatory bodies need to provide detailed guidelines for the policy’s implementation,” Idoko said.
Credit: BusinessDay
Economy
Dangote Refinery, NNPCL resume fight over $1bn loan
Dangote Group, owners of Dangote Refinery, and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, have clashed over a $1 billion crude oil-backed loan.
Recall that barely 24 hours ago, in a statement credited to NNPCL spokesperson Olufemi Soneye, the state-owned oil firm said it secured a $1 billion loan backed by crude to support the Dangote Refinery during liquidity challenges.
However, Dangote Group spokesperson, Anthony Chijiena, has described NNPCL’s claim as ‘misinformation’.
The company clarified that the $1 billion crude backed loan is about five percent of the total investment that went into building the 650,000 barrels per day refinery.
According to him, it is inaccurate to say NNPCL facilitated $1 billion for Dangote Refinery amid liquidity challenges.
Chijiena explained that NNPCL had proposed a 20 percent stake investment valued at $2.76 billion in the Dangote Refinery, but that didn’t materialise.
He noted that NNPCL was able to invest $1 billion, which amounts to 7.24 percent equity value.
“Our decision to enter into a partnership with NNPCL was based on recognition of their strategic position in the industry as the largest offtaker of Nigerian crude and, at the time, the sole supplier of gasoline into Nigeria.
“We agreed on the sale of a 20 percent stake at a value of $2.76 billion. Of this, we agreed that they will only pay $1 billion while the balance will be recovered over a period of 5 years through deductions on crude oil that they supply to us and from dividends due to them.
“If we were struggling with liquidity challenges, we wouldn’t have given them such generous payment terms.
“As of 2021, when the agreement was signed, the refinery was at the pre-commission stage. In addition, if we were struggling with liquidity issues, this agreement would have been cash-based rather than credit-driven.
“Unfortunately, NNPCL was later unable to supply the agreed 300 thousand barrels a day of crude, given that they had committed a greater part of their crude cargoes to financiers with the expectation of higher production, which they were unable to achieve.
“We subsequently gave them a 12-month period for them to pay cash for the balance of their equity given their
inability to supply the agreed crude oil volume.
“NNPCL failed to meet this deadline, which expired on June 30th, 2024. As a result, their equity share was revised down to 7.24 percent. These events have been widely reported by both parties.
“It is, therefore, inaccurate to claim that NNPCL facilitated a $1 billion investment amid liquidity challenges.
“Like all business partners, NNPCL invested $1 billion in the refinery to acquire an ownership stake of 7.24 percent. That is beneficial to its interests,” the Dangote Group statement said.
Economy
Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics Website Hacked
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday announced that its official website has been hacked.
The bureau disclosed this on its X handle.
The NBS announced that it is currently working to recover the website and urged the public to disregard any messages or reports posted on the site until it is fully restored.
“This is to inform the public that the NBS Website has been hacked and we are working to recover it. Please disregard any message or report posted until the website is fully restored. Thank you,” the NBS said.
The NBS is the principal agency responsible for the collection, analysis, and dissemination of statistical data in Nigeria.
The statistics office has recently published several key reports such as the Nigerian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Report Q3 2024, which provides an update on Nigeria’s economic growth and performance, the Nigeria Labour Force Survey (NLFS) report for Q2 2024, which offers insights into Nigeria’s labor market, including employment and unemployment rates and the Consumer Price Index November 2024, which provides the latest information on Nigeria’s inflation rate, among others.
In November, the NBS said Nigeria’s GDP grew by 3.46 per cent year-on-year in real terms in the third quarter of 2024.
The NBS said this growth rate is higher than the 2.54 per cent recorded in the third quarter of 2023 and higher than the second quarter of 2024 growth of 3.19 per cent.
On Monday, the NBS said Nigeria’s annual inflation rate rose to 34.60 per cent in November from 33.88 per cent in October.
This marks a continuation of the upward trend observed in September, when the nation recorded a reversal of a two-month decline.
Economy
UK inflation rises further ahead of Bank of England rates decision
UK inflation climbed to 2.6% in November, up from 2.3% in October, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
The rise matches market expectations and comes as the Bank of England prepares for its upcoming decision on interest rates later this week.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, also increased to 3.5% from 3.3% in October. However, this was slightly below the anticipated figure of 3.6%. Services inflation, closely watched by the Bank of England for signs of domestic price pressures, remained steady at 5%, slightly below market expectations of 5.1%.
Earlier this year, falling inflation allowed the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to lower interest rates in August and November. The headline rate dropped to 1.7% in September but has since been pushed higher by rising energy costs and persistent services inflation.
Despite the recent uptick, the Bank of England is widely expected to keep interest rates on hold at its meeting this week. Markets remain divided on whether a rate cut will come at the February meeting.
Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, highlighted the challenges ahead. “While risks to this base case are tilted towards a more dovish outcome, given increasing signs of overall economic momentum stalling, policymakers will be rapidly seeking convincing signs of disinflationary progress being made, as the economic cocktail facing UK Plc. increasingly becomes a stagflationary one,” he said.
The inflation figures follow Tuesday’s data showing stronger-than-expected wage growth. Average earnings, including bonuses, rose by 5.2%, exceeding the 4.6% forecast and October’s figure of 4.4%.
Chancellor to the Exchequer Rachel Reeves acknowledged the ongoing struggles faced by households. “I know families are still struggling with the cost of living and today’s figures are a reminder that for too long the economy has not worked for working people,” she said.
Reeves outlined recent measures aimed at supporting workers, including no increases to national insurance, income tax, or VAT, as well as boosting the national living wage by £1,400 and freezing fuel duty. “Since we arrived, real wages have grown at their fastest in three years. That’s an extra £20 a week after inflation. But I know there is more to do. I want working people to be better off, which is what our Plan for Change will deliver,” she added.
Inflation is expected to rise further in the coming year as the UK continues to take a more gradual approach to easing monetary policy compared to other developed central banks.
-
News19 hours ago
Gov Adeleke Speaks On Death Sentence For Chicken Thief
-
News15 hours ago
Netizens Slam Lawmakers As They Sing Tinubu’s Anthem At Budget Presentation
-
News12 hours ago
Finally, PDP Flushes Out Suspended National Vice Chairman, Ali Odefa
-
News19 hours ago
Delta Assembly pardons two suspended members
-
News19 hours ago
Just in: CBN Imposes N100k Bar on PoS, Issues Warning to Operators
-
News8 hours ago
Reps Call for Revival of NAPAC to Boost Transparency, Accountability
-
News19 hours ago
Heavy Security Presence at National Assembly as President Tinubu Presents 2025 Budget
-
News8 hours ago
Reps Recommends Delisting NECO, UI, Labour Ministry, 21 Others From 2025 Budget