By Gloria Ikibah
The House of Representatives has adopted the projected oil benchmark prices at $75, $76.2, and $75.3 per barrel for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
This according to Chairman House committees on Finance and National Planning, and Economic Development, Rep. James Faleke, is aimed at providing a stable foundation for the country’s budget and economic planning.
The report also projects a significant increase in domestic crude oil production.
The projected production levels are 2.06, 2.10, and 2.35 million barrels per day for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
Other key projections include a GDP growth rate of 4.6%, 4.4%, and 5.5% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The projected exchange rate is NGN1400/USD for the same period. Inflation rates are projected at 15.75%, 14.21%, and 10.04% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
The 2025 Budget proposes spending of NGN47.9 trillion, with NGN34.82 trillion retained and new borrowings of NGN9.22 trillion.
Debt service is valued at NGN15.38 trillion, while pensions, gratuities, and retirees’ benefits stand at NGN1.443 trillion.
The report also highlights concerns over the non-remittance of operating surpluses into the Federation Account by the NNPC, as well as the failure of some revenue-generating agencies to comply with the Fiscal Responsibility Act.
“The three-year projections for domestic crude oil production had a significant increase from 1.78mbpd in the preceding year to 2.06, 2.10 and 2.35 for the subsequent years of 2025, 2026 and 2027.
“Some critical Agencies such as NNPC, NLNG, Immigration Services and others that are relevant to the attainment of set revenue targets engage in Public Private Partnership and Joint Venture
Arrangements that are inimical to the revenue growth of the Country.
“Historical non-remittance of operating surpluses into the Federation Account by the NNPCL due to what it called under recovery with the claim that the federating units owed it the sum of Ten Trillion Naira.
“The GDP growth rate is projected at 4.6%, 4.4% and 5.5% for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 respectively. The projected exchange rate which stands at NGN1400/USD for years 2025, 2026 and 2027.
“Inflation rates projections are 15.75%, 14.21% and 10.04% for 2025, 2026 and 2027; following the criteria in the overview of the framework for revenues and expenses, the 2025 FGN Budget proposed spending stands at NGN47.9 trillion, of which NGN34.82 trillion was retained. New borrowings stood at NGN9.22 trillion which constitutes both domestic and foreign borrowings.
“Debt service was valued at NGN15.38 trillion; pensions, gratuities and retirees’ benefits stood at NGN1.443 trillion and fiscal deficit at NGN13.08 trillion.
“Capital expenditure is projected at NGN16.48 trillion which is exclusive of transfers; statutory transfers stand at NGN4.26 trillion; Sinking Fund is projected at NGN430.27 billion.
‘Total recurrent (non-debt) is projected at NGN14.21 trillion; special intervention for recurrent and capital is pegged at NGN200 billion and NGN7 billion respectively.
“That the existing liabilities and debt obligations are largely responsible for increasing debt profile of the Country.
“Most revenue generating agencies violate the Fiscal Responsibility Act due to the lack of punitive provisions in the Act. Noncompliance with the Nigerian Export Supervision Scheme (NESS) Act by relevant government agencies, specifically focusing on the inspection and monitoring of oil and gas exports as well as non-oil exports.
The committees findings also Identified systemic gaps and irregularities in the operations of the Import Duty Exemption Certificate (IDEC); and that the Federal Government Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs) as well as the Government Owned Enterprises (GOEs) are not complying with the financial reporting standards.
Among other recommendations, the House noted: That the National Assembly, through its Committees on Finance, National Planning and other relevant Committees should carry out in-depth investigation of such agreements by the NNPC, NLNG and Immigration Services with a view to reconcile remittances to the Federation Account.
It added that the Committees on Finance,Petroleum Upstream, and Petroleum Downstream are tasked to
investigate reports from the Revenue Mobilization, Allocation, and Fiscal Responsibility Commission alleging that the NNPC withheld ₦8.48 trillion as claimed subsidies for petrol.
Additionally, the investigation will address the NEITI report stating that NNPC failed to remit $2 billion (₦3.6 trillion) in taxes to the Federal Government.
The committees are further directed to
verify the total cumulative amount of unremitted revenue (under-recovery) from the sale of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) by the NNPC between 2020 and 2023.
That the GDP growth rate which is projected at 4.6%, 4.4% and 5.5% for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 respectively be approved ; and that the projected exchange rate which stands at NGN1400/USD for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 be approved subject however to review in early 2025 according to monetary and fiscal policies.
The House further noted that the Inflation rates projections which are 15.75%, 14.21% and 10.04% for 2025, 2026 and 2027, be approved.
That the following the criteria in the overview of the framework for revenues and expenses, the 2025 Federal Government of NigeriaBudget proposed spending stands at NGN47.9 trillion, of which NGN34.82 trillion was retained; new borrowings stood at NGN9.22 trillion which constitutes both domestic and foreign borrowings; debt service was valued at NGN15.38 trillion; pensions, gratuities and retirees’ benefits stood at NGN1.443 trillion and fiscal deficit at NGN13.08 trillion.
That the Capital expenditure is projected at NGN16.48 trillion which is exclusive of transfers statutory transfers stand at NGN4.26 trillion; Sinking Fund is projected at NGN430.27 billion; That the Committee approves the respective figures for total recurrent (non-debt) at NGN14.21 trillion; special intervention for recurrent and capital is at NGN200 billion and NGN7 billion; and that the National Assembly do approves the Promissory Note Programme and Bond Issuance to settle outstanding claims and liabilities of Federal Government owed to States, high priority judgments as well as liabilities incurred by Federal Ministries, Department and Agencies on behalf of Government.