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Why Nigeria’s population may hit 450 million by 2050 – Experts warns
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By Francesca Hangeior
Nigeria’s population may rise to 450 million in 2050 if urgent action is not taken to address the growing population, family planning experts have said.
The experts expressed their concerns at a media roundtable on Tuesday ahead of the eighth Nigeria Family Planning Conference organised by the Association for the Advancement of Family Planning in collaboration with the Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, and other family planning stakeholders in Abuja.
In his opening remarks, the Chairman of the Management Committee, AAFP, and Chairman of the Local Organising Committee for the conference, Dr Ejike Oji, said Nigeria’s fertility rate was high and there was a need to reduce the rate to four per cent.
Ejike, who is also the Nigeria CSO Focal Point FP 2030 stated, “If we continue with the same fertility rate that we have now, our population is going to be driven to 450 million by 2050.
“If we do not bring down our fertility rates, by the year 2050, we will be 450 million, based on the percentage increase every year. Every year, we add about four million people to our population. So if you look at that, you know that it’s going to be a lot of problems for us.”
He further noted, “Remember that the increase is geometric. It’s not that it will stop at four million because there’s a percentage driving it. It’s four million this year; next year, it might be 4.2 million; the following year, it might be 4.5 million; it may get to a point where it might be five million or 10 million every year.”
The gynaecologist referenced China and India, the world’s two most populous countries, as models for managing population growth.
“About 50 years ago, China and India were among the poorest nations. However, today, China is the second-largest economy in the world, and India is rapidly growing.
“Both countries achieved this by lowering their fertility rates and investing in their youth. Nigeria has that opportunity. If we miss it now, if we don’t bring our fertility rate down to four per cent, by the year 2030, we’re going to be in serious trouble.”
Ejike stated that the fertility rate has, however, reduced from 5.3 per cent to 4.8 per cent.
The expert said the forthcoming conference, themed “Sustaining commitments for family planning within the Nigeria Health Sector Renewal Investment Initiative; advancing progress toward achieving FP2030 goals,” will reemphasise the importance of family planning.
Corroborating his statement, the Managing Director of FP 2030 North, West, Central Africa Hub, Dr Martin Migombano, said Nigeria’s population may hit 450 million by 2050 because of the size of the country.
“Also, 28.5 per cent of maternal mortality in the world happens in Nigeria. So there is still a lot that needs to be done by our partners, religious leaders, the government, financial partners who are donors, and others.
“They are all coming to the conference to pledge again and make sure that whatever investments are being made is going to the grassroots, where women actually should access family planning.
“But the key one is how can a woman get access to family planning? How about commodities? How about the education of the population? So, we need all the partners. It’s a collaborative way of working. And again, after two years, we’ll come and assess whether we have made progress again or not, or we are still stagnating,” he said.
A consultant at Amref International, Mrs Ifesinachi Eze said disruptions in family planning and reproductive health services in humanitarian settings leave women with unmet family planning needs, as the disruptions strain the health systems and require collaborative solutions.
“To address these issues, USAID’s Propel Adapt project is developing a private sector engagement guide for FP/RH supply chains in humanitarian settings.
“This guide, created in collaboration with FP2030, supports countries in rapidly assessing private sector capacities, fostering public-private collaborations, and strengthening FP/RH supply chains during emergencies,” she noted.
Eze stated that collaboration is key to maximising impact in the health sector as no organisation can achieve sustainable development alone.
“Governments and the private sector need to work together to create the regulatory frameworks, financial incentives, and infrastructure that allow the health sector to thrive,” she added.
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Tinubu Declares End to Neglect of FCT Satellite Towns as Karu Water Project Comes on Stream(Photos)
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu on Monday, declared that the era of neglect of satellite towns in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) is over, saying his administration remained committed to ensuring that basic infrastructure and public services reach communities long excluded from development.

Tinubu, represented by Vice President Kashim Shettima, made the declaration while commissioning the Water Supply Network to Karu Satellite Town and Environs in Kurudu Community along the Karu-Karshi Road, Abuja.
Describing access to clean water as a fundamental human right, the President said the project was a practical demonstration of the administration’s resolve to translate the Renewed Hope Agenda into tangible benefits for ordinary Nigerians.
“We are here not just to cut a ribbon, but to breathe life into a fundamental human right that has eluded this bustling community for far too long. Today, we declare that the era of neglect for our satellite towns is officially over,” Tinubu said.
He recalled that when the administration launched the Renewed Hope Agenda, it entered into what he described as a “sacred covenant” with Nigerians to ensure that governance delivers meaningful improvements in people’s lives.
According to him, the government was determined to move beyond policy pronouncements and provide critical infrastructure to underserved communities.
“When we launched the Renewed Hope Agenda, we promised that governance would no longer be a theoretical exercise confined to the boardrooms of city centres while our people in the periphery thirsted for basic amenities. We promised a government that listens, plans and delivers,” he said.
The President revealed that the Karu Water Supply Project was conceived following his directive that the Greater Abuja Water Supply Project should not be limited to the city centre but extended to satellite communities where a large proportion of the FCT’s working population resides.

He noted that the administration approved funding for the project without bureaucratic delays, enabling contractors, CGC Nigeria Limited, to complete the work ahead of schedule.
The project, he said, comprises more than 194 kilometres of secondary and tertiary pipeline networks designed to provide treated and potable water to residents of Karu, Orozo, Jikwoyi, Kurudu and neighbouring communities.
“To demonstrate our commitment, we did not allow the traditional shackles of bureaucratic delay to obstruct funding. Because we paid on time, the contractors worked on time. Today, ahead of schedule, we are commissioning over 194 kilometres of pipeline networks bringing safe and potable water directly to the doorsteps of our people,” he said.
Tinubu used the occasion to commend the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, for what he described as impactful leadership and efficient project execution.
“Leadership is not measured by the eloquence of television commentary or the bitterness of empty rhetoric. Leadership is measured by tangible, verifiable impact on the lives of ordinary citizens.
“What we are witnessing in the FCT today across transport, healthcare, education, housing, roads and now water infrastructure is a testament to what happens when vision meets executive capacity. Thank you, Mr Project, for your leadership,” he said.
The President observed that residents of Karu had, for decades, depended on boreholes and water vendors despite the rapid growth of the community, stressing that the project would improve public health, sanitation and economic productivity.
He also urged residents to protect the infrastructure from vandalism and illegal connections.
“This infrastructure belongs to you. It was built with your commonwealth and designed for your well-being. I urge you to safeguard these installations and treat this water as the precious resource that it is,” he added.
Earlier, Wike expressed appreciation to the President for supporting people-centred projects across the FCT, particularly in satellite communities that have historically suffered infrastructure deficits.
The minister said the Karu Water Supply Scheme was executed in direct response to Tinubu’s directive that critical infrastructure should extend beyond the city centre to communities on the outskirts of Abuja.
According to him, the FCT Administration remained committed to implementing projects and programmes that improve the quality of life of residents across the territory.
Also speaking, Minister of State for the FCT, Dr Mariya Mahmoud, described the project as a landmark achievement in the Federal Government’s commitment to improving living conditions through strategic infrastructure investment.
She said the water network fulfilled a long-standing aspiration of residents and reflected the practical impact of the Renewed Hope Agenda.
Mahmoud noted that the project would enhance public health, strengthen sanitation, stimulate economic activities and reduce the burden faced by families who have endured years of inadequate access to potable water.
She called on residents to take ownership of the facility to ensure its sustainability for future generations.
Providing an overview of the project, Executive Secretary of the Federal Capital Development Authority (FCDA), Richard Dauda, said the scheme was designed to improve access to potable water in Karu and surrounding communities.
According to him, the project utilised an existing reservoir and connected more than 1,000 distribution lines to serve Karu, Jikwoyi, Kurudu and adjoining settlements.
Dauda thanked President Tinubu for supporting what he described as a transformational intervention that would significantly improve the welfare of residents.
For years, residents of the Karu axis have relied heavily on private boreholes and water vendors, with community leaders repeatedly calling for the extension of municipal water services. The new network is expected to reduce dependence on unsafe water sources and lower water costs for households and businesses in one of Abuja’s fastest-growing satellite towns.
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110bn SUVs Procurement: Respect Separation of Powers, pro-democracy group warns critics of N’Assembly
A pro-democracy organisation, the Advocates of Social Justice for All (ASJA), has warned Civil Society Groups and critics of National Assembly over the controversial N110 billion reportedly spent on the procurement of official vehicles and support allowances for lawmakers in 2023, to stop undermining the institution of the Parliament.
A Federal High Court sitting in Lagos, had penultimate Wednesday, declared that the sum of N40bn used to procure 360 Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs) for Members of the House of Representatives, and 109 SUVs for Members of the Senate; and the sum of N70bn used for support allowances for the newly inaugurated Members of the 10th National Assembly, as appropriated for in the 2022 supplementary budget, did not meet the standard procurement laws.
Declaring the appropriation and expenditure of the total sum of N110bn by the National Assembly as “unlawful”, Justice Yellim Bogoro ordered the Senate President, Senator Godswill Akpabio, and Speaker of the House of Representatives, Hon. Tajudeen Abbas, “to ensure that all future procurements or expenditure of public funds by the National Assembly comply strictly with due process requirements and are also guided by the principles of transparency, accountability and value for money.”
Two weeks after the judgement, the Plaintiff in the matter, the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP), in a statement, insisted that Members of the National Assembly must refund the said N110bn to the Federal Government coffers.
But in a statement issued on Monday, ASJA questioned the recent judgment of the Court which reportedly declared the expenditure unlawful, arguing that the ruling raises significant constitutional issues concerning the operational autonomy of the legislature.
The statement signed by Dr. Torkuma Asongo, the Executive Director, the group maintained that the National Assembly, as an independent arm of government, possesses the constitutional authority to make budgetary provisions necessary for the effective discharge of its legislative responsibilities.
According to the group, the procurement of official vehicles for federal lawmakers should not be interpreted as an act of extravagance, but rather as a necessary measure to enable legislators effectively carry out oversight functions, constituency engagements, committee assignments, and other official duties across the country.
“The National Assembly remains one of the critical institutions of democracy, and its Members require adequate operational support to effectively discharge their constitutional mandate. Official vehicles for lawmakers should be regarded as essential tools for legislative work rather than luxury items,” the statement read.
The group also criticised the call by SERAP for the refund of the funds, describing the move as premature and potentially capable of generating unnecessary institutional tension.
It argued that, rather than exerting public pressure on the legislature, concerned parties should allow the judicial process to run its full course, including any appellate proceedings.
ASJA further emphasised the importance of upholding the doctrine of separation of powers, cautioning against actions that could undermine the independence and integrity of the legislature.
“The principle of separation of powers is fundamental to constitutional democracy. While accountability and transparency remain essential, care must be taken to ensure that the constitutional independence of the legislature is not eroded through undue interference or public sensationalism,” the group warned.
ASJA urged civil society organisations and other stakeholders to approach issues concerning the National Assembly with objectivity and restraint, noting that sustained efforts to delegitimise the parliament could weaken democratic institutions and diminish public confidence in governance.
The group therefore called for continued respect for the National Assembly as the country’s foremost representative institution, insisting that strengthening democratic institutions remains essential to Nigeria’s democratic consolidation.
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South Africa deploy security personnel nationwide ahead of anti-migrant deadline
South African police will beef up security nationwide ahead of a June 30 deadline set by fringe anti-illegal immigration groups for undocumented foreigners to leave, law enforcement authorities said on Monday.
The country, one of Africa’s largest and most industrialised economies, has been on edge following weeks of sometimes violent xenophobic unrest that has left at least two people dead.
Small but organised groups have issued an ultimatum for undocumented migrants to exit or face consequences, a demand with no legal force.
“The South African Police Service has elevated its operational readiness across all provinces, with comprehensive deployment plans in place to protect communities, critical infrastructure and key public spaces,” acting police minister Firoz Cachalia said.
He stressed the right to peaceful protest but warned: “Criminality, intimidation, violence, the destruction of property and any attempt to undermine public safety will not be tolerated”.
The military would secure strategic sites such as airports and stand ready to assist police if needed, said Defence Minister Angie Motshekga.
“Indeed, if, and I hope it is not going to reach that point, called upon by the police to support, we will, but basically ours is around the key points,” she said.
South Africa, a longstanding magnet for migrant labour, faces joblessness above 30 per cent and a history of periodic anti-foreigner violence, fuelled by claims migrants drive crime and steal jobs.
Past flare-ups have been deadly: 62 people were killed in 2008 riots, with further outbreaks in 2015 and 2016.
Violence in 2019 saw armed mobs descend on foreign-owned businesses around Johannesburg, leaving at least 12 people dead — 10 of them South African citizens.
The latest tensions come ahead of local government elections scheduled for November 4.
During the voter registration at the weekend, gunmen shot dead four people linked to political parties in separate incidents.
Two of those killed were affiliated with the opposition Umkhonto we Sizwe (MK) party, which is headed by ex-president Jacob Zuma, South Africa’s leader between 2009 and 2018.
The third, a Democratic Alliance ward candidate, was shot in the Western Cape, while an African National Congress ward councillor was killed in the Eastern Cape.
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