Economy
Nigeria’s debt stock surges to N142trn on weak naira

Nigeria’s public debt profile has yet again increased by N8.02 trillion to N142 trillion as of the end of September 30, 2024 driven by the depreciation of the naira that has continued to affect the country’s cost of external obligation.
According to data published by the Debt Management Office (DMO) on Tuesday, the spike represented a 5.97 percent increase from N134.3 trillion recorded in the second quarter of 2024.
The debt, comprising external and domestic obligations, reflects the significant impact of exchange rate depreciation on external borrowings when converted to naira terms.
With the exchange rate weakening from N1,470.19/$ in June to N1,601.03/$ by the end of September, Africa’s fourth largest economy has as much as N68.88 trillion ($43 billion) as its foreign debt, accounting for 48.4 percent of the total debt stock.
In naira terms, external debt surged by 9.22 percent, rising from N63.07 trillion to N68.89 trillion within the quarter.
A more cursory look at the data showed that the Nigerian government relied more on domestic borrowings as it accounted for 51.6 percent of total debt profile, with the FGN taking N69.2 trillion and state governments having N4.2 trillion as their debt.
Domestic debt reduced by 5.34 percent in dollar terms, falling from $48.45 billion in June to $45.87 billlion in September. In naira terms, it rose by 3.10 percent from N71.22 trillion to N73.43 trillion during the period.
The Federal Government’s external debt accounted for $38.12 billion in September, up from $38.01 billlion in June, while states and the Federal Capital Territory held $4.91 billlion in external debt, a slight increase from $4.89 billion.
For domestic debt, the Federal Government’s obligations rose from N66.96 trillion to N69.22 trillion, while states and the FCT recorded a minor reduction from N4.27 trillion to N4.21 trillion.
Overall, Nigeria’s total public debt in dollar terms fell by 2.70 percent, from $91.35 billion in June to $88.89 billlion in September.
However, Nigeria’s debt stock has grown from 78.13 percent recorded in June 2024 to 78.95 percent in September 2024, defying the DMO’s self-imposed public debt ceiling of 40 percent, as outlined in the agency’s Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy.
Although the current public debt-to-GDP ratio of about 55 percent is slightly below the IMF’s 60 percent benchmark for emerging market countries, the nation’s weak revenue profile and FX volatility risks could further escalate debt levels, straining the already strained economy.
Rising public debt means elevated debt-to-service cost. The rising debt profile, particularly in naira terms, raises concerns over debt sustainability, especially with the exchange rate volatility driving up the local currency cost of external obligations.
Analysts have expressed concerns over the rising debt levels, warning that it could trigger a debt crisis for a country that’s reeling from its worst cost of living crisis in a generation.
While the exchange rate has begun to show reduced volatility due to the various central bank’s policies, analysts believe that the proposed tax reforms, if passed, might help Nigeria boost its revenue base and lower borrowings.
Credit: Businessday NG.
Economy
Volvo announces termination of 800 U.S. workers, cites tariff, market decline

Volvo Group has announced plans to lay off up to 800 workers at three of its U.S. facilities over the next three months, citing ongoing market uncertainty and declining demand exacerbated by tariffs introduced under the administration of President Donald Trump.
The affected locations include the Mack Trucks plant in Macungie, Pennsylvania, as well as Volvo Group sites in Dublin, Virginia, and Hagerstown, Maryland.
In a statement on Friday, Volvo Group North America confirmed that between 550 and 800 employees would be impacted.
The company, a subsidiary of Sweden’s AB Volvo, employs nearly 20,000 people across North America.
The layoffs come amid wider turmoil in the automotive and manufacturing sectors, as shifting U.S. trade policy and a series of tariffs continue to drive up production costs. Economists have pointed to the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade strategy as a factor undermining both business and consumer confidence, with concerns mounting over a potential economic slowdown or recession.
According to Volvo, the company is grappling with a decline in heavy-duty truck orders, driven by instability in freight rates, anticipated regulatory changes, and the growing financial burden of tariffs. “We regret having to take this action, but we need to align production with reduced demand for our vehicles,” a company spokesperson stated in an email quoted by Reuters.
Volvo’s announcement marks another blow to an industry already navigating a complex web of supply chain challenges and fluctuating market conditions, with other manufacturers also warning of potential cost hikes and disruptions tied to global trade disputes.
Economy
Inflation surged to 24.23% due to escalating cost of living

Inflationary pressure has reappeared as Nigerians grapple with increases in average costs of basic food items and energy.
For the first time after the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), headline inflation spiked in March to 24.23 per cent – 105 basis points above the 23.18 per cent recorded in the previous month.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) yesterday indicated that the rate of increase in the average price level was higher in March than the level in February.
In January, the NBS updated the weight and price reference periods in calculation of the CPI to make the inflationary gauge more reflective of changes in consumption patterns and the economy generally.
The rebasing did not only brought the base year closer to the current period from 2009 to 2024, it also introduced some critical methodology changes to improve the computation processes.
After the rebasing, inflation dropped from 34.80 per cent in the pre-rebased period of December 2024 to 24.48 per cent in January 2025. It dropped further to 23.18 per cent in February.
In its latest report, NBS recorded 186 basis points changes between the monthly inflation rate, with the month-on-month rate rising from 2.04 per cent in February to 3.90 per cent in March.
The NBS attributed the spike to the rise in costs of food and alcoholic beverages, fuels and electricity, among other items.
Analysts at CardinalStone said the resurgence was due to renewed foreign exchange (forex) pressures amid heightened global risk-off sentiment.
They pointed at foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) outflows and increased dollar demand, which saw naira dropping by 2.4 per cent in March.
Experts also cited increase in price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) or petrol, following the temporary suspension of the naira-for-crude swap arrangement.
Food inflation rate stood at 21.79 per cent in March 2025. The composite food index decreased to 21.79 per cent from 23.51 per cent.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile agricultural produce prices and energy, rose to 24.43 per cent from 23.01 per cent.
Specifically, the month-on-month food inflation rose by 50 basis points from 1.67 per cent in February to 2.18 per cent in March.
The NBS attributed the increase in food inflation to increases in the average prices of basic food items including ginger, garri, broken rice, honey, crabs, potatoes, plantain flour, periwinkle and pepper amongst others.
On a state-by-state basis, food inflation was higher in Oyo with 34.41 per cent; Kaduna (31.14 per cent) and Kebbi (30.85 per cent).
On the other side, the 9.61 per cent recorded by Bayelsa; Adamawa (12.41 per cent) and Akwa Ibom (12.60 per cent), were the lowest inflation rates.
Analysts expressed concerns that the resurgent inflationary pressure might lead to renewed tightening stance by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
CBN Governor Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, had at the end of the first Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in 2025, reiterated the apex bank’s commitment to orthodox monetary policies, noting that the apex bank’s stance will be reflective of the inflationary trend.
With inflation rate dropping in February, the MPC had decided to maintain all key monetary policy parameters, including the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.50 per cent, the asymmetric corridor around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points, the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 50.00 per cent for Deposit Money Banks and 16.00 per cent for Merchant Banks, and the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00 per cent.
Clarifying the impact of the rebased CPI, Cardoso had explained that the lower inflation figure should not be misinterpreted.
He underlined the need to analyse more data before drawing comparisons, noting that the CBN is currently assessing the figures and will provide further guidance in due course.
The CBN boss stressed the critical importance of collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities in sustaining recent economic improvements.
Addressing concerns about the impact of elevated borrowing costs on economic growth, the CBN governor assured that the apex bank’s primary objective is to stabilize the foreign exchange and financial markets.
He expressed confidence that such stability would attract increased foreign investments, stimulating the much-needed economic growth.
Cardoso also highlighted the competitiveness of the Nigerian currency, which has spurred growing interest from international investors.
Economy
SEE Current Black Market Dollar (USD) To Naira (NGN) Exchange Rate

The exchange rate between the US dollar and the Nigerian naira continues to draw significant attention from individuals and businesses alike, especially those involved in international trade and remittances.
On Saturday, April 12, 2025, activity in the Lagos parallel market, commonly known as the black market shows that the buying rate for one US dollar stands at ₦1570, while the selling rate is ₦1575.
These figures are sourced from traders and Bureau De Change (BDC) operators who are active in key currency exchange hubs across Lagos.
Why the Black Market Rate Matters
Although the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize or support the use of the black market for foreign exchange transactions, many Nigerians still rely on it due to difficulties in accessing forex through official banking channels. Issues such as limited availability, long processing times, and strict documentation requirements have made the black market a more accessible, albeit riskier, alternative.
CBN’s Official Position
The CBN continues to warn against participating in parallel market trading, stating that such activities undermine the stability of the national currency. The apex bank urges those in need of foreign currency to apply through authorized financial institutions, which are mandated to follow official exchange rates.
Nonetheless, the disparity between the official and unofficial markets persists, often influenced by market forces such as demand, inflation, and fluctuations in Nigeria’s foreign reserves.
Latest Exchange Rates Overview
Black Market (Parallel Market) Rate
Currency Pair Buying Rate Selling Rate
USD/NGN ₦1570 ₦1575
CBN Official Rate
Currency Pair Highest Rate Lowest Rate
USD/NGN ₦1630 ₦1570
Key Notes for Forex Users
The exchange rates in the black market often differ slightly from one location or dealer to another due to market volatility and negotiation margins.
Rates can also fluctuate within hours based on economic news, government policies, and global financial trends.
It is advisable to compare rates from multiple sources before conducting any large transactions, especially in volatile markets.
What This Means for Nigerians
The current forex rates reflect continued pressure on the naira, and many analysts believe that inflation, reduced oil revenue, and inconsistent monetary policies are key factors driving the demand for the dollar. For everyday Nigerians, this means the cost of imported goods remains high, and businesses dependent on international suppliers face growing challenges.
Until forex supply stabilizes through official channels, the black market will likely remain a major player in Nigeria’s currency landscape.
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