Economy
Despite FG’s Clampdown: Dollar Hits N1,900; Pound, N2,250
The naira Tuesday slid further at the parallel market in spite of the clampdown the federal government ordered on foreign exchange market speculators.
Bureau De Change (BDC) hubs were raided in Abuja, Lagos and Kano and some operators were arrested.
Despite the raids, however, the naira plunged further with a dollar exchanging for 1,900 in Abuja and Kano, and N1,800 in Lagos; while the British Pound was exchanged for N2,250.
However, at the official market, the naira recorded a marginal gain closing at N1,551.24 as against the earlier N1,574.62, according to the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM).
NSA’s clampdown
Daily Trust reports that the National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, had earlier yesterday directed operatives of the Nigeria Police Force, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) and the Nigeria Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU) to clamp down on forex market speculators.
This, he said, was a concerted effort to safeguard Nigeria’s foreign exchange market and combat the activities of speculators, both domestic and international, operating through various channels.
Ribadu, in a statement by Zakari Mijinyawa, Head, Strategic Communications in the Office of the NSA, said the office had to wade in at this time because some individuals and organisations had continued to undermine proactive measures of the Central Bank of Nigeria to stabilise the foreign exchange market and stimulate economic activities.
But some experts who spoke to Daily Trust described the move as faulty, saying there are better ways to address the volatility.
The statement from Ribadu said, “The CBN’s proactive measures to stabilize the foreign exchange market and stimulate economic activities have been commendable.
“However, the effectiveness of these initiatives is being undermined by the activities of speculators, both domestic and international, operating through various channels, thereby exacerbating the depreciation of the Nigerian Naira and contributing to inflation and economic instability.
“To reduce the pressure on the naira, the EFCC raised a 7,000-man special task force across its 14 zonal commands to clamp down on dollar racketeers.
“Yet, recent intelligence reports have highlighted continued illicit activities within the Nigerian foreign exchange market. The ONSA and CBN are therefore embarking on this collaborative approach to tackle these infractions.
“This partnership will involve a coordinated effort with key law enforcement agencies, including the Nigeria Police Force, the EFCC, the Nigeria Customs Service and the Nigeria Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU).
“The primary objective of this alliance is to systematically identify, thoroughly investigate and appropriately penalize individuals and organizations involved in wrongful activities within the FX market,” the official said.
The NSA said by leveraging the expertise of those four security agencies, the government aimed at deterring what he described as “malicious practices”, in order to protect investors’ interests and promote sustainable economic growth.
Acting on the NSA’s directive, the security operatives swooped on the streets of Lagos, Abuja and Kano yesterday to raid unlicensed BDC operators.
At the popular Allen Avenue in Lagos, about five BDC operators were reportedly arrested when the EFCC operatives stormed the area around 10am.
Many of the unlicensed operators transacting by the road fled on sighting the security operatives.
An operator said: “They came to our place today; they said we are the ones responsible for the hike in foreign exchange. All of us had to take to our heels for fear of arrest.”
Another said five of his colleagues were arrested during the raid, adding, “Many of us have run away now and we are monitoring the situation.”
Dollar sells for N1,870 in Kano
A dollar was exchanged for N1,870 at the popular Wapa Bureau de Change market on Tuesday.
An operator, Ammar Aminu, said though no EFCC operative visited the market for a clampdown on forex speculators, the price of the dollar kept going up.
He said, “Today, the dollar has risen to N1,870 from N1,750 it was sold on Monday.”
Normal trading activities were ongoing when our correspondent visited the area.
Bureau De Change operators in Abuja confirmed that EFCC operatives raided the popular Zone 4 business area.
Some of the operators, who spoke to Daily Trust, said the operatives came in their numbers on Monday.
A BDC operator, Gidado Muktar, said: “We were just on our own when we saw operatives of the EFCC in their numbers in over three Hilux vans storm our vicinity at Zone 4 and the next thing we saw was that they started arresting some of our members. They put them in their vans and drove off.
“What I was told later was that they were acting on a tipoff that some people were hoarding dollars and that was why they came and effected arrests.”
Another operator, Mustapha Ibrahim said: “The way and manner the EFCC came was shocking; as if the BDCs were the ones responsible for the naira’s fall.”
Raid not way to go – Economist
An economist, Dr Oluseye Ajuwon, in an interview with Daily Trust yesterday, said clamping down on BDC operators was not the solution to the foreign exchange crisis.
Ajuwon, a lecturer at the Department of Economics, University of Lagos, said the raid was like compounding the problem.
“There are some kinds of forex demands that you cannot go to banks to do. You have to resort to all these BDCs. The way they (the government) are going about it now is like pushing them into a darker place.
“The implication of that is that it would now become more expensive. I don’t see it solving any problem. Rather, it would compound the problem.
“What will create hoarding is if there is scarcity. If you can’t remove scarcity, there will be hoarding. If we really want to solve the problem, just remove the scarcity.
“Everything they (government) are doing now is a short-time measure. What they are doing now is trial and error and the way they are going about it is wrong.”
‘How to stabilize forex market’
An Abuja-based think tank, Agora Policy, in a report titled ‘Steadying Nigeria’s Fledgling Foreign Exchange Reform’, through its financial analyst, Wale Thompson, said it was high time the government embraced a new policy to stabilise the market.
According to the analyst, mere FX adjustments to adapt to reality “may lead to short-lived gains, followed by a return to previous practices.”
He said, “To avoid this cycle, forex and monetary policies should be part of a comprehensive economic plan where the exchange rate serves as a tool for export diversification and for attracting capital flows to foster overall development. Successful fixed-to-floating transitions are characterized by certain key features.
“The long-stated objective of Nigeria’s policymakers is to diversify its export base which, given Nigeria’s labour abundance, distils to ensuring that industrial activity is geared towards the production of exportable goods that use a lot of low-skilled labour that is abundant in Nigeria.
“To ensure export competitiveness of these non-oil exports, exchange rate policies must look to deliver an extra layer of competitiveness to export prices in a form that favours domestic industries,” the analyst added.
NACCIMA wants dollar pegged at N850
The President of the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA), Dele Kelvin Oye, in separate letters to the CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso and the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Doris Nkiruka Uzoka-Anite, yesterday, urged that the dollar be pegged at between N750 and N850 from March 21.
In the letter to Cardoso titled ‘NACCIMA’s Suggestions for Addressing the Continuous Depreciation of our Currency,” Oye called for enforcement of currency regulations, transparent communication, official transactions, remittance oversight as well as monitoring and compliance.
He asked the CBN to also enforce stricter regulations on currency transactions, including hefty fines, prosecution of breach of laws and confiscation of funds involved in transactions that violate a specified exchange rate band, such as the 15 per cent maximum difference from the official rate.
“The government should consistently communicate its policy intentions and economic measures to the public to strengthen confidence in the nation’s economic management.
“All government agencies, at every level, should be mandated to conduct their transactions at the official rate, and severe penalties should be imposed for violations,” he said.
See us as partners – BDC operators
The Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), while speaking on the raid yesterday, decried the activities of unlicensed operators who have no record of customers they were dealing with.
The president of ABCON, Aminu Gwadabe, in a chat with Daily Trust, asked the government to partner with his members to address currency volatility.
He said his members were duly licensed to transact forex business in their offices.
“The activities of those unlicensed are what the EFCC and security agencies are not happy about. So, you can’t see a BDC outside and call him a BDC operator without an office. One of the requirements to operate as a BDC is that you must have an office.
“On our part, we are coming up with solutions that would automate the entire retail exchange where we make it simpler for even the ones that want to operate under the Bureau de Change so that their activities can be monitored because most of them are operating where the security agencies and the CBN don’t have reports of their transactions.
“So, we are putting a solution which we believe would be to the credit of the government, that can come and automate, digitize, liberalise, democratize the entire retail sector in the country,” he said.
According to him, almost all licensed operators have gone into extinction because the resources to operate are not there.
He said through partnership with the BDC, the government can boost liquidity in the market and address the current forex hike.
(Daily Trust)
Economy
Dangote tells NNPC, oil marketers to stop importing petrol, says refinery has enough
The President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, says his refinery has the capacity to surpass the daily fuel needs of the country.
To this end, he urged the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) and other fuel importers to stop importation.
The advice, if realised, is expected to save the country several billions of dollars in fuel importation and ease its corresponding strain on the naira.
Dangote disclosed this on Tuesday at the Villa after a meeting with President Bola Tinubu on the naira-for-crude policy.
The Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, and the Group CEO of the NNPCL, Mele Kyari, attended the meeting.
Dangote said he told the President that his refinery is ready to supply over 30 million litres daily with enough supply of crude.
He said the technical committee is doing the work and if there is any issue after that, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy will give guidance before it is escalated to the President.
According to him, “At full capacity we can even supply whatever is being consumed because what I estimated as our consumption is about 30-32 million litres which we can even start producing by next week.
“As we speak today. We have 500 million litres in our tanks. With that even if there is no production anywhere or no import that will take the country more than 12 days.
“So, we are more than ready and I am also putting my name on the line by telling Mr President that we will be able to supply the market 30 million per day and we are ramping up”.
Dangote added that, “On the streets what you have to understand is that we are producers. I have a refinery, and I am not in the business of retail.
“If I am in the business of retail you can hold me responsible, but what I am saying is that the retailers should please come forward and pick. If They don’t come forward and pick, what do you want me to do”.
He said he is expecting that the NNPCL and the marketers will stop importing, adding that he was losing money keeping product in tanks.
“I don’t know if you understand what it means to keep half a billion litres in our tanks, it is costing me money. Everyday if I am to collect money I can charge 32 percent in interest.
“That is what I am losing, and you are talking about 500 billion. If they come and collect then you will not see any queue in the filling stations”.
He said coming to the refinery to lift fuel should not be difficult since the NNPCL and other marketers have been doing that with importation.
“We have what it takes for them to come and collect, we are not retailers and we don’t have trucks, but we have a factory where we can load, come and pick and distribute and they have been doing that with importation.
“Since they have been doing that with importation I see no reason why they should not come and collect and distribute”, he stated.
Economy
Naira Depreciates Massively Against Dollar as FX Supply Drops
The naira has crashed massively against the dollar at the foreign exchange market on Monday.
FMDQ Data showed that the naira dropped to N1670.65 per dollar on Monday from N1600 exchanged last Friday.
This represents a N70.65 depreciation.
Similarly, at the parallel market, the naira fell to N1746 per dollar on Monday from N1740 traded at the close of last week.
The development comes after foreign exchange transaction turnover dropped significantly to $81.17 million on Monday from $284.93 million on Friday.
Economy
42 Million Litres of Imported Fuel Set to Arrive as Local Refiners Struggle to Meet Demand
About 42.3 million litres of imported Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, is set to arrive in Nigeria, according to oil marketers on Friday. They emphasized the need for local refineries to boost output as importation remains necessary to meet domestic fuel demand.
Petrol dealers pointed out that imports would continue until Nigeria’s local production, including from modular refineries and the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, can sufficiently supply the market. As of now, production levels at these refineries fall short, compelling dealers to rely on imported supplies of diesel and petrol.
In early September, the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) announced that the Dangote Refinery would initially supply 25 million litres of petrol daily, rising to 30 million litres starting in October 2024. According to NMDPRA, an agreement was reached with NNPC to supply local crude to Dangote’s refinery in Nigerian currency.
“NNPC has agreed to commence crude oil sales to Dangote Refinery in naira, starting with a supply of 25 million litres of PMS this September, which will increase to 30 million litres by October 2024,” NMDPRA posted on social media.
However, oil marketers claim the Dangote facility, valued at $25 billion and based in Lekki, has not yet reached these volumes, making further imports necessary to fill the gap. One major dealer, who requested anonymity, reported, “We expect about 32,000 metric tonnes of PMS to arrive next week, equivalent to around 42.3 million litres.”
Two prominent marketers are collaborating on the importation, supplementing supplies previously brought in by other dealers. “The consignments are shared between major marketers. This doesn’t exclude us from buying from Dangote Refinery, but in a deregulated market, we have the freedom to source competitively,” the dealer explained.
From October 18 to 20, 2024, four vessels carrying approximately 123.4 million litres of petrol docked at Nigerian ports, enhancing fuel supplies nationwide. These deliveries confirm a recent report that revealed oil marketers are actively importing fuel to support the Dangote Refinery’s limited output.
Another dealer commented, “Many marketers are ramping up imports, while those who cannot import buy from Dangote. The market’s now open, so everyone sources as they need. It’s essential, especially since local production is still insufficient.”
The National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Chief Ukadike Chinedu, confirmed that while IPMAN members haven’t yet started importing PMS, the market is now open to anyone with the capacity to import.
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