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Just in: FBNH, UBA, GTCO, Access Bank, drop out of trillion market cap club

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

Nigerian banks experienced a challenging April, as all major banking stocks posted losses month-to-date.

This downturn coincided with the first month-to-date decline in the NGX All Share Index of the year, which lost 6% in April this year.

The most impacted were the FUGAZ banks—First Bank, UBA, GTCO, Access Bank, and Zenith—although Zenith was the only one to maintain its position in the SWOOT (Stocks Worth Over One Trillion Naira) index.

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As of December 2023, Nigeria’s largest banks had a total net asset value of N9.7 trillion but only a combined market capitalization of N4.2 trillion ($ billion), translating to a price-to-book ratio of 0.43, or 43%.

This indicates that investors significantly undervalue banks compared to their book values.

Amid this, challenger banks like Opay and Kuda Bank are valued above $1 billion, despite their smaller operational scales.

According to the Nairametrics SWOOT Index, as of April, FBN Holdings, UBA, GTCO, and Access Bank each fell below the trillion naira market cap, a level they last exceeded in January when they briefly hit this milestone.

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Access Bank: Since January, these banks have seen substantial declines in market capitalization.

For instance, Access Bank, Nigeria’s largest bank by assets, last reached the N1 trillion mark in late January.

By the end of April, its market cap had fallen to about N598.9 billion, despite having over N32 trillion in total assets and N2.5 trillion in net assets.

Similarly, UBA, with total assets and net assets of N20.6 trillion and N2 trillion respectively, saw its market cap drop from over N1 trillion in January to N817.3 billion at April’s end.

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FBN Holdings, Nigeria’s oldest bank, saw its market cap peak just above N1 trillion in early April but fell to N857.8 billion by April 30th, 2024.

GTCO also experienced a dip; valued above N1 trillion as recently as April 26th, it ended the month with a market capitalization of N962.3 billion.

Zenith Bank, however, remained in the SWOOT, though it risks dropping below if the sell-offs continue into May 2024. It has total and net assets of N20.3 trillion and N2.3 trillion, respectively

Why Nigerian banks are undervalued
Several factors contribute to these low valuations relative to net assets, despite consistent dividend payouts.

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Some analysts attribute it to the high liquidity of bank stocks, while others point to a general disinterest in the Nigerian stock market, suggesting that intrinsic stock values are seldom reached.
A more recent factor is the banking recapitalization announcement by the apex bank, which requires banks to raise over N4 trillion in new capital.

This has likely prompted a sell-off, as lower share prices benefit bank shareholders when the capital increase is through a rights issue.

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UK Court Jails 35-yr-old Nigerians 10 Yrs After Brutal R3pe Of Woman In Nottingham

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

A 35-year-old Nigerian, Timilehin Olatunji, has been sentenced to 10 years in prison for the rape of a woman at a property in Nottingham during the early hours of September 29, 2024.

It was gathered that the victim courageously used a mobile app to record audio evidence of the attack before escaping and reporting the crime to Nottinghamshire Police.

Following the report, Olatunji was arrested shortly afterward and subsequently charged with three counts of rape.

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He pleaded guilty to the charges.

During the sentencing at Nottingham Crown Court on Wednesday, January 15, Judge Michael Auty described the assault as “despicable and vile” and “beyond rational understanding.”

He condemned Olatunji’s actions, saying: “You took it upon yourself to rape her in the most brutal, sadistic, and cruel way imaginable.”

Olatunji has also been placed on the Sex Offenders’ Register for life and is subject to an indefinite restraining order to protect the victim.

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In a statement released on Thursday, Nottinghamshire Police commended the victim’s bravery and reaffirmed their commitment to supporting survivors of sexual violence.

Detective Constable Emily Bucklow, of Nottinghamshire Police, said: “The recorded evidence of Olatunji’s horrific assault made this case particularly harrowing for all the officers who worked on it.

“It is one of the most upsetting things I have had to listen to in my policing career and only enhances my admiration for this victim’s bravery.

“I would also like to commend her for the courage she showed following Olatunji’s arrest and dignity during the subsequent court proceedings,” Emily said.

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The detective said, “He subjected her to a violent, degrading and sustained ordeal but she has shown immense bravery to help us bring him to justice.

“I hope the sentence handed down will at least provide some closure to what must have been an acutely distressing period of her life.

“I also hope the sentencing of Olatunji will encourage other victims of rape and serious sexual assault to have the confidence to come forward and report offenders.

“Our experienced officers are here to help the victims of appalling crimes like this,” Emily added.

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Tinubu Exhausted N9.74bn Supplying Rice, Beans Palliatives To Nigerians In 2024 – Report

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

The President Bola Tinubu-led Nigerian government reportedly spent a total of N9.74billion for the procurement and distribution of food items as part of its efforts to mitigate the nationwide food crisis in 2024.

This was revealed by BudgIT on its platform, GovSpend, a civic-tech organisation advocating for transparency and accountability.

According to the report, a large portion of the funds was dedicated to supplying essential food staples such as rice, beans, maize, and other commodities.

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The report showed that the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security led the initiatives, making multiple payments to contractors responsible for the emergency supply of palliative foodstuffs to various federal constituencies.

Key transactions included payments for the delivery of rice, beans, and garri to help alleviate hunger in vulnerable communities.
Payments, averaging around N85.45 million per constituency, were made between February and November 2024 across different regions.

Data from the platform reportedly indicate that N85,454,545.46 was spent on each constituency in states including Kano, Ogun, Osun, Akwa Ibom, Cross River, Adamawa, Kaduna, Jigawa, Ekiti, Oyo, Lagos, Bauchi, Rivers, Borno, Sokoto, and Enugu, bringing the total expenditure to N9.74 billion.

However, despite the significant financial outlay, there are concerns about the programme’s effectiveness in addressing the root causes of food insecurity.

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Shedrach Israel, an economist at Lotus Beta Analytics, argued that food palliatives alone cannot solve Nigeria’s food crisis, according to PUNCH.

“While food palliatives are essential for addressing immediate hunger, they fail to address the underlying systemic issues, such as inflation and the deficiencies in the agricultural sector,” Israel said.

Israel added, “We need long-term economic policies focused on boosting local agricultural productivity and improving distribution networks to reduce dependence on external food aid.”
Israel further said that the N9.74 billion spent on palliatives could have been better invested in agricultural innovation and infrastructure development, which would provide sustainable solutions to food insecurity.
Also, La’ah Dauda, an agricultural economist based in Kaduna, emphasised the need for a more comprehensive approach to addressing the food crisis.

“The government’s reliance on palliatives is a short-term fix to a deeper agricultural crisis. While necessary, these measures do not tackle critical issues like inadequate irrigation, poor storage facilities, and limited market access, all of which continue to impede agricultural productivity across the country,” he said.

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SEE Dollar (USD) to Naira Black Market Rate Today January 18, 2025 Aboki

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

As of January 18, 2025, the Nigerian Naira (NGN) has continued to experience some level of volatility against the US Dollar (USD), while this has been the norm for decades now, this largely to some extent reflects the ongoing economic challenges.

See the Naira performance across various currencies

A quick check at the parallel market at Abuja Zone 4 market,as at January 18, 2025 , the black market exchange rate stands firmly at approximately ₦ 1,682.00 per USD. This means if you want to buy a dollar now, it is ₦ 1,682.00 while if you want to sell it is approximately ₦ 1,670.00 .

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Please be aware that the parallel market or the black market rates are mostly and notably higher compared with what you get from the official market or CBN rate

Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today

Selling Rate ₦ 1,682.00

Buying Rate ₦ 1,670.00

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