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Why India’s Modi failed to win outright majority

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Indian PM Narendra Modi has won a third consecutive term in a much tighter general election than anticipated.

His Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) looks set to fall short of a majority and is leading in the 543-seat parliament, below the required 272 seats. However its coalition partners have gained additional seats.

The results are a personal blow to Mr Modi, who has always secured majorities in elections as both chief minister of Gujarat state and India’s prime minister, and dominated the country’s politics for a decade.

The verdict marks a surprising revival for the Congress Party-led INDIA opposition alliance, defying earlier predictions of its decline, and sharply diverging from both exit polls and pre-election surveys.

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More than 640 million people voted in a marathon seven-week election, hailed as a “world record” by election authorities. Nearly half of the voters were women.

Many world leaders have crawled across the finishing line in their third term elections and Mr Modi is no exception. The BJP remains India’s single largest party by seats, and if Mr Modi secures a third term with his allies, the prime minister matches the record of Jawaharlal Nehru, India’s first premier.

But the significant loss of seats for his party – more than 50 – dims the allure of a third term, especially given Mr Modi’s campaign targeting 400 coalition seats, making anything less seem like an under-achievement.

This has led to jubilation in the Congress camp and some despair in BJP quarters. Despite the BJP emerging as the single largest party, the burden of hype and expectations has left many of their supporters disheartened.

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Mr Modi’s supporters believe securing a third term can be attributed to several factors: a record of stable governance, the appeal of continuity, efficient welfare programmes, and the perception that he has enhanced India’s global image.

To his Hindu nationalist base, Mr Modi delivered on key manifesto promises: revoking the autonomy of Indian-administered Kashmir, building the Ram temple in Ayodhya and implementing a controversial citizenship law. Many BJP-ruled states have implemented laws tightening regulations on interfaith marriages.

The BJP’s significant drop in seats may be linked to joblessness, rising prices, growing inequality and a controversial army recruitment reform, among other things. Mr Modi’s harsh and divisive campaign, particularly targeting Muslims, could also have alienated voters in some regions.

His ambitious slogan “Ab ki baar, 400 paar,” aiming for more than 400 seats for his NDA alliance, may have backfired, with such a massive majority raising fears of constitutional changes among the poor.

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Mr Modi’s party faced its largest setback in Uttar Pradesh (UP), a state larger than the United Kingdom and three times as populous. With 80 parliamentary seats, UP holds significant sway in national politics – many consider it the gateway to Delhi. Both Mr Modi and Rahul Gandhi hold seats there.

So what are the main takeaways of this election?

A dent of Brand Modi
Mr Modi’s popularity has been also attributed to his mastery of branding, transforming routine events into spectacles and astute messaging. A weak opposition and a largely friendly media also helped him build his brand.

The election results show that Brand Modi has lost some of its shine, indicating that even Mr Modi is susceptible to anti-incumbency. In other words, he is not as invincible as many of his supporters believed. This offers renewed hope to the opposition.

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A return to coalition politics
India has a history of chaotic coalition governments, although some in the early 1990s and 2000s played a significant role in implementing economic reforms.

If the BJP forms the government, it will be dependent on allies and will need to adopt a more consultative and deliberative approach.

This dependency makes it vulnerable to collapse if allies feel neglected. The party, once perceived as all-powerful, is now reliant on allies, unlike in 2014 and 2019.

A jolt to the dominant BJP
Mr Modi’s uninterrupted decade-long reign at the top has underscored India’s embrace of what some political scientists term the one-party dominant system.

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This has five key traits: a charismatic leader, unrivaled control over resources and communication, unmatched organisational machinery, and an opposition in disarray. Shrinking freedoms also characterise a one-party dominant system.

Mr Modi’s BJP is not the first party to dominate Indian politics. For many years after Independence the Congress ruled without a break. Tuesday’s result has restored India to what many consider “normal politics”, with a range of parties sharing and competing for power.

A resurgent opposition
The results will energise the much-criticised Congress-led opposition.

In February, the diverse coalition known as INDIA, short for Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance, faced turmoil when one of its key leaders, Nitish Kumar, exited – only to later rejoin the BJP.

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But led by Rahul Gandhi, the opposition ran a spirited campaign and narrowed the gap, in the face of a partisan media and despite fewer resources.

There is more hope for them ahead. The BJP holds about a third of India’s 4,000- plus state assembly seats and has lost to regional parties before. Over the next 14 months, five states are set for elections – all could be keenly contested.

With contests in Maharashtra, Jharkhand, and Haryana this year, the BJP could face substantial competition. Delhi’s upcoming election may pose challenges, while Bihar in October presents a regional hurdle.

So what could a potential third term for Mr Modi mean?

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India needs much more work and some healing.
The economy, fueled by government spending, is on the upswing. Yet inequality is rising. Private investment and consumption must increase, and the poor and the middle class will need more money in their pockets to spend more.

That will not happen if there are not enough jobs. In a country bristling with ambition and frustration, younger voters are likely to drift from the BJP – around two-fifths of India’s billion-plus people are under 25.

Mr Modi has drawn criticism for marginalising Muslims, India’s largest minority, who have borne the brunt of violence. His government faces accusations of stifling dissent, with leading opposition figures jailed on what they say are trumped-up charges.

But third terms have often proved to be rocky for many leaders, with unforeseen and unpredictable events blowing governments and their plans off course.

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Trump defends plan to use Qatari luxury jet for Air Force One

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US President Donald Trump has defended the White House plan to receive a luxury jumbo jet from Qatar to be used as America’s Air Force One presidential plane.

“They’re giving us a gift,” Trump told reporters at the White House on Monday, adding that he would be “a stupid person” if he did not accept it.

In an earlier statement, a Qatari spokesman said it would be “inaccurate” to refer to the plane as a gift. He said the transfer of an aircraft for “temporary use” was under discussion between the two countries.

The news comes as Trump is set to visit Qatar this week as part of the first major foreign trip of his second term.

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Speaking on Monday, Trump said that the US had helped the other country “a lot over the years in terms of security and safety” and that he had “a lot of respect for the leadership” of the country.

He went on to say it would be a “very nice gesture” if Qatar provided the US with a Boeing jet while his government continued to wait for two new ones to be provided directly by Boeing itself.

The potential value of the plane and its handling has raised legal and ethical questions among critics on the political left and right.

The US Constitution has a provision known as the Emoluments Clause, which restricts what gifts US presidents can accept from foreign governments. It was designed to prevent leaders from becoming beholden to foreign governments.

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On social media, Democratic Senator Adam Schiff from California quoted a section of the US Constitution that said no elected official could accept “any present… of any kind whatever” from the leader of a foreign state without congressional approval.

Congressman Ritchie Torres, a New York Democrat, called on the Government Accountability Office to investigate, saying the plane could “constitute the most valuable gift ever conferred on a president by a foreign government”.

But there was criticism, too, from some of Trump’s staunchest supporters.

Daily Wire podcaster Ben Shapiro lambasted the plane deal on Monday as “skeezy”.

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“Is this good for President Trump?” Shapiro said. “Is it good for his agenda? Is it good for draining the swamp and getting things done? The answer is no, it isn’t.”

Far-right influencer Laura Loomer also criticised the move. She posted to say she would “take a bullet” for the president, but that any decision to accept the jet would be “such a stain” on the administration.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Sunday that “any gift given by a foreign government is always accepted in full compliance with all applicable laws. President Trump’s administration is committed to full transparency”.

The White House’s current fleet includes two Boeing 747-200B planes customised for presidential use with special communications equipment and features like a state room, office and conference room. The planes have been in use since 1990 and 1991.

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Qatar is said to be offering a version of a Boeing 747-8, a much newer model that ABC News reports has been upgraded into a “flying palace”.

The plane, reported to be worth about $400m (£303m), would not be ready for use right away if provided to the US, as it would need to be retrofitted and cleared by security officials, sources told CBS, the BBC’s US partner.

Boeing has already been contracted to directly provide the White House with two 747-8s directly, but Trump complained earlier this year that the firm was behind schedule.

His team negotiated to receive these during his first term in office, though Boeing has cautioned that they will not be available for two or three more years.

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Qatar – a country with which Trump has long had a positive relationship – has also previously given private jets as gifts to other countries, including Turkey.

This would not be the first Trump-related deal with Qatar. Last month, his company signed a deal to build a luxury golf resort there, marking its first foreign deal since the Republican returned to office in January.

According to CBS, the plane that Trump could acquire would be donated at the end of his term to his presidential library, which is a collection of artefacts related to a US leader’s time in office.

Air Force One planes usually carry over to other administrations. According to the National Archives, only the presidential library for Ronald Reagan has an Air Force One jet.

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Trump, a businessman-turned-president, has been no stranger to conflict-of-interest accusations since taking office in 2017. During his first term, critics accused him of enriching himself in a number of ways, including through his hotel in Washington DC. A lawsuit followed, but was never concluded.

Commenting on the potential transfer of the plane, David Super, a law professor at Georgetown University, told the BBC: “It certainly stinks, but formally it’s a transfer to the [US] government, not the office holder.”

However, the jet could be viewed as an illegal personal gift to Trump if he is able to use it in his private life after leaving office, Prof Super added.

As for who could protest such a move – Congress could pass a resolution denouncing it, said Prof Super, albeit this would be unlikely given the Republican dominance on Capitol Hill, and it would not stop the actual transfer.

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Why Popes Change Their Name and What Is the Significance of Leo XIV

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The world watched as white smoke rose from the Sistine Chapel, signaling the election of a new pope: Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost, now known as Pope Leo XIV. While the ceremonial elements of his ascension were rich in tradition, one symbolic gesture stood out—the choice of his papal name.

The decision to adopt a new name upon becoming pope is far more than a formality. It is a profound act rooted in centuries of Catholic history, carrying theological, historical, and pastoral significance. As the Church welcomes its new leader, attention turns to the name Leo XIV, and what it could mean for the future of global Catholicism.

Why Do Popes Change Their Names?

Though not mandated by Church law, changing one’s name upon papal election has become a long-standing tradition in the Roman Catholic Church. The practice began in 533 AD when Pope John II renounced his birth name, Mercurius, which had pagan roots.

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Key reasons popes change their names:

Symbolic rebirth as the spiritual head of the Catholic Church
A chance to align with a legacy or emulate a previous pope or saint
To communicate the themes and direction of their papacy

Much like biblical figures—such as Saul becoming Paul or Simon renamed Peter—the new name represents a divine calling and transformation.

 Historical Origins of Papal Name Changes

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The first recorded instance of a papal name change, by Pope John II, set a precedent for future pontiffs. Over time, the tradition became entrenched as a way for popes to:

Distance themselves from controversial associations
Embrace names that resonate with spiritual reform
Adopt titles that offer reassurance during turbulent times

Fewer than 10 popes have retained their birth names. For instance, Pope Marcellus II in 1555 and Adrian VI in 1522 are rare examples who did not alter theirs.

The Significance of the Name “Leo XIV”

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The newly elected pope’s decision to take the name Leo XIV is rich with meaning and draws directly from Pope Leo XIII, a pivotal figure in Church history.

Key Associations with the Name Leo:

Pope Leo I (Leo the Great): Strengthened papal authority and defended Rome from invaders
Pope Leo XIII: Known for championing social justice, workers’ rights, and engaging with the modern world through the 1891 encyclical Rerum Novarum

By aligning with this legacy, Pope Leo XIV signals an intention to:

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Address global inequality and labor conditions
Tackle modern ethical dilemmas, such as artificial intelligence and climate change
Foster dialogue within the Church and across faiths

His name implies a strong, reform-driven leadership, rooted in both tradition and progress.

Who Is Pope Leo XIV?

Born Robert Francis Prevost in Chicago, USA, Pope Leo XIV is the first American pope in the history of the Catholic Church.

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Background Highlights:

Born in 1955, former Augustinian priest
Served as Bishop of Chiclayo, Peru, where he advocated for indigenous rights and pastoral outreach
Most recently led the Vatican’s Dicastery for Bishops, overseeing global bishop appointments

His selection reflects a shift towards a more globally representative papacy, echoing the reach of Pope Francis, his immediate predecessor.

Are Any Papal Names Off-Limits?

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While there is no official list of banned names, tradition discourages certain choices.

The name Peter II has never been used, out of reverence for Saint Peter, the first pope, and due to apocalyptic prophecies suggesting “Peter the Roman” will be the last pope.
Names associated with controversial historical figures, like Urban VIII (linked to the persecution of Galileo), are also typically avoided.
 How the Name Is Announced

Following the conclave’s decision, the senior cardinal deacon appears on the central balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica to deliver the iconic Latin phrase:

“Habemus Papam – We have a pope!”

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The full announcement includes:

The pope’s baptismal name, translated into Latin
His newly chosen papal name
The traditional final word: “Franciscum” (or the new name, in Latin)

In the case of Pope Leo XIV:

“Robert Francis Prevost” was presented in Latin as Robertum Franciscum
His papal name was announced as Leo Quartus Decimus
📊 Most Popular Papal Names in History

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Some names carry more weight due to frequent use and historic success:

Papal Name Number of Popes
John 21
Gregory 16
Benedict 15
Leo 14 (with Leo XIV)
Innocent 13

The name Francis, chosen uniquely in 2013, marked the first usage in papal history, breaking a pattern that had lasted over 1,000 years.

What This Means for the Church

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Pope Leo XIV is expected to prioritize:

Social justice and protection of the poor
Ethical debates around technology and artificial intelligence
Greater involvement of the Global South in Church leadership
Environmental stewardship and climate action

His papacy begins at a time of profound challenge and transformation for the Church, and his name hints at a bold, reformist agenda balanced by theological consistency.

Conclusion: A Name That Signals Direction

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The name Leo XIV is more than a formality—it’s a powerful declaration of intention, alignment, and inspiration. As Pope Leo XIV steps into one of the world’s most influential spiritual roles, his choice pays homage to the Church’s past while casting a hopeful vision for its future.

From American roots to global responsibilities, his leadership may well define Catholicism’s engagement with the modern world for decades to come.

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Pope Leo XIV, celebrates first Mass, wants Church to be beacon of light

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Pope Leo XIV celebrated his first Mass on Friday in the Sistine Chapel where he was elected less than 24 hours earlier, warning of the dangers caused by a lack of faith and hoping the Catholic Church could be a beacon lighting the world’s “dark nights”.

Leo, the former Cardinal Robert Prevost and the first U.S. pope, looked calm as he delivered the Mass in the famous, frescoed chapel with the same cardinals who chose him to be the 267th pontiff and the successor to Pope Francis.

Dressed in relatively simple white and gold vestments, Leo, who was born in Chicago but spent two decades as a missionary in Peru, said a few words in English before continuing his homily in fluent Italian.

In the homily, Leo, 69, painted a picture of the Church he would like to see, saying he would seek to serve as the “faithful administrator” for the Church as a whole.

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The new pope, who leads 1.4 billion Catholics around the world, acknowledged that the Christian faith is sometimes “considered absurd” and the preserve of “the weak and unintelligent”.

“A lack of faith is often tragically accompanied by the loss of meaning in life, the neglect of mercy, appalling violations of human dignity, the crisis of the family and so many other wounds that afflict our society,” he said.

MAY 18 INAUGURATION
An inauguration Mass for Leo will be held in St. Peter’s Square on Sunday May 18, the Vatican said.

World and religious leaders are invited to the inauguration, which marks the formal launch of a papacy. Pope Francis’ inauguration in 2013 attracted a crowd estimated at 200,000 people.

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The new pope will also leave senior Vatican officials in their roles for the time being, giving him time to decide before making definitive appointments, the Vatican said.

All Vatican senior officials, appointed for five-year terms, serve at the pleasure of the pope. A new pontiff usually rolls over existing mandates at least initially before deciding whether to change key positions.

The pope was elected at the end of a two-day conclave that was wrapped up on Thursday evening when white smoke billowed from the chimney on the Sistine Chapel.

Item 1 of 8 Pope Leo XIV conducts Mass in the Sistine Chapel at the Vatican, May 9, 2025. Vatican Media/Simone Risoluti ­Handout via REUTERS

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Given the nature of the conclaves, when cardinals are shut away from the world and sworn to secrecy, little or nothing is likely to emerge – at least for now – about how Leo obtained the required two-thirds majority of the vote so swiftly.

The successor to Pope Francis, who died last month at the age of 88, inherits a number of major challenges, ranging from a budget shortfall to divisions over whether the Church should be more welcoming towards the LGBT community and divorcees, and should let women play a greater role in its affairs.

He will also have a packed agenda, with the Vatican celebrating a Holy Year that brings millions of additional tourists to Rome.

THE FIRST US POPE
Before Leo’s election, U.S. cardinals had largely been written off as papal contenders because of a widespread assumption that the global Church could not be run by a superpower pope.

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However, he also holds Peruvian citizenship, meaning that he has deep knowledge of both the West and less developed nations.

U.S. President Donald Trump was quick to congratulate Leo. However, the new pope has a history of criticizing Trump and Vice President JD Vance’s policies, according to posts on the X account of Robert Prevost.

Leo worked for decades in the north of Peru, first as a missionary and later as Bishop of Chiclayo from 2015 to 2023. Catholics took to the streets of the small city in northwestern Peru, and church bells rang out to celebrate the election of a man who they embrace as one of their own.

One of the clues to what kind of a Church leader Leo will be was in his choice of name. The last pope with this name was Leo XIII, who led the Church from 1878-1903. He was known for his devoted focus to social justice issues.

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Prevost became a cardinal only in 2023. He has given few media interviews and is known to have a shy personality.

Francis brought him to Rome two years ago to head the Vatican office in charge of choosing which priests should serve as Catholic bishops, meaning he has had a hand in selecting many of the world’s bishops.

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