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More trouble for Nigerians as fuel price hike imminent over rise in FX, oil price, Middle East

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By Mario Deepromoter

There are strong signals that an increase in the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), also known as petrol is imminent.

The anticipated hike, players note, is primarily driven by a rise in the exchange rate of the dollar to the naira, coupled with escalation in the global price of crude oil.

As these economic factors converge, consumers in Nigeria may soon face higher fuel costs, reflecting the interconnected nature of international markets and local economies.

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The naira showed further signs of weakness last week, closing the market at N1,700 from N1,600 to $1, a development that is set to affect retail fuel prices.

Brent, the global benchmark for crude, hit $78.04 per barrel on Sunday, up from $74.05 per barrel on September 23, 2024.

More so, there are concerns that a widening regional conflict in the Middle East could disrupt global crude flows. Market fears are rising over the possibility that Israel might target Iranian oil infrastructure, which could provoke retaliation.

President, Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN), Mr. Billy Gilly-Harry, told Daily Sun that the hostilities in the Middle East will definitely impact petrol prices in the coming days.

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He explained that, at the moment, vessels are changing their routes as a result of the crisis in the Middle East, thereby causing an increase in shipping costs, which will subsequently impact prices.

“As an association, we have taken cognizance of the impact of this crisis on fuel costs, and I can tell you categorically that this will lead to an upward review of fuel prices. Certainly, the landing cost of fuel will go up. But what I cannot say is what that cost will be,” he said.

Chief Executive Officer of Pinnacle Oil and Gas Limited, Mr. Robert Dickerman, said the global market price for any oil commodity is dollar-based and must be converted to naira at the naira/USD exchange rate.

He added that the large majority of price increases we have seen in the past year are not because of government policies, price gouging, or product hoarding, nor are they due to an increase in the price of crude oil, but are due to the fall in the value of the naira.

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“Every drop in naira value raises the cost of anything imported or market-priced, whether it is gasoline, manufactured goods, or food,” he said.

Dickerman said Nigeria must address the root of the problem, which is how to restore global confidence in Nigeria’s economy and currency, create foreign investment in jobs and local production, increase tax revenue, and achieve fiscal prudence, saying that is the only way to lower petroleum product prices in Nigeria.

The impending fuel price hike, according to industry observers, may have forced the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Ltd to shut its petrol payment portal against fuel marketers.

Spokesperson for the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Mr. Chinedu Ukadike, said that marketers have more than 2,000 pending tickets for the purchasing of 45,000 litres of petrol, warning that the situation may lead to another round of fuel scarcity nationwide.

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“I can’t confirm the price now because the portal is still shut down.

“We have more than 2,000 tickets for 45,000 litres (of petrol). That is 45,000 multiplied by 2,000; you can now know the number of million litres it will be. This is just an estimate; you know I don’t work with NNPCL, and I don’t know what is on their system.”

He added that a 45,000-litre truckload of PMS is around N39.5 million, making N79 billion when multiplied by 2,000.

Some of the marketers at the Apapa depot who spoke in confidence expressed concerns that the development could hamper the fragile fuel distribution chain, leading to shortages in the weeks ahead.

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They said any disruption in the fuel supply chain is a potential threat for a fuel crisis and therefore called on all relevant stakeholders to address whatever challenges that may want to rear their ugly heads.

But in a separate reaction, the National Vice President of IPMAN, Mr. Hammed Fashola, in a telephone interview with Daily Sun on Friday, said there is no cause for worry, assuring that as long as the tickets which are already in the custody of NNPC Ltd are being serviced, there would be no disruption.

He maintained that the portal closure against fresh payment by NNPC Ltd was taken in the best interest of the market, saying there was no point in holding on to the business funds of marketers when there was a backlog to clear.

“It is better to allow the funds to be in the hands of marketers to enable them to use it for other things, rather than holding on to it when there won’t be immediate supply.”

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In his reaction, the spokesperson of NNPC Ltd, Mr. Olufemi Soneye, who confirmed the shutdown of the portal, assured stakeholders that it would be opened as soon as they clear the backlog.

He said that the portal closure was intended to prevent the company from holding marketers’ funds for an extended period.

“We have a significant backlog to address. The closure is intended to prevent us from holding marketers’ funds for an extended period.

Credit: Daily Sun

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Kill your 2027 election, PDP, LP chieftains advise Atiku

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

A member of the National Executive Committee of the Peoples Democratic Party, Diran Odeyemi, and a chieftain of the Labour Party, Anslem Eragbe, have advised former Vice President Atiku Abubakar to kill his 2027 presidential election ambition.

Both Odeyemi and Eragbe said the South should be allowed to rule for eight years.

They said the 2027 southern president might not necessarily be President Bola Tinubu.

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Eragbe, in an interview with Sunday PUNCH, argued that Atiku should not have contested the 2023 presidential election because it was the turn of the South to produce a president.

He said, “Atiku was not supposed to contest the 2023 presidential election because it was the turn of southern Nigeria. It is the turn of the South till 2031.

“Being a former Vice President of Nigeria for eight years; Atiku knows Nigeria’s power drill and equation. He should support younger Nigerians to power and provide guidance in 2027.”

Asked if the former Vice President would breach any law if he chooses to run for the nation’s highest office in 2027, Eragbe said the PDP stalwart “is entitled to his ambition and aspirations, adding however that “2027 – 2031 is for southern Nigeria.”

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According to him, the 2027 presidency shall remain in southern Nigeria and should be zoned to the South-South region.

“It should be further micro-zoned to the (defunct) mid-Western region. I mean the defunct Bendel, now Edo and Delta states. We expect the major political parties to do this for equity, justice, fairness and parity.

“However, should President Bola Tinubu, win the 2027 presidential election and continue till 2031, power shall return to Northern Nigeria,” he added.

The former President of the Student Union Government of Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, added that when compared with other geo-political zones in the country, the South-South had spent the least number of years on the presidential seat.

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“The region that has ruled the least in Nigeria is the South-South with only five years under Goodluck Jonathan and should rule Nigeria again beginning from 2027.

“When put together, the North-Central spent a total of 17 years and 11 months, North-West, 17 years, three months; North-East, 10 years, three months; South-West, 15 years, four months by the time Tinubu finishes his term in May 2027; South East spent five years and nine months and the South-South, the only region to spend five years only on the presidential seat,” he added.

Eragbe called on the political parties to identify credible politicians, regardless of their financial status, to fly their flags for the various elective offices, stressing that 2027 would be another opportunity to right the wrongs of the past.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH, Odeyemi stated that the ex-vice president’s participation in the 2023 presidential election and his perceived ambitions for 2027 were the causes of PDP crisis.

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He charged Atiku to bury his ambition, adding that once the former vice president failed to declare interest in 2027, the crisis in the party would be over.

The 2023 election was originally supposed to be between southerners, as former President Muhammadu Buhari, a northerner, had just completed eight years in office. However, Atiku insisted on exercising his rights, which is why there is a crisis in the PDP,” he stated.

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Why Buhari govt was shoved aside – IBB

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

Ex-military head of state, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida (IBB), has stated that he shoved aside Muhammadu Buhari’s regime because he believed his policies were detrimental to the nation’s progress.

The former military leader disclosed this in his autobiography, ‘A Journey In Service’, launched in Abuja on Thursday.

Babangida was chief of staff to Buhari, who ousted Shehu Shagari’s civilian government in the December 31, 1983 coup.

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After the military coup that replaced the civilian government of Shehu Shagari with a military regime led by Major General Muhammadu Buhari, Ibrahim Babangida assumed the Chief of Army Staff role.

However, he became increasingly dissatisfied with the Buhari government’s policies and leadership style, which he described as draconian.

Recalling how he journeyed from Minna to Lagos on August 27, 1985, to assume office, Babangida said tension had already begun to build up since the start of the year, and a change in leadership had become necessary.

He said, “On that day, it became my lot to step into the saddle of national leadership on behalf of the Nigerian armed forces. The change in leadership had become necessary as a response to the worsening mood of the nation and growing concern about our future as a people. All through the previous day, as we flew from Minna and drove through Lagos towards Bonny Camp, I was deeply reflecting on how we as a nation got to this point and how and why I found myself at this juncture of fate.

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“By the beginning of 1985, the citizenry had become apprehensive about the future of our country.

The atmosphere was precarious and fraught with ominous signs of clear and present danger. It was clear to the more discerning leadership of the armed forces that our initial rescue mission of 1983 had largely miscarried. We now stood the risk of having the armed forces split down the line because our rescue mission had largely derailed. If the armed forces imploded, the nation would go with it, and the end was just too frightening to contemplate.

“Divisions of opinion within the armed forces had come to replace the unanimity of purpose that informed the December 1983 change of government. In state affairs, the armed forces, as the only remaining institution of national cohesion, were becoming torn into factions; something needed to be done lest we lose the nation itself. My greatest fear was that division of opinion and views within the armed forces could lead to factionalisation in the military. If allowed to continue and gain root, grave dangers lay ahead.”

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How CBN Spent $8bn On Naira Defence Against Dollar At FX Market

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

The Chief Executive Officer of Financial Derivatives, Bismark Rewane, has revealed that the Nigerian government, through the Central Bank of Nigeria, has spent almost $8 billion defending the naira at the foreign exchange market in the last months.

Rewane, a renowned economist, disclosed this at the weekend in an interview with Channels Television.

He was reacting to the decision by the Monetary Policy Committee to retain the country’s interest rate at 27.50 percent at the same time, maintaining other MPR parameters.

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Explaining the reason the Naira has appreciated to N1,505 and N1,507 across parallel and official foreign exchange markets, he noted that the apex bank has several initiatives to support the country’s currency.

“We’ve also borrowed $4 billion in bond issues. When you take a look at that, you’ll see there is a lot of work. We’ve actually spent almost $8 billion trying to support the naira at current levels,” Rewane stated.

According to him, Nigeria’s January inflation figure, which dropped to 24.48 percent after the Consumer Price Index rebasing, does not reflect the reality of ordinary Nigerians.

“There’s no way that inflation can reduce by 10% in a short period. The man on the street does not believe that inflation has come down as sharply as that,” he said.

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