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CBN Says Recapitalization Policy Strengthened Financial Position Of Banks

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…as macroeconomic performance projection indicate 3.2%, 3.3% growth rate for 2024, 2025 respectively
By Gloria Ikibah
The Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Yemi Cardoso, has highlighted plans of the Apex bank to address the spiralling inflation in the country.
Cardoso also said the Bank’s recapitalization policy has prompted banks to strengthen their financial positions, a process which he said was expected to result in a more robust and resilient banking sector by March 2026.
The CBN Governor who stated this while addressing the House of Representatives Committee on Banking, on the on policy measures and strategies to address domestic macroeconomic challenges.
The exercise, according to him, is expected to support the realisation of $1 trillion economy by the year 2030.
On the macroeconomic performance in 2024, he said projections indicates a growth rate of 3.2% and 3.3% for 2024 and 2025 respectively, and that Nigeria is projected to maintain a more robust 4.3% growth rate.
Cardoso said the non-oil sector maintained strong performance, contributing 94.30% to GDP with a steady 2.80% growth rate.
He added that the oil sector’s growth rate has almost doubled to 10.15% in Q2, 2024 from 5.70% in Q1, 2024, due mainly to improved security surveillance which resulted in increased production of crude oil and natural gas.
He said the Services sector continues to be the primary economic driver, contributing 58.76% to GDP with a robust growth rate of 3.79%.
Similarly, he said the Industrial sector has shown remarkable improvement, with its growth rate surging to 3.53% from 0.31%.
He pointed out that the contribution of agriculture to total GDP also increased, in addition, the growth rate of the sector rose to 1.41%, from a negative territory of -0.90%, indicating a substantial turnaround in productivity.
He also said the foreign exchange reserves have grown significantly, with remittance flows currently representing 9.4 per cent of total external reserves.
The CBN Governor further stated that the reserves grew by 12.74% to US$39.12 billion as of October 11, 2024, from US$34.70 billion at end-June 2024, driven largely by foreign capital inflows, receipts from crude oil related taxes and third-party.
“In Q2 2024, we maintained a current account surplus and saw remarkable improvements in our trade balance”, he said.
Cardoso further explained that the current external reserve position is able to finance over 12 months of import of goods and services, or 15 months of goods only.
“This is substantially higher than the prescribed international benchmark of 3.0 months, reflecting a robust buffer against external shocks.
“Inflation trended upward, driven largely by high food prices, cost of energy and legacy infrastructural challenges, but it commenced deceleration from 34.19% in June 2024 and to 33.40% in July 2024.
“The moderation in inflation became more pronounced in August 2024, as headline inflation further eased to 32.15%, largely attributed to monetary policy measures taken by the Bank”, he added.
” With aggressive monetary policy tightening coupled with robust monetary- fiscal policy coordination, inflation is expected to further trend downward in the near-to-medium term, Cardoso said.
“To combat inflation, he said they had fully reverted to orthodox monetary policy approach and implemented a comprehensive set of monetary policy measures.
“These include raising the policy rate by 850 basis points to 27.25%, increasing Cash Reserve Ratios and normalising Open Market Operations as our primary liquidity management tool.
“In addition, we have adopted an Inflation-Targeting (IT) monetary policy framework as part of the Bank’s Enterprise Strategy (2024 2028).
“The IT framework, widely adopted across various global economies, is renowned for its effectiveness in combating persistent inflation.
“These integrated measures are aimed at stabilizing prices, optimizing liquidity management, and engendering an effective monetary policy framework.
“Regarding the foreign exchange market, the the Bank implemented various reforms including a unification strategy, which streamlined various exchange rate windows into a single model, adopting the ‘Willing Buyer, Willing Seller’ approach to enhance FX liquidity and financial market stability.
“This move was aimed at fostering transparency, reducing market distortions, and enhancing the efficiency of foreign exchange allocations.
“This consolidation involved the implementation of new operational guidelines, which included removing the International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOS) quote cap.
“Additionally, the Bank resumed the sales of FX at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) and Bureau De Change (BDC) segments, bolstered by an improved supply from Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs)”, he added.
On banking supervision, Cardoso emphasised that the CBN has taken decisive actions to ensure the safety, soundness, and resilience of the banking industry.
“One of the key measures include the recapitalization of the banking sector by raising the minimum capital base to support the $1 trillion economy envisioned by the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) by 2030.
“Banks are required to meet these new thresholds by March 31, 2026, with several options available for reaching these targets.
“These options include issuing of new equities, engaging in mergers and acquisitions, or adjusting their operational licenses. The Bank also revoked the licence of Heritage Bank, facilitated the successful merger of Unity Bank and Providus Bank, revised Cybersecurity Rules for Banks and PSPs, suspension of processing fees on cash deposits, and enhanced Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) supervision, amongst others”, he stated.
On Monetary and fiscal policy coordination, he said they had strengthened collaboration during the period under review.
“In this regard, several joint committees have been instituted to build synergy and to provide platforms for key stakeholders’ engagements to explore ways through which monetary policy implementation and fiscal operations can be conducted in a mutually reinforcing manner.
“Overall, our policy measures reflect a holistic approach to addressing various challenges in the economy. While some measures have immediate effects, others are designed to bring about long-term structural changes. Our ultimate goal is to create a more stable, resilient, and efficient monetary and financial system that can better serve the Nigerian economy, while adhering to global best practices”, he noted.
Cardoso said the Bank’s numerous policy initiatives have begun to yield significant results across various sectors of the economy.
He said: “In the foreign exchange market, we have achieved increased transparency and improved overall supply. By allowing the foreign exchange rate to be determined by market demand and supply, the CBN has reduced arbitrage and speculative activities, and eliminated the front-loading of FX demand.
“These policy measures have effectively narrowed the exchange rate disparities between the NAFEM and BDC segments, which have largely led to the convergence of FX rates. Improved transparency in the market has restored market confidence leading to increased capital inflows which enabled the CBN to clear existing FX backlogs.
“The settlement of all legitimate backlogs of outstanding FX obligations by the Bank has significantly improved Nigeria’s credibility and ratings across the global financial market, helping to boost investor confidence, and enhanced liquidity in the foreign exchange market.
“With improved investor confidence, foreign investments have increased as evidenced by a significant rise in capital importation by 65.56% to $6.49 billion between January and July 2024, compared to US$3.92 billion in the corresponding period of 2023.
“Collectively, these actions have contributed significantly to the stability of the financial system. While inflation remains a major concern, we are not relenting in ensuring that requisite measures are taken.
“Headline inflation slightly increased from 32.15% in August to 32.70% in September 2024. The MPC further tightened the policy rate in its September meeting in anticipation of an uptick in inflation due to the upward adjustment of the petroleum pump price.
“On a positive note, there was a moderation in core inflation from 27.58% to 27.43% over the same period. We therefore expect the year to end with significant moderation in inflation, as our policy measures permeate the real economy,” he said.
On the outlook for the economy, Cardoso said he was confident as the country expects continued positive growth, especially in the non-oil, oil and industrial sectors.
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Kill your 2027 election, PDP, LP chieftains advise Atiku

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

A member of the National Executive Committee of the Peoples Democratic Party, Diran Odeyemi, and a chieftain of the Labour Party, Anslem Eragbe, have advised former Vice President Atiku Abubakar to kill his 2027 presidential election ambition.

Both Odeyemi and Eragbe said the South should be allowed to rule for eight years.

They said the 2027 southern president might not necessarily be President Bola Tinubu.

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Eragbe, in an interview with Sunday PUNCH, argued that Atiku should not have contested the 2023 presidential election because it was the turn of the South to produce a president.

He said, “Atiku was not supposed to contest the 2023 presidential election because it was the turn of southern Nigeria. It is the turn of the South till 2031.

“Being a former Vice President of Nigeria for eight years; Atiku knows Nigeria’s power drill and equation. He should support younger Nigerians to power and provide guidance in 2027.”

Asked if the former Vice President would breach any law if he chooses to run for the nation’s highest office in 2027, Eragbe said the PDP stalwart “is entitled to his ambition and aspirations, adding however that “2027 – 2031 is for southern Nigeria.”

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According to him, the 2027 presidency shall remain in southern Nigeria and should be zoned to the South-South region.

“It should be further micro-zoned to the (defunct) mid-Western region. I mean the defunct Bendel, now Edo and Delta states. We expect the major political parties to do this for equity, justice, fairness and parity.

“However, should President Bola Tinubu, win the 2027 presidential election and continue till 2031, power shall return to Northern Nigeria,” he added.

The former President of the Student Union Government of Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, added that when compared with other geo-political zones in the country, the South-South had spent the least number of years on the presidential seat.

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“The region that has ruled the least in Nigeria is the South-South with only five years under Goodluck Jonathan and should rule Nigeria again beginning from 2027.

“When put together, the North-Central spent a total of 17 years and 11 months, North-West, 17 years, three months; North-East, 10 years, three months; South-West, 15 years, four months by the time Tinubu finishes his term in May 2027; South East spent five years and nine months and the South-South, the only region to spend five years only on the presidential seat,” he added.

Eragbe called on the political parties to identify credible politicians, regardless of their financial status, to fly their flags for the various elective offices, stressing that 2027 would be another opportunity to right the wrongs of the past.

Speaking with Sunday PUNCH, Odeyemi stated that the ex-vice president’s participation in the 2023 presidential election and his perceived ambitions for 2027 were the causes of PDP crisis.

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He charged Atiku to bury his ambition, adding that once the former vice president failed to declare interest in 2027, the crisis in the party would be over.

The 2023 election was originally supposed to be between southerners, as former President Muhammadu Buhari, a northerner, had just completed eight years in office. However, Atiku insisted on exercising his rights, which is why there is a crisis in the PDP,” he stated.

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Why Buhari govt was shoved aside – IBB

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

Ex-military head of state, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida (IBB), has stated that he shoved aside Muhammadu Buhari’s regime because he believed his policies were detrimental to the nation’s progress.

The former military leader disclosed this in his autobiography, ‘A Journey In Service’, launched in Abuja on Thursday.

Babangida was chief of staff to Buhari, who ousted Shehu Shagari’s civilian government in the December 31, 1983 coup.

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After the military coup that replaced the civilian government of Shehu Shagari with a military regime led by Major General Muhammadu Buhari, Ibrahim Babangida assumed the Chief of Army Staff role.

However, he became increasingly dissatisfied with the Buhari government’s policies and leadership style, which he described as draconian.

Recalling how he journeyed from Minna to Lagos on August 27, 1985, to assume office, Babangida said tension had already begun to build up since the start of the year, and a change in leadership had become necessary.

He said, “On that day, it became my lot to step into the saddle of national leadership on behalf of the Nigerian armed forces. The change in leadership had become necessary as a response to the worsening mood of the nation and growing concern about our future as a people. All through the previous day, as we flew from Minna and drove through Lagos towards Bonny Camp, I was deeply reflecting on how we as a nation got to this point and how and why I found myself at this juncture of fate.

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“By the beginning of 1985, the citizenry had become apprehensive about the future of our country.

The atmosphere was precarious and fraught with ominous signs of clear and present danger. It was clear to the more discerning leadership of the armed forces that our initial rescue mission of 1983 had largely miscarried. We now stood the risk of having the armed forces split down the line because our rescue mission had largely derailed. If the armed forces imploded, the nation would go with it, and the end was just too frightening to contemplate.

“Divisions of opinion within the armed forces had come to replace the unanimity of purpose that informed the December 1983 change of government. In state affairs, the armed forces, as the only remaining institution of national cohesion, were becoming torn into factions; something needed to be done lest we lose the nation itself. My greatest fear was that division of opinion and views within the armed forces could lead to factionalisation in the military. If allowed to continue and gain root, grave dangers lay ahead.”

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How CBN Spent $8bn On Naira Defence Against Dollar At FX Market

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By Kayode Sanni-Arewa

The Chief Executive Officer of Financial Derivatives, Bismark Rewane, has revealed that the Nigerian government, through the Central Bank of Nigeria, has spent almost $8 billion defending the naira at the foreign exchange market in the last months.

Rewane, a renowned economist, disclosed this at the weekend in an interview with Channels Television.

He was reacting to the decision by the Monetary Policy Committee to retain the country’s interest rate at 27.50 percent at the same time, maintaining other MPR parameters.

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Explaining the reason the Naira has appreciated to N1,505 and N1,507 across parallel and official foreign exchange markets, he noted that the apex bank has several initiatives to support the country’s currency.

“We’ve also borrowed $4 billion in bond issues. When you take a look at that, you’ll see there is a lot of work. We’ve actually spent almost $8 billion trying to support the naira at current levels,” Rewane stated.

According to him, Nigeria’s January inflation figure, which dropped to 24.48 percent after the Consumer Price Index rebasing, does not reflect the reality of ordinary Nigerians.

“There’s no way that inflation can reduce by 10% in a short period. The man on the street does not believe that inflation has come down as sharply as that,” he said.

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