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Nigeria’s external debt may hit $45bn before January

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Nigeria’s external debt may rise to $45.1bn by the end of 2024 as the Federal Government advances plans to secure additional external funding.

The Debt Management Office revealed in its latest report that the country’s external debt stock increased by $780m in the second quarter of 2024, growing from $42.12bn in March to $42.9bn as of June 2024.

In a fresh development, the Federal Executive Council, last Thursday, approved a $2.2bn external borrowing plan as part of the Federal Government’s 2024 Appropriation Act financing programme.

The Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, announced the decision during a briefing with State House correspondents after the FEC meeting at the Aso Rock Villa in Abuja.

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According to Edun, the borrowing plan included a combination of Eurobond and Sukuk offerings, valued at $1.7bn and $500m, respectively.

The funds were expected to bolster Nigeria’s fiscal stability amid ongoing economic reforms.

Edun said the final allocation between the financial instruments would be determined based on market conditions and advice from transaction advisors, pending National Assembly approval.

“The first (memo) was to complete the borrowing programme of the FG in terms of the external borrowing with the approval of the $2.2bn financing programme made up of access to the international capital market for some combination of the Euro bond offer and the Sukuk bond offer.

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“A Euro bond of about $1.7bn and Sukuk financing of another $500m the actual makeup of the financing which will be done as soon as the National Assembly has considered and seen fate to hopefully approve of the borrowing plan and the external borrowing approval is given, it will be done this year, as soon as possible after approval.

“The actual combination of instruments that will be raised will depend on what the advisors, the transaction advisors, the commercial advisers, and what they say about market conditions at the time we decide and we want to enter the market,” Edun explained.

In its report, the DMO noted that Nigeria’s external debt experienced a notable increase in its naira valuation between March 31, 2024, and June 30, 2024, due to naira devaluation.

On March 31, 2024, the total external debt was valued at $42.12bn, equivalent to N56.02tn, using an exchange rate of N1,330.26/$1.

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By June 30, 2024, the external debt rose marginally to $42.90bn but surged to N63.07tn in naira terms due to a higher exchange rate of N1,470.19/$1.

This represents a 12.59 per cent increase in the naira valuation of external debt within the period, largely driven by the naira’s depreciation.

While the dollar-denominated debt grew by just 1.87 per cent, the significant devaluation amplified the burden of external debt in local currency terms, further emphasising the exchange rate’s critical role in Nigeria’s debt sustainability.

Justifying the borrowing, Edun said the external financing initiative aligned with the administration’s broader economic recovery plan, which focused on stabilising macroeconomic conditions, adjusting market pricing for foreign exchange and petroleum products, and supporting local production.

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He added that, earlier in the year, Nigeria’s successful domestic issuance of dollar bonds highlighted the growing resilience and sophistication of the country’s financial market, attracting both local and international investors who showcased confidence in the Federal Government’s economic reform agenda.

The PUNCH earlier reported that the Federal Government spent $3.58bn servicing its foreign debt in the first nine months of 2024, representing a 39.77 per cent increase from the $2.56bn spent during the same period in 2023.

This was according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria on international payment statistics.

The significant rise in external debt service payments shows the mounting pressure on Nigeria’s fiscal balance amid ongoing economic challenges.

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Brotherhood crisis turns violent as worshippers reject Olumba’s successor

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The prolonged succession crisis in a Nigerian Christian religious sect, the Brotherhood of the Cross and Star, has festered on since its founder, Olumba Obu, passed away.

The crisis turned violent recently as angry worshippers in a particular branch in Uyo, Akwa Ibom State, became riotous, destroying the portrait of Olumba’s first son, Rowland, who leads a faction of the sect.

Olumba’s daughter, Ibum, leads another faction.

A video, which is being circulated on WhatsApp groups and Facebook, captured a man in a white cassock yanking off Rowland’s portrait from the wall and smashing it on the floor amid cheers from worshippers.

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Rowland’s portrait was hung near Olumba’s, but the angry worshippers did not attack the latter.

“Bring it down!” a woman’s voice could be heard shouting in the background of the video as the man in a white cassock smashed the glass frame on the ground.

“This is who we are worshipping,” a man’s voice could be heard shouting repeatedly as the camera panned and then focused on Olumba’s portrait on the wall.

It is not clear when the incident happened.

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Amah Williams, the sect’s spokesperson, said the incident happened in Uyo at the sect’s Nsikak Edouk Avenue branch.

Rowland and Ibum, with hundreds of their followers, are claiming the leadership of the 68-year-old sect after their father’s passing, causing a disastrous split in a once united and strong organisation headquartered in the Biakpan community in Cross River State, Nigeria’s South-south.

‘They are rebels’

Mr Williams, the sect’s spokesperson, told reporters on Saturday in Uyo that those responsible for the incident belong to a breakaway faction called Brotherhood of the Cross and Star New Kingdom Ministry.

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He described them as rebels who do not want to accept Rowland’s leadership – he did not call Rowland by name as Olumba’s successor is revered among worshippers as “King of Kings and Lord of Lords, His Holiness Olumba Olumba Obu”.

“They are rebels. They rebelled; they rejected the rulership of the Kingdom of Christ,” Mr Williams told reporters.

“The holy image of our father is what we hold sacred,” he said, apparently referring to the destruction of Rowland’s portrait.

A reporter asked the spokesperson what place Jesus Christ occupies in the Brother of the Cross and Star.

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“That same (Jesus) Christ is the one that came with the new name Olumba Olumba Obu,” responded.

“If Olumba were to be a white man, black men would have gone to worship on his feet.”

The over 1 million global members of the Brotherhood of the Cross and Star do not see themselves as a church but as the new Kingdom of God on Earth. They have also refused to admit that their founder had passed away as the sect has yet to announce his passing or publicly conduct his burial.

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Tinubu’s reforms struggling to deliver meaningful results – IMF

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Eighteen months after the implementation of Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has observed that the fiscal policies introduced by the President Bola Tinubu administration are struggling to deliver meaningful results.

Catherine Patillo, IMF Deputy Director, while presenting a report at the Lagos Business School (LBS) on Friday, reported a mixed performance of economic reforms across Sub-Saharan Africa, with notable successes in countries such as Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana and Zambia.

Nigeria was conspicuously absent from the list of success stories in the region.

The report stated that sub-Saharan Africa’s average economic growth rate is projected to remain at 3.6 per cent for 2024. It noted that Nigeria’s growth rate, pegged at 3.19 per cent, falls below this average.

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Patillo said that while macroeconomic imbalances have reduced in several countries, Nigeria has yet to show such progress.

She stated that more than two-thirds of countries have undertaken fiscal consolidation, stressing that while the median primary balance is expected to narrow by 0.7 percentage points alone in 2024, there are notable improvements in Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Zambia, among others.

The report stated, “In contrast, Nigeria’s inflation rate, which slowed briefly in July and August, resumed its upward trend in September, rising further in October.

“At 33.8 per cent, it significantly exceeds the 21 per cent target set for 2024, with analysts predicting further increases in November and December.”

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The report also observed Nigeria’s struggles with exchange rate stability, highlighting it as one of the worst-performing nations in that regard.

According to the report, other countries in the region are experiencing reduced foreign exchange pressures but Nigeria’s local currency depreciation and instability remain a concern.

On debt servicing, the report said Nigeria ranked among countries suffering the heaviest fiscal burden.

The IMF noted that rising debt service obligations are consuming substantial portions of revenue, limiting resources available for development.

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It stated that in Angola, Ghana, Nigeria, and Zambia, the increase in interest payments alone absorbed a massive 15 per cent of total revenue.

The IMF grouped Nigeria among resource-intensive countries struggling with social and political challenges that hinder reform implementation.

Political unrest, public dissatisfaction, and tight financing conditions were identified as major impediments.

The report noted that resource-intensive countries continue to grow at about half the rate of the rest of the region, with oil exporters struggling the most and further noted that adjustment fatigue, public resistance, and weak communication strategies are undermining the impact of reforms in Nigeria.

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The IMF recommended rethinking reform strategies, urging countries like Nigeria to adopt measures that mobilise public support for deep structural changes.

It pointed out the need for greater attention to communication and engagement strategies, reform design, compensatory measures, and rebuilding trust in public institutions.

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NMDPRA seals oil, gas retail outlets in Delta over sharp practices

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The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, NMDPRA, has sealed petroleum retail outlets and gas plants over sharp practices in Delta.

Their offenses bordered on under-dispensing, operating without valid licenses and other illegalities within the filling stations.

They were sealed by the surveillance team of the regulatory authority at Asaba and Ibusa in the state.

The Delta State Coordinator of NMDPRA, Engr. Victor Ohwodiasa, revealed over the weekend that the authority would not tolerate a situation where people would be shortchanged as a result of under-dispensing and other illegalities.

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Ohwodiasa called on petroleum marketers to ensure that their metres are well-calibrated and sell accurately.

According to him, the awkward dealings included but not limited to under-dispensing, product quality, suspected diversion, illegal bunkering activities, illegal discharge of unauthorised petroleum products in unauthorised locations.

“In line with our mandates, we constantly visit petroleum retail outlets to ensure they sell one litre for one litre.

“Agreeably, there are bound to be variations due to mechanical error in their machines but these are subject to limits, when it exceeds, we shutdown the facilities,” he said

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“Based on what we have been doing to ensure the consumers are not shortchanged. We have been visiting retail outlets across the local government areas in the state to ensure sanity is brought and maintained within the retail outlets.

“This week, we have sealed four stations within the Asaba and Ibusa axis over offences bordering on under-dispensing, operating without valid licenses and illegal activities within the filling stations.

“We will continue to sustain the tempo in this ember months and beyond to ensure products are made available to consumers and sold at the right prices and quantity,” he said.

Ohwodiasa urged the public to always notify the regulatory authority whenever they notice any awkward transactions in their dealing with the petroleum marketers for immediate actions.

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