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Economy

States tackle NNPCL over extra N1tn subsidy payment

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has requested an additional subsidy refund of N1.19 trillion for July 2024, citing exchange rate differentials on Premium Motor Spirit importation and joint venture taxes, according to findings by The PUNCH.

But state governments tackled the national oil company over the latest request, as they raised concerns over NNPCL’s accounting practices.

These findings were based on the Federation Account Allocation Committee Postmortem Sub-Committee report for September 2024, which was obtained by The PUNCH on Monday.

The report revealed that exchange rate differentials stood at N4.56tn as of June 2024 (due to under-recovery on petrol imports between August 2023 and June 2024), but this figure increased to N5.31tn by July 2024.

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The NNPCL attributed the rise to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and unresolved subsidy payments from previous months.

The total figure adds to concerns over the fiscal impact of subsidy payments on the Federation Account.

Exchange rate fluctuations and the rising cost of importing PMS have continued to strain government revenues, raising questions about the sustainability of the partial subsidy framework.

Committee raises concerns

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The FAAC Sub-Committee raised concerns over NNPCL’s accounting practices, noting discrepancies in the figures submitted.

The NNPCL’s report included N1.19tn as a balance brought forward, contributing to the overall claim of N5.31tn.

However, the Sub-Committee noted that this amount had not been included in earlier FAAC reports and was therefore not recognised in its deliberations.

The report read, “As of June 2024, the Exchange Rate Differentials stood at N4,558,597,379,030.6. This amount increased to N5,309,418,715,637.13 as of the July 2024 Federation Account.

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“Note that NNPCL’s request for the application of Weighted Average Rate covers the period August to June 2024. Also, recall that all outstanding payments against NNPCL as of May 2024 were referred to the Presidential Alignment Committee for reconciliation.

“However, the Sub-Committee observed that NNPCL in their report included the sum of N1,186,540,693,485.36 as an amount brought forward totalling N5,309,418,715,637.13 in their ledger. FAAC Postmortem did not recognize the Balance Brought Forward because it was not included in the FAAC report earlier submitted.”

During the September meeting with agencies, the NNPCL informed the FAAC Postmortem Sub-Committee that the N1.19tn figure was an actual under-recovery amount, which included adjustments for June and July 2024.

This amount, the NNPCL said, was used as the opening balance in its report.

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In response, the Sub-Committee recommended that the NNPCL re-submit the figure for consideration at the next plenary.

The report noted, “During the monthly reconditioning meeting with Agencies, NNPCL informed the meeting that the amount submitted to the Presidential Alignment Committee for under-recovery was estimated. The actual under-recovery of N1,186,540,693,485.36, including June and July 2024, resulted in the opening balance in the NNPCL report.

“The Sub-Committee resolved that since NNPCL’s earlier report to FAAC did not include the sum of N1,186,540,693,485.36 brought forward, NNPCL should re-submit the amount for FAAC Plenary noting.”

Missing documentation

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Further scrutiny of the NNPCL’s claims revealed additional issues. Minutes of a previous FAAC meeting indicated that as of June 2024, the NNPCL had reported an outstanding claim of N4.34tn against the Federation.

The claim, which was tied to exchange rate differentials, lacked essential details, including the volume of PMS imported, pricing, and sales values.

The Federal Commissioner of the Revenue Mobilisation, Allocation, and Fiscal Commission stated that the omission of these details made it difficult for the Sub-Committee to justify the figures submitted.

Consequently, the sub-committee directed the NNPCL to provide all relevant information to enable further assessment of its claims.

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The FAAC Postmortem Sub-Committee has emphasised the need for transparency and accountability in subsidy-related reporting.

It noted that the discrepancies in the NNPCL’s submissions had delayed the reconciliation process, which had already been referred to the Presidential Alignment Committee.

The sub-committee also urged the NNPCL to ensure the inclusion of all outstanding amounts and a comprehensive breakdown of its PMS importation records in future reports.

The minutes for one of the FAAC meetings, which was seen by The PUNCH, noted, “The Federal Commissioner, RMAFC, informed the meeting that NNPC Limited reported to the Sub-committee that it had an outstanding claim of N4,344,519,176,167.32 against the Federation as a result of exchange rate differentials as at June 2024.

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“He stated that the Sub-committee observed that the details of the PMS volume, price, and sales value were not provided in the June 2024 Report of NNPC Limited to justify the exchange rate differentials recorded. He concluded that the Sub-committee had resolved to request NNPC Ltd to provide the relevant information for further consideration.”

The PUNCH earlier reported that Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited demanded a refund of N4.71tn from the Federal Government to settle outstanding debts used to import Premium Motor Spirit, popularly called petrol, into the country.

However, the NNPCL clarified that the N4.71tn was just an estimate, and the actual figure was N4.34tn, which increased to N5.31tn by July 2024.

This development means that the government has been supporting fuel imports by covering the difference between the projected rate and the actual expenses incurred by the NNPCL for importing petroleum products into the country.

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This difference in cost, which ordinarily should be reflected in the retail price of the product and borne by final consumers, contradicts the government’s claims that subsidies have been eliminated.

This revelation also comes amid challenges faced by the petroleum company to ensure the adequate supply of PMS to marketers for distribution nationwide.

On May 29, 2023, during his inauguration, President Bola Tinubu publicly declared that “subsidy is gone,” signalling the end of barriers that had been restricting the nation’s economic growth.

However, this claim has been contested by the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and other authoritative figures, who argue that the government had quietly reintroduced fuel subsidies.

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In June, a proposed economic stabilisation plan document stated that the government planned to spend about N5.4tn on fuel subsidies.

The N5.31tn demanded by the NNPCL for petrol under-recovery is about 98.33% of what the Federal Government had planned to spend on fuel subsidies this year.

Between January and June 2023, the Federal Government spent about N3.6tn on fuel subsidy, which was far more than the N2tn spent for the entire year of 2022.

In the approved Medium-Term Expenditure Framework, the Federal Government admitted that the petrol subsidies have remained a major challenge.

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It noted that the final 2023 dividend for the Federal Government from the NNPCL was withheld to settle fuel subsidies.

The MTEF document noted, “Despite recent reforms, petrol subsidies continue to have a significant adverse impact on oil revenues. Recently, the 2023 final dividend due to the federation was withheld for payment of fuel subsidies.”

Amidst the increasing cost burden on the government for petrol under-recovery, and despite promising to bring down the price of petrol during his campaign, President Bola Tinubu has repeatedly increased petrol price by about 505.71 per cent – from N175 in May 2023 to N1,060 in October 2024 – inflicting more pains on the already impoverished Nigerians.

Credit: PUNCH

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Economy

CBN targets single-digit inflation in three years

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has set its sights on reducing inflation to a single digit in the medium to long term, following the recent rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and subsequent decline in inflation to 24.48 per cent.

CBN Governor, Dr Olayemi Cardoso, who spoke yesterday at a press briefing after the first Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of 2025, reiterated the apex bank’s commitment to orthodox monetary policies, noting that the positive outcomes so far indicate that inflation is trending downward.

He said that after two days of deliberation, the MPC decided to maintain all key monetary policy parameters, including the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.50 per cent, the asymmetric corridor around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points, the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 50.00 per cent for Deposit Money Banks and 16.00 per cent for Merchant Banks, and the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00 per cent.

Clarifying the impact of the rebased CPI, Cardoso explained that the lower inflation figure should not be misinterpreted.

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He underlined the need to analyse more data before drawing comparisons, noting that the CBN is currently assessing the figures and will provide further guidance in due course.

Despite the complexities, he pointed out that inflation is gradually declining, supported by the recent stability and appreciation of the foreign exchange rate, with the differential between the official and parallel markets now less than one percent.

He stressed the critical importance of collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities in sustaining recent economic improvements.

He cited the recent Monetary Policy Forum as an example, where stakeholders from the organised private sector, Bureau de Change operators, and government representatives, including the Minister of Finance, participated.

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Cardoso noted that both sides are committed to deepening their dialogue and holding regular meetings to address key economic issues proactively.

Addressing concerns about the impact of elevated borrowing costs on economic growth, the CBN Governor assured that the apex bank’s primary objective is to stabilize the foreign exchange and financial markets.

He expressed confidence that such stability would attract increased foreign investments, stimulating the much-needed economic growth.

He also highlighted the competitiveness of the Nigerian currency, which has spurred growing interest from international investors.

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Cardoso said that improved oil production, reaching 1.54 million barrels per day by the end of January 2025, would strengthen Nigeria’s current account position and positively impact external reserves. Despite prevailing macroeconomic challenges, the MPC observed that the banking sector remains resilient. However, the Committee urged the CBN to maintain vigilant oversight, particularly in light of ongoing banking system recapitalisation, ensuring that only quality capital is injected.

The MPC noted several factors expected to positively influence price dynamics in the near to medium term, including the stabilisation of the foreign exchange market, the moderation of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) prices, and the federal government’s efforts to improve security in food-producing areas.

The Committee emphasised the need for continued collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities to maintain and build upon these gains.

Additionally, the MPC acknowledged improvements in the external sector, with the convergence of exchange rates between the Nigeria Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) and Bureau de Change (BDC) operators.

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The Committee commended CBN’s recent measures, such as the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System and the Nigeria Foreign Exchange Code, aimed at enhancing transparency and credibility in the forex market.

The MPC expressed confidence that recent monetary and fiscal policy measures would attract increased foreign direct investment, portfolio inflows, and diaspora remittances as investor confidence grows.

The Committee also assured of its commitment to sustaining these measures to anchor inflation expectations, ease exchange rate pressures, deepen financial inclusion, and enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission mechanisms.

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Economy

There’s no law in Nigeria prohibiting importation of PMS-Govt regulator

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The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), on Wednesday, stated that no law prohibits Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) from importing when necessary.

The NMDPRA, while saying that all the petroleum products imported to the country this year are of standard quality, clarified that the NNPCL has not imported the Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) petrol this year.

The Executive Director, Distribution System, Storage and Retailing Infrastructure, Ogbugo Ukoha, who made this disclosure in a press briefing in Abuja, noted that local refineries met 50 per cent national consumption requirement while the shortfall is imported by Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs).

He explained that the contribution of local refineries has been less than a 60 per cent shortfall in January and February 2025.

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He however specifically noted that none of the OMCs that owned refineries have imported petroleum products this year.

In his words, “So, just for clarity, what I am saying is that the contribution of local refining towards the sufficiency was less than 60 per cent in January and less than 50 percent in February 2025.

He added that “the shortfall is sourced by way of importation. Even though none of the OMCs that owned refineries have imported this year PMS.”

On quality, he said the NMDPRA always insists that all petroleum products meet the specifications of the Standard Organization of Nigeria (SON) and the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021.

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According to him, the Authority does not permit the distribution of products that fall short of quality standards.

“You must meet those specifications, otherwise we will not let those products be distributed,” he said.

He announced that the NMDPRA has banned trucks carrying over 60,000 litres of hydrocarbon products from loading effectively from 1st March 2025.

Similarly, a statement by the NNPC spokesman, Femi Soneye, on Tuesday, while reacting to a report on the alleged importation of 200million litres, noted that while NNPC Limited has not imported PMS in 2025, “it is important to clarify that there is no law prohibiting NNPC Limited from importing when necessary”.

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He added in the statement that “As a company primarily responsible for ensuring energy security in Nigeria if there were any PMS supply insufficiency in the future, NNPC Limited has the right and responsibility to intervene by importing to bridge the gap.”

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Economy

FG’s deficit spending declines 15% to N908.13bn

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The Federal Government’s (FG) deficit spending saw a 15 percent reduction month-on-month (MoM), falling to N908.13 billion in November 2024 from N1.07 trillion in October 2024.

This information was disclosed by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in its November Economic Report, which noted that the decline was linked to a decrease in capital spending, attributed to delays in the release of capital allocations.

The CBN said: “The overall fiscal balance of the FGN narrowed in November 2024.

“Provisional data showed that the overall deficit contracted by 15 per cent relative to the preceding month but was 18.72 per cent above the target.

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“The contraction reflected lower capital spending due, largely, to delay in capital releases.”

The CBN also said that FG’s retained revenue rose to N820 billion while its expenditure fell to N1.7 trillion due to lower capital spending recorded during the review period.

According to the CBN, “FGN retained revenue rose during the review period owing, largely, to higher receipts from FGN’s share of VAT pool and exchange gain.”

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