Economy
Stop Interest Hiking, Experts Tell CBN As Apex Bank Raises Rate Again
Experts have called on the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to halt its consistent interest rate hikes, citing the adverse effects on small businesses and household finances. The call follows the apex bank’s decision to increase the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 25 basis points, raising it from 27.25% to 27.50%.
The decision, announced by CBN Governor Yemi Cardoso after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in Abuja, was aimed at tackling rising inflation. The MPC unanimously agreed to the hike, emphasizing its necessity to curb inflationary pressures.
Governor Cardoso also highlighted concerns over inflation driven by surging food and energy costs, stating that price stability remains a top priority. “The full deregulation of the downstream petroleum sector is expected to stabilize price levels in the medium term,” he added.
Financial analysts expressed mixed reactions to the move. Professor Uche Uwaleke, Nigeria’s first Professor of Capital Market, suggested the marginal increase could indicate a pause in aggressive rate hikes by early next year. “A halt is necessary to alleviate the rising cost of funds and improve credit access for small businesses,” Uwaleke explained.
On the other hand, Olatunde Amolegbe, Managing Director of Arthur Steven Asset Management, acknowledged the hike as expected but warned it could further strain businesses and households. “Higher financing costs will be passed to consumers, escalating prices of goods and services,” he noted.
David Adonri, Managing Director of Highcap Securities Limited, underscored the importance of monetary policy in managing inflation but stressed its limitations without complementary fiscal measures. He attributed rising inflation to expansionary fiscal policies, insecurity, and currency depreciation.
Despite the CBN’s measures, inflation remains stubbornly high, exacerbating economic instability. Analysts linked poor Q3 2024 GDP performance in agriculture and manufacturing to rising interest and exchange rates.
Adonri emphasized that unchecked inflation would harm both consumers and producers, urging fiscal and monetary authorities to collaborate on structural reforms. “Interest rate hikes offer short-term benefits, such as exchange rate stability, but addressing structural issues is vital for long-term growth,” he said.
Cardoso expressed satisfaction with the banking sector’s stability amid external and internal challenges. He noted that key financial indicators, including the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratio, remained robust.
Experts and the CBN alike stressed the need for coordination between monetary and fiscal policies to address the structural causes of inflation and stabilize the economy. Governor Cardoso reaffirmed the importance of collaboration, especially in managing exchange rate pressures and inflation fueled by high demand and energy costs.
The local currency (abokiFx) opened at ₦1,560.00 per $1 at the parallel market, otherwise known as the black market, today, Monday, 7 April 2025, in Lagos, Nigeria, after it closed at ₦1,550.00 per $1 on Sunday, 6 April 2025.
Black market dollar to naira exchange rate today, 7 April 2025, also known as Aboki forex, can be accessed below.
NOTE: The exchange rate changes hourly. It depends on the volume of dollars available and the Demand. What this means is that…you can buy or sell 1 dollar at a certain rate and the price can change (high or low) within hours.
The official naira black market exchange rate in Nigeria today, including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC), and CBN rates. Please note that the exchange rate is subject to hourly fluctuations influenced by the supply and demand of dollars in the market. As of now, you can purchase 1 dollar at a certain rate now however, it’s important to remember that the rate can shift (either upwards or downwards) within hours.
Oil prices plunged this week to $65 per barrel as the United States import tariffs and an unexpected OPEC+ supply hike erased $10 per barrel from global benchmarks.
The price appreciated last week when US President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on any country that buys crude from Venezuela.
However, oil prices turned around the corner as of Friday, with Brent falling to $65, the first time since 2021.
According to oilprice.com, the combined effect of Trump’s import tariffs, OPEC+’s inopportune decision to speed up the unwinding of production cuts, and China’s retaliatory actions wiped off $10 per barrel from global oil prices, “with ICE Brent falling below $65 per barrel for the first time since August 2021.”
The US West Texas Intermediate crude futures lost $4.96, or 7.4 per cent to end at $61.99.
“Seeing backwardation barely change compared to the beginning of the week, one could assume that US tariffs are the defining factor for the price change. Nevertheless, this week will not go down well in the history of oil markets,” oilprice.com reports.
China’s retaliatory tariffs on US goods have escalated a trade war that has led investors to price in a higher probability of recession.
China, the world’s top oil importer, announced it will impose additional tariffs of 34 per cent on all US goods from April 10.
According to Reuters, nations around the world have readied retaliation after Trump raised tariffs to their highest in more than a century.
Aside from the tariffs, another factor that further pressured oil prices was the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies’ decision to advance plans for output increases.
The group now aims to return 411,000 barrels per day to the market in May, up from the previously planned 135,000 bpd.
The Central Bank of Nigeria has injected $197.71m into the foreign exchange market on Friday, April 4, 2025, as part of its commitment to ensuring adequate liquidity and maintaining orderly market functioning.
This was disclosed in a statement on Saturday by the Director of the Financial Markets Department, Dr Omolara Omotunde-Duke, reiterating the bank’s stance on maintaining market integrity and operational transparency.
The statement read, “In line with its commitment to ensuring adequate liquidity and supporting orderly market functioning, the CBN facilitated market activity on Friday, April 4, 2025, with the provision of $197.71m through sales to authorised dealers. This measured step aligns with the bank’s broader objective of fostering a stable, transparent, and efficient foreign exchange market.”
The CBN said the intervention was in line with its broader objective of fostering a stable, transparent, and efficient foreign exchange market.
It added that it remained focused on sustaining liquidity levels to support smooth market operations amid ongoing global economic adjustments.
The apex bank said the decision to boost liquidity in the FX market came against the backdrop of significant shifts in the global macroeconomic landscape, which had affected many emerging markets and developing economies, including Nigeria.
It noted that the recent introduction of new import tariffs by the United States on goods from several economies had triggered adjustments across global markets.
It added that crude oil prices—a major revenue source for Nigeria—had dropped by over 12 per cent, settling at approximately $65.50 per barrel.
The CBN said the downturn posed challenges for oil-exporting countries, influencing exchange rate dynamics and market sentiment.
The CBN stressed that it would continue to monitor both global and domestic market conditions. It expressed confidence in the resilience of Nigeria’s foreign exchange framework, which it said was designed to adjust appropriately to changing economic fundamentals.
The bank also urged all authorised dealers to strictly adhere to the principles outlined in the Nigerian FX Market Code, promoting transparency and upholding the highest standards in their transactions with clients and market counterparties.
Meanwhile, Nigeria’s official exchange rate fell to N1,600/$1 at the end of trading on April 4, 2025, as the tariffs imposed during the Trump era continued to impact global markets.
Data from the CBN showed that the naira closed at N1,600/$1, marking a 1.9 per cent depreciation compared to the N1,569/$1 recorded the previous day.
The figure also marked the weakest level the naira had reached since December 4, 2024, when it closed at N1,608/$1. The exchange rate has now weakened by 3.9 per cent in the first four days of April, after closing March at N1,537/$1.
According to the CBN, the exchange rate closed at N1,600/$1 on Friday, marking a 1.9 per cent drop from the previous day.
The intra-day highs and lows were reported as N1,625 and N1,519 to the dollar, respectively. The intra-day high of N1,625 is also one of the highest levels recorded this year, indicating that traders priced the naira at significantly weaker levels.
Conversely, the intra-day low of N1,519/$1 suggests that some traders still priced the naira stronger, possibly betting on short-term interventions.
The NFEM rate, which represents the average exchange rate, closed at N1,567, the weakest the naira has traded this year and since December 4, 2024.
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