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Ghana becomes record fifth African nation to take over from ruling party this year

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Ghana’s vote brings to an end a remarkable 12 months in African politics, which have seen five transfers of power – more than ever before. This “annus horribilis” for governments has now also brought opposition victories in Botswana, Mauritius, Senegal and the self-declared republic of Somaliland.

Even beyond these results, almost every election held in the region this year under reasonably democratic conditions, has seen the governing party lose a significant number of seats.

This trend has been driven by a combination of factors:

*the economic downturn

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*growing public intolerance of corruption

*and the emergence of increasingly assertive and well-co-ordinated opposition parties.

The trend is likely to continue into 2025, and will cause trouble for leaders such as Malawian President Lazarus Chakwera, whose country goes to the polls in September.

One of the most striking aspect of the elections that have taken place in 2024 is that many have resulted in landslide defeats for governments that have previously appeared to have a strong grip on power – including in countries that have never before experienced a change at the top.

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The Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) that had ruled the country since independence in 1966 was crushed in October’s general elections.

As well as losing power, the BDP went from holding 38 seats in the 69-strong parliament to almost being wiped out.

After winning only four seats, the BDP is now one of the smallest parties in parliament, and faces an uphill battle to remain politically relevant.

There was also a landslide defeat for the governing party in Mauritius in November, where the Alliance Lepep coalition, headed by Pravind Jagnauth of the Militant Socialist Movement, won only 27% of the vote and was reduced to just two seats in parliament.

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With its rival Alliance du Changement sweeping 60 of the 66 seats available, Mauritius has experienced one of the most complete political transformations imaginable.

Senegal and the self-declared republic of Somaliland also saw opposition victories.

In the case of Senegal, the political turnaround was just as striking as in Botswana, albeit in a different way.

Just weeks ahead of the election, the main opposition leaders Bassirou Diomaye Faye and Ousmane Sonko were languishing in jail as the government of President Macky Sall abused its power in a desperate bid to avert defeat.

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After growing domestic and international pressure led to Faye and Sonko being released, Faye went on to win the presidency in the first round of voting, with the government’s candidate winning only 36% of the vote.

Even in cases where governments have not lost, their reputation and political control have been severely dented.

South Africa’s African National Congress (ANC) retained power but only after a bruising campaign that saw it fall below 50% of the vote in a national election for the first time since the end of white-minority rule in 1994.

This forced President Cyril Ramaphosa to enter into a coalition government, giving up 12 cabinet posts to other parties, including powerful positions such as home affairs.

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The recent elections in Namibia told a similar story. Although the ruling party retained power, the opposition has rejected the results and claims the poll was badly manipulated after it was marred by logistical problems and irregularities.

Even with the flaws, the government suffered in the parliamentary election, recording its worst-ever performance, losing 12 of its 63 seats and only just holding on to its parliamentary majority.

As a result, a region that is known more for governments that manage to hold on to power for decades has seen 12 months of vibrant, intensely contested, multiparty politics.

The only exceptions to this have been countries where elections were seen as neither free nor fair, such as Chad and Rwanda, or in which governments were accused by opposition and rights groups of resorting to a combination of rigging and repression to avert defeat, as in Mozambique.

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Three trends have combined to make it a particularly difficult year to be in power.

In Botswana, Mauritius and Senegal, growing citizen concern about corruption and the abuse of power eroded government credibility.

Opposition leaders were then able to play on popular anger at nepotism, economic mismanagement and the failure of leaders to uphold the rule of law to expand their support base.

Especially in Mauritius and Senegal, the party in power also undermined its claim to be a government committed to respecting political rights and civil liberties – a dangerous misstep in countries where the vast majority of citizens are committed to democracy, and which have previously seen opposition victories.

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The perception that governments were mishandling the economy was particularly important because many people experienced a tough year financially.

High food and fuel prices have increased the cost of living for millions of citizens, increasing their frustration with the status quo.

In addition to underpinning some of the government defeats this year, economic anThis is not an African phenomenon, of course, but a global one.

Popular discontent over inflation played a role in the defeat of Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party in the UK and the victory of Donald Trump and the Republican Party in the United States.

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What was perhaps more distinctive about the transfers of power in Africa this year was the way that opposition parties learned from the past.

In some cases, such as Mauritius, this meant developing new ways to try and protect the vote by ensuring every stage of the electoral process was carefully watched.

In others, it meant forging new coalitions to present the electorate with a united front.

In Botswana, for example, three opposition parties and a number of independent candidates came together under the banner of the Umbrella for Democratic Change to comprehensively out-mobilise the BDP.

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A similar set of trends is likely to make life particularly difficult for leaders that have to go to the polls next year, such as Malawi’s President Chakwera, who is also struggling to overcome rising public anger at the state of the economy.

With the defeat of the NPP in Ghana, Africa has seen five transfers of power in 12 months. The previous record was four opposition victories, which occurred some time ago in 2000.

That so many governments are being given an electoral bloody nose against a backdrop of global democratic decline that has seen a rise in authoritarianism in some regions is particularly striking.

It suggests that Africa has much higher levels of democratic resilience than is often recognised, notwithstanding the number of entrenched authoritarian regimes that continue to exist.

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Civil society groups, opposition parties and citizens themselves have mobilised in large numbers to demand accountability, and punish governments that have failed both economically and democratically.

International governments, organisations, and activists looking for new ways to defend democracy around the world should pay more attention to a region that is often assumed to be an inhospitable environment for multiparty politics, yet has seen more examples of democratic bounce-back than other regions of the world.

BBC

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Crashed helicopter flying NNPC officials violated regulations – FG

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Barely two months after a Sikorsky SK76 helicopter operated by East Aviation crashed in Port Harcourt, the Nigerian Safety Investigation Bureau has disclosed that its handlers violated several of the Nigeria Civil Aviation Regulations directives.

Although the bureau was silent on whether or not the vices led to the unfortunate incident, the act shows gaps in the regulatory duties of the NCAR.

The helicopter, which was contracted by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, plunged into the Atlantic Ocean near Bonny Finima, off the coast of Calabar on October 24, with six passengers and two crew members.

Five bodies of the eight victims have been recovered while the remaining three are still yet to be found.

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While reeling out the preliminary findings of the bureau on the accident, The Director-General of NSIB, Alex Badeh, on Tuesday told journalists in Abuja that the crashed helicopter was not fitted with a Flight Data Recorder, a violation of the Part 7.8.2.2(q) of Nigeria Civil Aviation Regulations (Nig. CARs) Act 2023

Badeh added that the helicopter crew members used non-standard phraseology throughout the flight.

The preliminary findings of the bureau read partly, “The helicopter was fitted with a solid-state cockpit voice recorder; The helicopter was not fitted with a Flight Data Recorder; although Part 7.8.2.2(q) of Nigeria Civil Aviation Regulations (Nig. CARs) 2023 requires that FDR shall be fitted on the helicopter; The flight crew used non-standard phraseology throughout the flight.”

The report further reads; “There were no standard callouts for the various phases of the flight; The helicopter Radio Altimeter (Rad alt) was snagged and deferred on October 18, 2024, six days before the accident; No dew point data was reported in the weather information passed to 5N-BQG on the day of the occurrence.”

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While speaking on the causes of the crash, Badeh explained that the investigators discovered that it appeared to be “Struggling to gain balance right before crashing into the ocean.”

He further noted that the crew’s struggle was followed by an aural warning from the aircraft, “Bank angle, Bank angle,” which was the last recorded data on the Cockpit Voice Recorder with smoke emanating from the engine before it ditched into the water.

Other reports released by the NSIB include a final report on the serious accidents involving Beech Baron 58 aircraft operated by Nigerian College of Aviation Technology, Zaria with nationality and registration marks 5N-CAG, which occurred on runway 5 at General Hassan Usman Katsina International Airport, Kaduna on December 31, 2022 and five other incidents.

The NSIB, however, charged the NCAA to ensure strict compliance with the Nigerian Civil Aviation Regulations (Nig. CARs) 2023 part 7.8.2.2(q) which requires that all helicopters with a maximum take-off mass over 3175 kg and up to 7000 kg be fitted with a Flight Data Recorder.

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Kaduna returns Abacha family property seized by El-Rufai

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Kaduna State Governor, Senator Uba Sani, has reinstated ownership of two properties previously revoked from the family of the late military dictator, Gen. Sani Abacha, during the administration of his predecessor, Nasir El-Rufai.

The properties, located at No. 9 Abakpa GRA and No. 1 Degel Road, Ungwan Rimi GRA, in Kaduna, had been seized in 2022 following allegations of breaches of occupancy terms under the Land Use Act.

Speaking on Tuesday, Abacha family lawyer, Reuben Atabo (SAN), confirmed the reinstatement, describing it as a significant development.

The revocation, which was widely publicised in newspapers on April 28, 2022, included the late Abacha’s name as item 34 among those affected.

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Atabo said the move had caused “embarrassment” to the Abacha family, prompting legal action against the state government.

Governor Sani, however, reversed the revocation in two separate letters dated December 10, 2024, through the Kaduna Geographic Information Service.

Both letters, signed by Mustapha Haruna on behalf of the Director General of KADGIS, directed the family to settle outstanding fees and charges as a condition for reinstatement.

One of the letters reads: “His Excellency, the Governor of Kaduna State, has in the powers conferred on him under the Land Use Act 1978, reinstated the aforementioned title… Subject to strict condition of settling all outstanding fees and charges.”

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The Abacha family, through Atabo, welcomed the decision, describing it as a gesture of fairness and justice.

The reinstatement marks a shift from El-Rufai’s administration, which had cited “various contraventions” as the basis for revoking the properties.

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CAC deregistered 300,000 dormant companies in one year

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The Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) has deregistered over 300,000 dormant companies within a year to sanitise the nation’s corporate registration system.

The Registrar General, Hussaini Ishaq Magaji (SAN), announced this in an exclusive interview with The Nation in Abuja.

Magaji said: “From October 16, 2023, when I assumed office, to date, we have witnessed an extraordinary level of deregistration. In December 2023 alone, we deregistered over 100,000 companies. By February 2024, another 100,000 companies were removed, and recently, we deregistered an additional 100,000.”

The CAC boss explained that the deregistered entities had remained inactive, failing to file annual returns for over a decade.

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According to him, some of the companies posed risks to the economy, as they could be used for fraudulent activities.

He said: “Our challenge is that we are not even deregistering in millions. This is because, as I earlier told you, business registration in Nigeria started since sometime around 1912. And what we have in our portal is from 2021. So, you can see the barrier.

“All the historical records from that year to this year are not on the portal. We are onboarding them gradually. When we complete our task, we will then have the total number of the dormant companies and they will go.

“Our system is integrated with critical agencies, such as the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), security agencies, embassies, and banks. Once a company is marked as inactive on our portal, it cannot access banking services, process embassy documents, or engage in other operations,” he said.

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Magaji explained the legal framework supporting these actions, saying: “If a company remains dormant for over 10 years, we are empowered to deregister it. Additionally, even if a company has been inactive for two years without filing annual returns, I can deregister it under the law.”

The registrar general attributed the success of CAC’s measures to the political will of the Federal Government.

He added: “We have been given a free hand by Mr. President and the supervising minister to carry out our duties without interference. This has enabled us to act boldly and decisively.”

Magaji dismissed the claims that a significant number of companies were folding up due to insolvency or economic challenges.

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The CAC boss described such assertions as exaggerated.

He added: “While some businesses apply for voluntary winding up, the numbers of such companies are negligible. Many of these cases arise from changes in business focus rather than economic difficulties. For instance, a company like Nokia transitioned from producing phones to manufacturing vehicle tyres.”

Magaji noted that technological advancements and shifts in business strategies were driving many companies to restructure rather than exit the market.

He said CAC hosts Nigeria’s Beneficial Ownership Register, a platform providing free access to information about companies and their significant controllers.

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“Nigeria is one of the global leaders in implementing the beneficial ownership register. We are hosting the register at bor.cac.gov.ng. This transparency ensures that even individuals with indirect control of a company must disclose their interest within 30 days,” he said.

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