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Dangote Refinery Capable Of Solving Nigeria’s Forex Problems; Catalysing Economic Devt, Says S&P Global

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International financial analytics corporation, S&P Global, has described the 650,000 barrels per day (bpd) Dangote Oil Refinery and Petrochemicals company as capable of resolving Nigeria’s foreign exchange (forex) issue and its huge pressure on the local Naira currency, while also catalysing the country’s economic development.

S&P Global, headquartered in Manhattan, New York City, disclosed this during an onsite visit to the Dangote Refinery at Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos as part of its sovereign credit ratings assessment of Nigeria. The team from the international rating agency were accompanied by officials from the Federal Ministry of Finance.

S&P noted that the largest single-train refinery complex in the world would bolster Nigeria’s oil sector and, more importantly, also have a positive impact on its growing economy.

Director and Lead Analyst, Sovereign and International Public Finance Ratings, S&P Global Ratings, Ravi Bhatia, who led the delegation to Lagos, said Dangote refinery would transform Nigeria into a net exporter of petroleum products. He added that this transformation is expected to boost revenue generation and alleviate the current pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

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“It is a very impressive facility, able to process 650,000 barrels a day, when in full capacity. It is the largest single-train refinery complex in the world. It came out quite quickly. Nigeria is a big exporter of crude but has issues with importing refined fuels. So, there is a gap in the market where crude can be refined in Nigeria, save money that way, and potentially save some foreign exchange. This will be positive for the economy in the medium term. It looks positive from our assessment,” Bhatia said after an over four-hour tour of the facility.

Also, in a chat with the media, Vice President of Oil and Gas at Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), Devakumar Edwin, who led the team during the tour of the facility, reiterated that by harnessing Africa’s abundant crude oil resources to produce refined products locally, the company aims to catalyse a virtuous cycle of industrial development, job creation, and economic prosperity.  He also revealed that, as earlier promised, the company will start the production of premium motor spirit (PMS), this month (July).

Noting that products from the $20 billion facility are of high quality and meet international standards, Edwin said it can meet 100 per cent of Nigeria’s demand for petrol, diesel, kerosene, and aviation Jet, with surpluses available for export.

The S&P team commended the President of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, for integrating advanced technologies and quality control measures, including a state-of-the-art Central Control Unit ensuring smooth automation of operations.

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Other members of the team of the international rating agency include the Associate Director, Sovereign Ratings, Maxmillian McGraw; Director, Corporate Ratings, Omegu Collocott; Senior Analyst, Bank Ratings, Charlotte Masvongo, and Director, Financial Services, Samira Mensah.

Currently operating at 350,000 barrels per day capacity, Edwin said the refinery is slated to scale up to at least 500,000 barrels per day capacity by July/August, commencing the refining of petrol and ultra-low sulphur diesel.

He noted that the refinery, designed to process a wide range of crudes including various African and Middle Eastern crudes, as well as US Light Oil, conforms to Euro V specifications. In addition, it is designed to comply with US EPA, European Union (EU) emission norms, the Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) emission/effluent norms, and the African Refiners and Distribution Association (ARDA) standards.

While noting that most refineries were built by foreign companies, he said it is a thing of pride that a Nigerian company designed and built the world’s largest single-train refinery complex while acting directly as its own Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) contractor. The refinery also incorporates a self-sufficient marine facility capable of handling the world’s largest vessels.

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“The refinery can produce the best quality products in the world, Euro V grade. It is one of the energy-efficient refineries and it is highly environmentally friendly. It is sophisticated with a high level of automation. The largest single train refinery in the world is 100 per cent designed, engineered, and constructed by a Nigerian company as EPC contractor,” he said.

Nigeria, one of the world’s leading oil-producing countries, exports all its crude oil for refining and subsequently imports refined products due to a lack of operational refineries. It is estimated that Nigeria imports at least 50 million litres of petrol per day to meet domestic demand.

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its Foreign Trade Statistics for the Fourth Quarter of 2023, Nigeria spent approximately N12 trillion on the importation of petroleum products in 2023, including premium motor spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol. This figure marks an 18.68% increase compared to the N10 trillion spent on fuel imports in 2022.

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Economy

VAT collections rise to N2.42tr in Q1 2026 – NBS

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The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has reported that Value Added Tax (VAT) collections rose to ₦2.42 trillion in the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026), up from ₦2.20 trillion recorded in Q4 2025.

According to the VAT Q1 2026 report, the figure represents a 9.98 per cent increase on a quarter-on-quarter basis.

The bureau stated that of the total revenue collected during the period, local payments accounted for ₦1.11 trillion, while foreign VAT payments stood at ₦830.47 billion. Import VAT contributed ₦477.55 billion.

“Value Added Tax (VAT) in Q1 2026 was ₦2.42 trillion, showing an increase of 9.98% on a quarter-on-quarter basis from ₦2.20 trillion in Q4 2025.

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“Of the total VAT collected, local payments stood at ₦1.11 trillion, foreign VAT payments were ₦830.47 billion, while import VAT contributed ₦477.55 billion during the quarter,” the NBS stated.

The report further showed that sectors such as food services and accommodation recorded ₦13.20 trillion, while arts, entertainment, and recreation contributed ₦8.98 trillion to VAT-generating activities.

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Economy

Nigeria exceeds OPEC quota as crude production hits 11-month high

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Nigeria’s crude oil production surged to an 11-month high in May 2026, with the country exceeding its Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) production quota.

The average crude oil production recorded during May represents 102 per cent of Nigeria’s 1.5mbpd of production quota allocated by OPEC.

The production report released by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) on Thursday disclosed that Nigeria’s oil production averages 1,530,354 barrels of crude oil and 170,446 barrels of condensates per day (bpd).

According to the report, this brings the total combined production to 1,700,800 barrels per day and consolidates Nigeria’s position as Africa’s largest oil producer.

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The report said the production performance during the review period remained robust, with combined crude oil and condensate output ranging from a low of 1.51 million bpd to a peak of 1.86 million bpd.

It said the May 2026 production figures represented the highest recorded by Nigeria since July 2025, when output surged to 1,712,282.

“In strict crude oil terms (excluding condensates), the 1.53 million barrels recorded in May 2026 represents the highest Nigeria has witnessed since January 2025, when crude oil production hit 1.538mbpd.

“The latest crude oil production statistics thus represent a 15-month high on a month-on-month basis, production rose by 2.77 per cent in May 2026 as against 1.48mbpd in April,” it said.

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The report said the broader production trend over the last five months had also remained positive.

It said combined crude oil and condensate output increased from 1.48 million bpd in February to 1.54 million bpd in March, 1.66 million bpd in April, and 1.7 million bpd in May, underscoring sustained growth in Nigeria’s hydrocarbon production.

According to the report, among production streams, Bonny Terminal led the pack with a total blend of 293,870 bpd, closely followed by Forcados Terminal at 289,900 bpd, Qua Iboe ranked third with 173,360 bpd, while Escravos Oil Terminal contributed 135,470 bpd.

It said the Odudu (Amenam Blend) accounted for 63,250 bpd across the top five production streams during the month under review.

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The NUPRC attributed the rise in production to sustained positive momentum, as operations remained stable throughout the reporting period, with no significant pipeline or facility outages recorded.

It added that all previously scheduled turnaround maintenance activities had been completed, thereby improving operational reliability and production efficiency.

(NAN)

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Economy

CBN proposes stricter regulation of banks, affiliated companies’ business dealings

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued draft guidelines that would impose stricter controls on transactions between banks, financial institutions and their affiliated entities as part of efforts to protect depositors’ funds, strengthen consumer protection and reduce risks within the financial system.

The proposed ‘Guidelines on Ring-Fencing Operations of Closely Linked Entities in the Nigerian Financial System’ seek to establish clear operational and functional boundaries among entities under the same corporate group and prevent the commingling of activities across different licence categories.

In a circular signed by the Director of the Financial Policy and Regulation Department, Dr Rita Sike, the apex bank said the framework was developed to promote a safe, sound and stable financial system, safeguard consumer interests and strengthen regulatory oversight.

According to the CBN, the guidelines prescribe requirements relating to governance, intra-group transactions, segregation of customer funds and data, operational independence, recovery and resolution planning, and consolidated supervision.

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“The guidelines are intended to strengthen consumer protection, enhance transparency and accountability, mitigate contagion risks among closely linked entities, and preserve financial stability while supporting innovation and fair competition within the financial services sector,” the bank stated.

Under the proposed framework, boards of closely linked entities would be required to ensure that such entities operate independently and maintain separate governance, risk management and control structures. Each entity would also be expected to have a dedicated board and establish policies that ring-fence its operations from those of affiliated companies.

The CBN also proposed limits on overlapping leadership roles within financial groups, stating that the number of directors serving simultaneously on the boards of closely linked entities should not exceed 20 per cent of the total board membership.

To strengthen oversight, the draft guidelines require external auditors to certify annually the effectiveness of board-approved policies and processes designed to ensure operational independence.

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The apex bank further proposed that all intra-group transactions must be conducted on arm’s-length terms and reported to the regulator on a quarterly basis.

It also stated that no closely linked entity should extend a loan to, or guarantee the obligations of, another affiliated entity without prior written approval from the CBN.

“The boards of closely linked entities shall ensure that transactions between such entities are conducted at arm’s length and are properly documented,” the draft stated.

The guidelines place significant emphasis on customer onboarding and consumer protection. Where customers choose services offered by an affiliated company, the receiving entity would be required to establish a direct business relationship with the customer, conduct its own KYC verification and provide account or wallet details where necessary.

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The draft also requires affiliated entities to remain adequately capitalised at all times and ensure that critical functions are managed independently.

To reduce operational risks, the CBN proposed restrictions on the use of shared technology infrastructure , as entities would not be allowed to use their information technology platforms to offer services outside the scope of their licences or process transactions on behalf of affiliated entities.

The regulator said it could require the separation of data centres where necessary to reduce contagion risks and ensure that each entity can operate independently.

The framework further seeks to protect customer funds by requiring strict separation of accounts belonging to affiliated entities and daily reconciliation of balances, with discrepancies corrected within 24 hours.

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Customer funds would not be permitted for intra-group lending, servicing debts, proprietary trading activities, external borrowings or operational expenses of related entities.

The CBN also proposed tighter controls on customer data, requiring data to be stored independently and prohibiting its sharing among affiliated entities without the explicit consent of customers, except as permitted under the Nigeria Data Protection Act.

“Sharing of customer data between closely linked entities without explicit consent of the customer is prohibited,” the draft guidelines stated.

The proposed framework further requires promoters of closely linked entities to establish a non-operating holding company structure. Such holding companies would be required to maintain regulatory capital at least 20 per cent above the combined minimum capital requirements of their subsidiaries.

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However, shareholders unwilling to establish a holding company may choose to merge affiliated entities into a single business, subject to regulatory conditions, including the surrender of excess licences.

The CBN has exposed the draft guidelines for public review and invited stakeholders to submit comments before July 9, 2026.

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