Opinion
5G: Africa still on the outskirts of connectivity
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By Sonny Aragba-Akpore
Global System of Mobile Communication Association (GSMA) said that between
2023 and 2030, capital expenditure on fifth-generation (5G ) technology in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to reach $62 billion, as part of a larger, broader $1.5 trillion global investment in the next-generation networks. These figures, released at the last Mobile World Congress (MWC) in Barcelona, Spain, early in 2026, underscore the fast growth being recorded in 5G across the globe. Although Africa is seen as recording some measure of growth, there are no indications that the continent will quickly get out of the outskirts of globalisation. Only about 11% of the African population has coverage. South Africa leads the pack while Nigeria, Egypt and others trail behind.
By December 2025, 5G in Africa reached a significant milestone with 53 operators launching commercial services in 29 countries, driven heavily by Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) to bridge the digital divide. While adoption remained in early stages—estimated at ~3.8% of total mobile connections—14 additional markets are planned, focusing on urban areas in Nigeria, Kenya, and North Africa to boost connectivity and economic growth, according to GSMA Intelligence. 25 operators use 5G for Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) to provide home and office broadband in underserved areas. This is viewed as the primary near-term revenue generator, offering high-speed connectivity without extensive fibre installation. South Africa is the clear leader with significant investment from operators like MTN South Africa. In Nigeria, MTN and Airtel provide 5G coverage, with MTN deploying over 2,100 sites and offering unlimited, high-capacity data plans. Safaricom significantly scaled up its sites to 1,700+, covering roughly 30% of the population and dominating in Kenya. Strong expansion is seen in Tunisia, Egypt, Morocco, and Algeria, often using mid-band spectrum for better coverage. But despite rapid rollouts, 5G penetration is only about 3.8% of total mobile connections, with 2G–4G still accounting for the vast majority of connectivity in Africa.
Power challenges are being tackled with solar-battery systems and infrastructure sharing, often using a “Network-as-a-Service” model. 5G is projected to contribute $ 10 billion to Africa’s economy by 2030, enhancing the fintech, health, and agriculture sectors. It’s been five years now since the introduction of 5G technology in Nigeria, but its coverage has been anything but robust. Penetration is still very low, primarily because of poor and limited coverage. Apart from Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt, among a few other semi-urban and urban centres, the beauty of 5G is lost to a majority of the population despite its promise. While Lagos and Abuja have average coverage of 70% and 65%, respectively, the average in other parts of the few semi-urban and urban centres appears miserable. Indeed, there is no coverage in many towns and cities at all. Early in 2026, Nigeria recorded 7.2 million 5G subscribers, representing 3.94% of the 182 million connected subscribers to various networks. MTN and Airtel are believed to be the only visible operators for now. The other licence holder, Mafab Communication, is yet to show any serious sign of the licence it acquired in 2021, at the same time as MTN. In all, 5G coverage is in pockets across the country despite the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) ‘s commitment to driving sector improvement by enforcing fair competition and pushing for network modernisation. Subscribers are basically connected to 4G and 3G networks. When the regulator released industry performance data the other day in collaboration with Ookla, there was a manifest demonstration that the adoption of Niche Performance with newer technologies offers a significant boost to network performance, reinforcing this Technology Gap.
commitment. “Key opportunities for sector advancement of 5G include overall national Quality of Service (QoS) in the data analysis. The NCC thinks that in order to close the Digital Divide, expanding 4G/5G coverage into underserved rural regions to acceptable results is certain to ensure equitable access and performance for all Nigerians. Accelerating 5G deployment is expected to boost the significant coverage gap in high-demand areas to fall further behind competitors in urban areas (Lagos and Abuja) to serve the growing number of 5G-capable device users. “Focusing investment on improving latency and reducing jitter across all networks will ensure a high-quality experience for real-time applications. The NCC says Nigeria is deploying 5G, but having the infrastructure is only half the battle. A true 5G experience means high speeds, low delay, and seamless connectivity. “But the report analyses the ‘5G Gap’, the difference between the theoretical capacity of the network (what it could do) and the experience users are getting (what it is doing). “Our goal is to identify exactly where investment is needed to turn ‘coverage’ into ‘real time performance “according to the NCC report. On the global level, GSMA, the platform for mobile communication service providers and equipment providers, said that 5G now covers over 50% of the global population, adding that Global 5G connections exceeded 2.7 billion by the end of 2025. Approximately 20% of operators with 5G have launched live Stand Alone (SA) networks and project that this figure will be over 70 operators with faster adoption in 2026 The GSMA Intelligence 5G Connectivity Index highlights top performers to include Kuwait, UAE, Norway, Finland, Qatar, Denmark, Hong Kong, South Korea, China, and the USA.5G Fixed Wireless Access (5G FWA ) is a key use case, projected to reach 80 million connections by 2030, with 67% in Asia Pacific and 23% in Europe.
Asia Pacific continues to lead in SA deployment, with China, India, and Singapore in the top spots globally.
“The fastest-growing mobile technology is driven by momentum in major markets, including high adoption in the Asia Pacific and expanding, high-performance deployments in Europe and America “The International Telecommunications Union (ITU) explains that while 5G continues to expand, addressing the gap between high- and low-income regions remains a critical challenge for global digital inclusion. ITU identifies regional disparities as a major hindrance in the race to bridge the digital divide. “While Europe and Asia-Pacific lead, coverage is significantly lower in other regions, with Africa and the Arab States lagging”.5G access is heavily concentrated in high-income nations (84% coverage), while low-income nations have only 4% coverage. It says 66% of urban residents have 5G access, compared to just 40% in rural areas. The ITU has finalised the IMT-2020 specifications, defining the global standards for 5G, including both standalone (SA) and non-standalone (NSA) deployments.While 5G grows, 4G remains the key alternative in low-income areas, covering 92% of the global population. The ITU says while 5G momentum is strong, affordability and infrastructure gaps prevent equitable global access. 5G subscriptions are estimated to reach roughly three billion, representing over one-third of all mobile broadband subscriptions by 2026. Europe leads in 5G coverage (72%), followed by the Americas (63%), and Asia-Pacific (62%). Coverage is significantly lower in the Arab States (13%), CIS (12%), and Africa (11%).
In high-income countries, 90% of the urban population has 5G access, compared to just 58% of the rural population. In low-income countries, 5G is almost non-existent in rural areas (10% of the urban population). More than 300 commercial 5G networks have launched globally, with over 2,700 new devices announced.
Opinion
Akpabio and His Architecture of Vision
By Ken Harries Esq
“Vision is the art of seeing what is invisible to others,” observed Jonathan Swift. Every generation encounters leaders who solve today’s problems, but far fewer produce leaders who design tomorrow’s possibilities. The true measure of visionary leadership lies in the ability to recognise opportunities long before they become obvious, to imagine possibilities where others see only limitations, and to lay foundations whose full significance may not be appreciated until years later. History’s greatest builders are remembered not merely for the projects they completed, but for the future they envisioned before anyone else believed it was possible.
The true measure of visionary leadership lies not in the number of projects conceived, but in the ability to understand how seemingly unrelated sectors of the economy can reinforce one another to produce lasting prosperity. That was the deeper story behind Senator Godswill Akpabio’s presentation at the 2nd South South Economic Summit in Asaba in April 2012.
Many remember the address for its most celebrated proposal—the Ibom Deep Seaport. Yet the speech revealed something far more profound: a philosophy of development that viewed infrastructure not as isolated monuments, but as interconnected instruments of economic prosperity and social transformation.
That philosophy permeated virtually every aspect of the presentation. It was evident in aviation. At a time when aircraft maintenance in Nigeria depended almost entirely on foreign facilities, Akpabio announced plans for what he described as West Africa’s first Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) facility alongside the Akwa Ibom International Airport. Once again, the objective was not merely to construct another public facility. It was to retain within Nigeria the economic value, technical expertise, and skilled employment that routinely left the country whenever aircraft were serviced abroad.
Long before expressions such as local value addition, industrial self-reliance, and reducing capital flight became part of mainstream policy discussions across Africa, those ideas had already found practical expression in the development strategy he articulated in Asaba.
Even his brief remarks on state policing now possess remarkable contemporary relevance. Years before today’s broad national consensus that Nigeria’s security architecture requires fundamental reform, he argued that governors could not reasonably be held fully accountable for security while operational control remained centralised. Over time, national debate has steadily moved closer to the position he advanced.
Vision, however, should never be mistaken for perfection. Every transformative project encounters obstacles—financing constraints, regulatory hurdles, political transitions, implementation delays, and public controversy. The Ibom Deep Seaport has experienced each of these realities. When Governor Udom Emmanuel renamed the project from the Ibaka Deep Seaport to the Ibom Deep Seaport, many perceived the change as accompanying a relocation of the proposed site from Ibaka in Mbo Local Government Area to a coastal location in Ibeno Local Government Area. Government maintained that the final location emerged from rigorous technical evaluation, but the episode illustrated how even the most carefully conceived projects can become entangled in local sensitivities and competing interests.
Yet the endurance of the underlying idea is precisely what makes the original vision remarkable. Governments changed. Political actors came and went. Debates arose and subsided. But the central economic concept endured. The Federal Executive Council approved the project’s business case in 2015, and successive administrations have continued to advance it under the Ibom Deep Seaport name. Good ideas possess a resilience that often outlives the administrations that first conceive them.
Therein lies perhaps the greatest lesson of the Asaba address. Vision is not measured by how loudly it is proclaimed, but by how far ahead it sees. History’s greatest builders were rarely those who merely responded to the demands of their own generation and time. They were those who imagined opportunities others could not yet see and laid foundations whose full value would only be appreciated years later.
Nigeria’s development story will ultimately belong not only to those who completed great projects, but also to those who first conceived them. The true legacy of public leadership is not merely the structures that rise from the ground, but the ideas that continue to shape a nation’s future long after the speeches have ended and the applause has faded. Judged by that standard, the Akpabio’s Asaba address remains an enduring lesson in visionary leadership.
Ken Harries Esq is an Abuja based development Communication Strategist
Opinion
Digital Switch Over and free-to-air broadcasting
By
Sonny Aragba-Akpore
With an ambitious move to generate nearly N600b in revenue yearly, the Digital Switch Over (DSO) programme launched recently by the Federal Government of Nigeria may not be as smooth as envisioned despite its promise of free-to-air broadcast systems. The government also anticipates nearly $1b from Spectrum sales alone, and other speculated income streams, and the Information and National Orientation Minister, Mr Idris Mohammed, and his Communications, Innovation and Digital Economy counterpart, Mr Bosun Tijani, are very enthusiastic that DSO will certainly be a game changer.
Nigeria is about 20 years behind the schedule announced by the International Telecommunications Union (ITU). With a wobbling analogue television broadcasting believed to be inefficient and massive misuse of radio frequency bands, the government feels that the transition to DSO, no matter how late, will boost government revenues. “Turning off analogue transmitters frees up high-value frequencies in the 700MHz and 800MHz bands.”
Government intends to sell this freed-up space—known as the “Digital Dividend”—to telecommunications companies for 4G and 5G rollout and mobile broadband expansion to boost internet connectivity, and this single process is projected to generate over $1 billion in direct auction revenue. 40 million homes are expected to pay minimal yearly fees to keep their converter boxes active, thus creating a recurring, high-volume pool of capital, and the government takes a regulatory cut of these administrative fees.
But is revenue generation the ultimate purview of the government? Apart from the Information and Communications Ministries’ involvement at policy formulation levels, the National Broadcasting Commission (NBC) and Nigerian Communications Satellite Limited (NIGCOMSAT) are expected to play key roles as regulators and service providers.
Already, Nigcomsat has a Direct to Home (DTH) centre where it is expected to warehouse programmes with the help of content creators, beam signals of about 100 programmes to multiple radio stations nationwide via its satellite, the Nigcomsat 1R, at no cost to subscribers.
Although there are expected free set-top boxes to track signals for radio stations and TV with no monthly fees, NBC has structured the setup boxes to include a yearly access or activation fee (often called a “Free TV Carriage Fee” or smartcard renewal fee, as the case may be. But that is where the excitement stops.
Millions of homes paying a minimal yearly fee to keep their converter boxes active creates a recurring, high-volume pool of capital. The government takes a regulatory cut of these administrative fees. Analysts say that under the old analogue regime, individual TV stations owned and managed their own expensive transmission masts. By the DSO model, TV channels focus only on making content. They must pay licensed National Signal Distributors (like ITS or Pinnacle) to transmit their channels to the public.
The government generates direct revenue by licensing these signal distributors and takes a percentage-based regulatory levy on the carriage fees paid by the TV stations to remain on the Free TV network. The free set-up boxes are internet-enabled, and so users will have unfettered access to crisp digital signals for optimal content. There will be an advertisement boom projected to hit over N600 billion, from which the government will have cuts as tax. But beautiful as the initiative is, it will not gain currency until December 31, 2028.
Although the DSO programme appears populist, can it compete with DSTV and Star Times even though their tariffs are prohibitive? We just hope DSO is not a wild goose chase. ITU initiated DSO in 2006 with a mandate to migrate tv and radio broadcasts from analogue to digital terrestrial broadcasting.
The 2006 decision was reached at the Regional Radiocommunication Conference held in Geneva. Member nations signed the Geneva 2006 (GE06) Agreement, which originally set a global switch-off deadline for June 2015. Because many regions struggled to meet this target, it was subsequently extended to 2020. Nigeria officially began its DSO journey with a pilot programme in Jos, Plateau State, on April 30, 2016. Following a steady progression, the Federal Government initiated a major nationwide rollout of the DSO but was stifled by a lack of political will laced with alleged personal interests.
While other countries on this belt are striving to create an enabling environment for the implementation of DSO, some countries, including Nigeria, were unable to catch up. The updated rollout pivots to a satellite-first approach to reach nationwide coverage faster, offering seamless picture quality and audio. Even when there are manifest prospects from DSO, there are also palpable contradictions and concerns over its availability.
The hybrid satellite approach appears not to be comfortable with some stakeholders in the Broadcasting Organisations of Nigeria (BON). Analysts reason that true DSO legally requires Digital Terrestrial Television (DTT) to free up bandwidth for telecom operators, warning that the satellite model shifts dish and decoder costs to citizens. And this is unfortunate. The satellite option may be on edge as the Nigerian satellite operator has no backup satellite to mitigate the situation in the event of downtime.
If fully realised, the DSO may free up premium frequency bands (like 700MHz and 800MHz) for auctioning to telecom operators to expand 4G/5G broadband. It is also designed to create thousands of jobs in local content creation and offer an integrated audience measurement system for advertisers with an estimated turnover of over N600 billion yearly. StarTimes and DSTV may lose market shares as advertisers will cash in on the free tv channels to boost their revenue.
But Star Times has a comparable advantage since it is uniquely insulated because it operates as the primary technical partner to the Nigerian Television Authority (NTA) through its joint venture, Integrated Television Services (ITS)—one of the licensed national signal distributors. Because StarTimes built much of the digital terrestrial television (DTT) infrastructure used for the DSO, the company stands to generate substantial business-to-business revenue from transmission fees and infrastructure management.
MultiChoice’s lower-tier GOtv packages face immense pressure; its premium DStv tier remains relatively protected. FreeTV cannot compete with DStv’s exclusive live sports broadcasting rights (such as the English Premier League) and expensive international content libraries. MultiChoice will likely be forced to pivot aggressively toward premium exclusivity and its Showmax streaming platform to hedge against losing the market.
The nationwide platform launch of June 17, 2026, was the official activation of Nigeria’s National Digital Broadcasting Platform. Managed via a partnership between the NBC and NIGCOMSAT, this initial rollout went live with over 57 digital channels, scaling toward a target of 100+ free-to-air stations. From 2026 – 2028 (The Hybrid Rollout Phase) will lead to the deployment of a converged broadcast model.
This combines Direct-to-Home satellite (DTH), Digital Terrestrial Television (DTT), and Internet Protocol (IP) networks to resolve regional infrastructure gaps. December 31, 2028, is the definitive deadline for all analogue transmitters across Nigeria to be permanently turned off. Beyond this date, standard TV antennas will no longer pick up broadcast signals without a digital converter box.
Opinion
10TH Senate Takes on Nigeria’s Toughest Security Question: State Police
By Ken Harries, Esq.
It often begins as an ordinary day. A commercial bus pulls out before dawn, its passengers expecting nothing more than traffic delays and bad roads. Traders carry the week’s earnings. Students return to school. A nursing mother cradles her child. A retired civil servant travels to visit his family. Elsewhere, anxious parents wave goodbye as a school bus disappears through the gates, expecting to see their children again that afternoon. Then, somewhere along a lonely highway or beside a quiet rural school, armed men emerge from the bush. Within minutes, ordinary life gives way to terror. Passengers are dragged into the forest. Schoolchildren are herded into waiting vehicles. Families receive the dreaded telephone call demanding ransom. By nightfall, another community has joined the growing list of Nigerians praying that their loved ones will return home alive.
That story is no longer exceptional. It has been repeated so often, in different states and under different circumstances, that it has become a grim national pattern. Across Nigeria, parents hesitate before sending their children to school. Farmers weigh every trip to their fields against the possibility that they may never return. Travellers study routes not for the shortest distance but for the greatest chance of survival. In a country blessed with enormous human and natural resources, fear has become an invisible checkpoint on countless roads.
It is against this backdrop that the debate over state police has acquired fresh urgency.
For decades, Nigerians have argued over whether policing should remain the exclusive responsibility of the Federal Government or whether states should be empowered to establish their own police services. It is a conversation that has generated more heat than light, with strong emotions on both sides.
The State Police Bill, now making its way through the constitutional amendment process, represents the most determined effort yet to answer that question and make community policing a constitutional reality.
More importantly, it reflects a growing national consensus that the country’s evolving security challenges require a policing structure that is closer to the people, more responsive to local realities, and better equipped to detect and prevent crime before it occurs. Whether one ultimately supports or opposes state police, there can be little doubt that the debate has moved beyond theory. It is now about finding practical solutions to one of the greatest threats confronting Nigeria’s unity, stability, and future.
It is certainly an ambitious proposal. The strongest argument in favour of state police begins with a simple reality: Nigeria has grown too large, too complex, and too diverse for a completely centralised policing structure to respond effectively to every local security challenge.
A police officer deployed hundreds of kilometres away can rarely know a community as intimately as those who live there. Local officers are more likely to understand the terrain, recognise unfamiliar faces, detect emerging threats, and build the trust that encourages residents to volunteer vital intelligence before crimes occur rather than after lives have been lost. They also have a deeper personal stake in preserving peace. Their families live in the community. Their friends are there. Their children attend its schools. Their lives are woven into its social fabric. That sense of belonging often translates into a stronger commitment to preventing crime because every threat to the community is also a threat to the people and places they call home.
Such local knowledge can make all the difference. It can be the difference between prevention and tragedy. It can enable security agencies to identify suspicious movements before they become deadly attacks, respond more swiftly to kidnappings and violent crimes, resolve communal tensions before they escalate, and gather intelligence that outsiders might never obtain. At the same time, it would allow federal security agencies to concentrate their resources on terrorism, organised crime, transnational offences, and other threats that transcend state boundaries.
There is another advantage that is often overlooked. Effective policing depends not only on uniforms, weapons, and patrol vehicles, but also on public confidence. People are far more likely to cooperate with law enforcement when they regard police officers as members of their own communities rather than distant representatives of an impersonal bureaucracy. They are more willing to report suspicious activities, identify criminal elements, and volunteer intelligence that could prevent crimes before they occur. In the fight against insecurity, timely information is often the most powerful weapon, and that information flows most readily where trust has been earned.
Yet, if the promise of state police is considerable, so too are the risks. No constitutional reform should be judged solely by its potential benefits; it must also be tested against the possibility of unintended consequences. It is here that the debate becomes more complex.
Nigeria’s political history gives critics ample reason for caution. Governors already wield significant influence within their states. Entrusting them with operational control over police formations inevitably raises difficult questions. Could state police be used to intimidate political opponents? Could elections become even more contentious if security agencies are perceived to serve incumbents rather than the law? Could legitimate dissent be treated as political disloyalty? These are not hypothetical concerns. They arise from Nigeria’s own political experience and deserve credible constitutional and institutional safeguards.
Beyond the question of political misuse lies an equally practical challenge: funding. Professional policing is expensive. It requires far more than uniforms and patrol vehicles. Officers need rigorous training, competitive remuneration, modern equipment, reliable communication systems, forensic capabilities, intelligence infrastructure, and continuous oversight. Many states already struggle to pay salaries and finance essential public services. Without a sustainable funding framework, some states could build highly professional police services while others struggle to maintain basic operational capacity. That would not strengthen national security; it would simply replace one centralised policing problem with thirty-six unequal policing systems.
There is also the issue of coordination. Criminals do not stop at state borders to admire welcome signs. They move across jurisdictions with ease. Any state policing framework must therefore establish clear rules for cooperation between state and federal agencies, intelligence sharing, joint operations, and conflict resolution. Otherwise, confusion could become as dangerous as the insecurity the reform seeks to address.
These are difficult questions, but difficult questions are precisely what serious legislatures exist to confront. That is why the Senate’s handling of the State Police Bill deserves plaudits.
Under the leadership of Senate President Godswill Akpabio, the 10th Senate has chosen engagement over avoidance. Few constitutional questions are as politically sensitive as those touching the nation’s security architecture. They evoke competing interests, regional anxieties, constitutional concerns, and deeply held convictions about the nature of the Nigerian federation. Faced with such complexity, the easier course would have been to postpone the debate or leave it to another Assembly. Instead, the Senate elected to confront the issue directly, recognising that a nation under relentless security pressure cannot indefinitely defer difficult decisions.
By encouraging public hearings, inviting diverse perspectives, and steering deliberations through the constitutional process, the Senate has transformed what was once an endless national argument into structured legislative engagement. That is how democratic institutions are supposed to function. The objective is not to eliminate disagreement. It is to channel disagreement into laws that strengthen the republic.
The State Police Bill is certainly not a magic wand. No legislation, however well crafted, can eliminate insecurity overnight. Laws create frameworks; institutions and leadership determine outcomes. The success of state police will therefore depend not merely on the passage of the Bill but on how faithfully its provisions are implemented and how effectively its safeguards are enforced. Independent oversight, merit-based and transparent recruitment, sustainable funding, clear operational protocols, professional accountability, and robust protection against political interference will determine whether state police emerge as trusted guardians of public safety or degenerate into instruments of partisan power.
Achieving those objectives is not solely the responsibility of the National Assembly. It demands a sustained commitment from every stakeholder in the security ecosystem. State governments must resist the temptation to politicise the police. Security professionals must uphold the highest standards of professionalism and integrity. Civil society must remain vigilant in demanding accountability, while citizens must embrace the civic responsibility of cooperating with law enforcement. Only through such a shared commitment can the promise of state police be translated into lasting public safety.
Still, there is value in recognising progress when it occurs. For too long, Nigeria’s security conversation has revolved around managing recurring crises instead of questioning whether the structures themselves require reform. The State Police Bill signals a willingness to examine first principles and ask whether yesterday’s solutions remain adequate for today’s realities.
That willingness matters. Nation-building is seldom about finding perfect answers. More often, it is about having the courage to ask the right questions and the wisdom to improve institutions one reform at a time.
The Senate has opened that door. What remains is to ensure that what ultimately emerges from it strengthens security, deepens accountability, and restores public confidence in law enforcement. The true test of state police will not be the passage of the Bill but whether it produces police officers who know the communities they serve, share in their hopes and anxieties, and recognise that every threat to those communities is also a threat to their own families, neighbours, and future. Only then will Nigerians have renewed confidence that the institutions established to protect them are not distant enforcers of the law, but trusted guardians of the communities whose fate and destiny they share.
Ken Harries Esq is an Abuja based Development Communication Strategist
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