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Economy

Nigeria remains Africa’s largest economy, says World Bank

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The World Bank’s Country Director for Nigeria, Dr. Ndiame Diop, has confirmed that Nigeria remains the largest economy in Africa by Gross Domestic Product (GDP) despite the challenges faced by its private sector.

Speaking at the Country Private Sector Diagnostic (CPSD) and Stakeholder Engagement in Abuja yesterday, Dr. Diop said while Nigeria receives far less Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) than its potential warrants—especially in comparison to countries like Indonesia and South Africa—it continues to hold its position as Africa’s biggest economy.

He stated that the CPSD report, set to be released in the coming weeks, will reveal the impact of private sector constraints on economic growth.

He noted that if targeted actions were taken to remove these obstacles, Nigeria’s economic potential would be significantly enhanced.

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The current macroeconomic reforms, he explained, have created a favorable environment for such changes. He cited the country’s recent economic stabilization measures, particularly exchange rate market adjustments and improved access to foreign exchange, as critical steps that have already enhanced investment conditions.

Dr. Diop outlined four key sectors where strategic reforms could unlock massive investment and job creation. In the Information Communication Technology (ICT) sector, investment opportunities worth up to $4 billion could be realized, potentially creating more than 200,000 jobs.

In agribusiness, reforms could unlock $6 billion in investment and generate over 275,000 jobs.

The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry holds the potential for $8.5 billion in investment and more than 129,000 jobs, while the pharmaceutical sector could attract $1.6 billion and create more than 30,000 to 40,000 jobs.

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For the ICT sector, he identified the high, unpredictable, and inconsistent right-of-way fees, levies, and informal charges—comprising 30 to 70 per cent of broadband rollout costs—as a major barrier. Addressing these regulatory inconsistencies, he argued, would be a game-changer for broadband expansion. He acknowledged that the National Economic Council has recognized this issue and that progress is being made through a World Bank-supported initiative.

Additionally, he pointed to challenges such as vandalism, limited financing for rural broadband expansion, and the need for competitive access to wholesale fiber. He noted that efforts are underway in collaboration with government agencies to resolve these issues, and the World Bank, the International Finance Corporation (IFC), and private investors are prepared to support broadband infrastructure development.

On solar power, Dr. Diop described Nigeria’s energy sector as difficult but noted that renewable energy access, particularly solar PV, has been a bright spot. He explained that private sector investment in renewable energy has historically been hindered by high costs and unviable tariffs. However, blended finance mechanisms supported by the World Bank and IFC have helped bridge this gap, making off-grid solutions more viable.

He pointed to the DES project, which aims to connect 17.5 million households and businesses to solar power, as evidence of growing private sector interest. While the solar industry is expanding, he stressed that reforms to improve Nigeria’s grid electricity supply remain crucial for industrialization.

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The Regional Director for Central Africa and Anglophone West Africa at the IFC, Dr. Dahlia Khalifa, stressed the importance of consistency in regulatory policies, particularly in customs duties and revenue agency fees. She noted that unpredictability discourages private sector investment, as businesses rely on stable regulatory environments for strategic planning.

Khalifa also pointed out that while direct job creation in the pharmaceutical sector may be lower compared to other industries, improved healthcare services would yield far-reaching economic benefits.

Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, commended the IFC for its support across critical sectors, including agriculture, infrastructure, and pharmaceuticals. He highlighted key financing partnerships such as the $1.2 billion facility for Indorama’s fertilizer expansion in Eleme, investments in cocoa processing, and a $70 million SME financing initiative with First City Monument Bank.

He also acknowledged IFC’s latest commitment of $70 million to five Nigerian companies under the Distributive Access to Renewable Energy programme, part of the federal government’s broader Mission 300 initiative.

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Edun said President Bola Tinubu’s administration has undertaken bold and necessary reforms that have reshaped Nigeria’s economic landscape. He noted that the removal of wasteful subsidies has strengthened government finances, while improved security has boosted oil production and revenue.

He highlighted that private sector confidence is growing, with new investments beginning to materialize in response to the government’s policy changes.

The minister restated the administration’s commitment to addressing the cost-of-living crisis, particularly through increased food production and affordability measures. He acknowledged that reforms such as the removal of fuel subsidies and the adoption of market-based pricing mechanisms have led to short-term inflationary pressures.

However, he assured that targeted interventions, including direct cash transfers to vulnerable citizens with World Bank support, will help mitigate the impact.

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He insisted that the government remains determined to leverage technology to ensure swift, biometric-enabled assistance to those in need.

Economy

Old telecom rules can’t handle AI, digital era, says NCC

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The Nigerian Communications Commission has said Africa’s telecommunications regulators must overhaul traditional regulatory approaches to keep pace with rapid technological changes, warning that existing frameworks were no longer adequate for an industry increasingly driven by artificial intelligence, satellite services, cloud computing and digital public infrastructure.

The Executive Commissioner for Stakeholder Management at the NCC, Rimini Makama, stated this on Tuesday in Abuja during the Head of Regulators Roundtable held on the sidelines of the ongoing 7th Ordinary Session of the Conference Preparatory Committee of the African Telecommunications Union.

Makama said the telecommunications landscape had become significantly more complex, requiring regulators to rely on data and market intelligence rather than conventional regulatory methods.

“Our discussion today turns on one question that matters to every regulator in this room. How do we use data and evidence to make decisions that are smarter, more transparent, and more focused on our consumer? Our markets are no longer simple,” she said.

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She added, “Broadband is expanding, satellite services are arriving, AI, cloud computing, and digital public infrastructure are reshaping our sector. The old regulatory approaches were built for a simpler time. They are no longer enough.”

According to her, regulators across Africa now possess unprecedented volumes of technical, market and consumer data, but the real challenge lies in converting that information into better regulatory decisions.

“To stay ahead of the problem and not just react to it, we need trusted intelligence,” Makama said.

She explained that because African digital markets were becoming increasingly interconnected, regulators faced similar responsibilities in protecting consumers, promoting competition, attracting investment and strengthening network resilience.

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“The challenge is not collecting it. The challenge is turning it into better decisions,” she said.

Makama said the NCC had developed a regulatory intelligence ecosystem that integrates multiple data sources, including quality of service and quality of experience indicators, consumer complaints, compliance analytics and market intelligence to support evidence-based policymaking.

“It brings several data sources into one place, so that our decisions rest on evidence, quality of service, and quality of experience data, consumer complaints, compliance analytics, and market intelligence. We will walk you through some of the recent cases where this intelligence led to real and measurable outcomes,” she said.

She urged regulators across the continent to deepen collaboration by sharing practical experiences and developing trusted approaches to data verification, advanced analytics and consumer-focused regulation.

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Makama also challenged participants to examine how regulators could ensure the independence and accuracy of regulatory data, remove barriers to information sharing and measure consumer experience beyond conventional quality-of-service metrics.

Earlier, the Executive Vice-Chairman of the NCC, Dr Aminu Maida, said African regulators were increasingly confronted with common challenges despite operating under different legal and institutional frameworks.

According to him, discussions among regulators now routinely revolve around investment, infrastructure resilience, satellite communications, cybersecurity, affordability, artificial intelligence and emerging technologies.

“We may regulate markets of different sizes, operate under different legal frameworks, and respond to different national priorities. But the realities of our work are often remarkably similar,” Maida said.

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He added, “Someone asks, how are things back home? Five minutes later, we are discussing investment, infrastructure resilience, satellite services, cyber security, affordability, artificial intelligence, or the latest technology that has arrived just in time to test the regulatory framework we thought had finally settled.”

Maida said such shared experiences underscored the need for stronger collaboration among African regulators to avoid addressing similar problems independently.

“The challenge that one regulator is trying to solve has already been encountered in one form or another by a colleague elsewhere on the continent. So, the question really is how we make that exchange of experience more deliberate, more systematic, and more useful to our institutions,” he said.

He described the roundtable as an opportunity to strengthen evidence-based regulation by encouraging the use of data, market intelligence and practical experience in policymaking.

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Also speaking, the Executive Commissioner, Technical Services, Sunday Oshadami, said the NCC had prioritised transparency by ensuring operators clearly understood regulatory obligations and by making key performance information available to subscribers.

He said the commission had also invested in satellite monitoring capabilities to strengthen oversight of satellite communications and improve regulatory compliance.

According to Oshadami, the commission had established facilities to monitor developments in satellite communications and continued to invest in standard monitoring solutions to support effective regulation as new technologies gain prominence.

The PUNCH earlier reported that stakeholders in Nigeria’s telecommunications sector on recently backed the Nigerian Communications Commission’s draft business rules for Mobile Virtual Network Operators, while urging the regulator to strengthen enforcement to resolve persistent operational and commercial disputes between MVNOs and Mobile Network Operators.

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Economy

Nigeria’s external reserves rise to $52.52bn – Cardoso

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Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Yemi Cardoso, says Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves has presently risen to 52.52 billion dollars.

Cardoso said this on Tuesday in Abuja, while presenting a communique issued at the end of the 306th meeting of the apex bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).

The News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) reports that he had earlier announced the decision of the MPC to retain the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 26.5 per cent.

The committee also retained the Standing Facilities Corridor around the MPR at +50/-450 basis points.

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Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) for Deposit Money Banks was retained at 45.00 per cent, Merchant Banks at 16.00 per cent, and non-TSA public sector deposits at 75.00 per cent

According to Cardoso, gross external reserves rose to 52.52 billion dollars as of July 17, from 50.47 billion dollars
as at end-May.

He said that the rise was mainly as a result of receipts from crude oil-related taxes and third-party inflows.

“This is sufficient to finance approximately 11 months of imports of goods and services, surpassing the international benchmark of three months cover,” he said.

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The CBN governor said that headline inflation (year-on-year) eased marginally to 15.91 per cent in June, from
15.93 per cent in May, ending the three consecutive months of uptick in price levels.

He said that the decline resulted from a decrease in the non-food component which offset the increase
in food inflation.

“Food inflation rose to 17.52 per cent in June, from 16.96 per cent in May, reflecting supply constraints.

“However, core inflation moderated to 15.92 per cent in June, from 16.82 per cent in May, largely on the back of exchange rate stability.

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“Similarly, the 12-month average inflation rate sustained its decline to 17.63 per cent in June, from 18.36 per cent in May,’ ‘ he said.

He said that it marked the sixth month of consecutive moderation and reflected a slower pace of price increases over the medium term.’

According to him, on a month-on-month basis, headline inflation declined to 1.66 per cent in June from 1.75 per cent in May, driven by a slowdown in core inflation.

He said that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of 2026, compared with 4.07 per cent in the preceding period.

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“This is largely driven by the resilience of the non-oil sector, which grew by 3.94 per cent, supported by improvements in telecommunications, financial services, trade, transportation, and other services sub-sectors.

“Oil sector GDP growth rate declined to 2.57 per cent in the first quarter of 2026 from 6.79 per cent in the fourth quarter
of 2025, due to the maintenance of oil facilities and installations.

“However, recent data showed improvement in economic activities as composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 50.1 index points in June from 49.6 index points in May,” Cardoso said.

He said that output growth was projected to remain resilient into 2026, anchored on the recent improvement in crude oil production, expansionary PMI and the positive impact of timely policy reforms.

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“Inflation is projected to moderate further in the medium term on the back of continued stability in the foreign exchange market.

“This will also be due to lagged effect of previous monetary policy tightening and improved food supply conditions as the harvest season approaches,” he said.

He, however, said that the key risk to the outlook remained the severe and prolonged escalation of the
Middle East conflict.

“In the light of these considerations, the MPC reaffirmed its commitment to preserve price and financial system stability.

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“The committee remains prepared to take appropriate policy measures guided by evolving macroeconomic conditions,” he said.

NAN

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Economy

See Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today 21st July 2026

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The Black Market Dollar-to-Naira Exchange Rate for 21st July 2026 Can Be Accessed Below.
NOTE: The exchange rate changes hourly. It depends on the volume of dollars available and the Demand. This means…you can buy or sell 1 dollar at a certain rate, and the price can change (high or low) within hours.

The official naira black market exchange rate in Nigeria today, including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC), and CBN rates.

Please note that the exchange rate is subject to hourly fluctuations influenced by the supply and demand of dollars in the market.
What’s the dollar to naira black market today, 21st July 2026?

The exchange rate for a dollar to naira at Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market) players sell a dollar for ₦1425 and buy at ₦1413 on Tuesday, 21st July, 2026, according to sources at Bureau De Change (BDC).
Please note that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not recognize the parallel market (black market), as it has directed individuals who want to engage in Forex to approach their respective banks.
Dollar to Naira Black Market Rate Today
Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Selling Rate ₦1425
Buying Rate ₦1413
Dollar to Naira CBN Rate Today
Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) CBN Rate Today
Highest Rate ₦1382
Lowest Rate ₦1378

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