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Economy

Foreign reserves hit $46.7bn

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Nigeria’s external reserves have risen to $46.7 billion as of November 14, 2025, providing 10.3 months of import cover in goods and services.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) attributed the growth to steady inflows and renewed investor participation across different asset classes.

CBN Governor, Mr. Olayemi Cardoso, represented by the Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, Mr. Muhammad Sani Abdullahi, disclosed this at a colloquium marking the 20th anniversary of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Department (MPD).

He said the increase in reserves “reflects investor confidence in our policies leading to improved oil receipts, stronger balance of payments, and renewed foreign portfolio inflows.”

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Cardoso linked the rising confidence to recent upgrades of Nigeria’s sovereign outlook by the three leading international ratings agencies, including S&P Global Ratings, which recently revised Nigeria’s outlook from stable to positive. According to him, the upgrade “reflects the impact of sustained reforms that have placed our economy on a more resilient path.”

He also noted that Nigeria’s removal from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) Grey List marked “another significant milestone in restoring international confidence in our financial system.”

Cardoso stated that the development shows “our full alignment with global standards on anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing,” adding that it opens more opportunities for foreign investment and trade finance.

The CBN Governor said the combination of these developments has strengthened the currency, boosted trade balances and provided a firmer base for inclusive growth.

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Speaking on the role of the MPD, Cardoso described the Department as central to the Bank’s policy architecture. He noted that it supports the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) and the Monetary Policy Technical Committee (MPTC) with research, analysis and coordination to ensure coherence in decision-making.

A major task ahead, he said, is the Bank’s transition to a full inflation-targeting regime. Cardoso stressed that the shift is “a strategic imperative for anchoring expectations and sustaining price stability.” He added that inflation targeting will promote transparency, boost credibility and improve how monetary policy decisions transmit through the economy.

Cardoso urged MPD staff to remain focused on the bigger national goal. “Remember that our ultimate goal extends beyond technical achievements. It is about building a resilient economy that fosters growth, creates jobs, and delivers shared prosperity. Monetary policy must remain credible, coherent, and adaptive to changing realities,” he said.

He further encouraged them to maintain high standards. “The journey ahead requires even greater commitment, creativity, and collaboration. Continue to innovate, continue to strengthen coordination, and continue to uphold the highest standards of professionalism,” he said.

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Director of the Monetary Policy Department, Dr. Victor Oboh, in his address, traced the evolution of the department from its early team-based structure to a modern system built around five specialized divisions covering macroeconomic analysis, monetary policy, committee coordination, international economic relations and policy research. He said the department has consistently produced experts who have served as special advisers and directors to successive CBN governors.

Oboh noted that the department has grown into a strategic centre of the Bank’s policy framework, supporting the MPC with high-level research and analysis that aligns Nigeria’s policy decisions with global standards. He recalled key historical moments—such as the global financial crisis, commodity price shocks and the COVID-19 pandemic—where MPD’s capacity “proved its resilience and relevance.”

The MPD Director further explained that Nigeria’s gradual migration toward inflation targeting followed lessons from global and domestic crises. According to him, the CBN moved from an exchange rate targeting framework to monetary targeting, before adopting a hybrid model that integrates elements of inflation targeting.

Oboh said the Bank has made significant progress since announcing its decision to adopt inflation targeting in late 2023. “We have pursued a disciplined monetary policy stance, hosted high-level monetary policy forums to deepen dialogue on disinflation, and strengthened policy communication to anchor expectations,” he said.

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He added that these efforts have helped moderate inflation, stabilize the foreign exchange market, reduce exchange rate gaps, and increase external reserves to more than $46 billion. “Today, we stand at an advanced stage of this phased migration, integrating elements of inflation targeting into our hybrid framework while laying the foundation for a credible, forward-looking regime that will restore price stability and further strengthen investor confidence,” Oboh stated.

Reflecting on the theme of the anniversary, “Monetary Policy in Nigeria: Past, Present and Future,” Oboh described it as a moment for reflection and projection. He said the MPD’s work over two decades has strengthened credibility, supported transparency, and sustained public confidence in monetary policy.

Looking ahead, he noted that the future of monetary policy would require even greater innovation and coordination. Oboh pointed out that global fragmentation, digital currencies such as stablecoins, and climate-related financial risks will demand that MPD remains agile, data-driven, and forward-looking.

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Again, NNPCL Increases Fuel Price For Second Time In Two Days

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, has increased the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, PMS at its retail outlets for the second time in less than two days.

A market survey by DAILY POST showed that NNPCL raised its petrol price to N1,335 per litre on Wednesday from N1,270 per litre on Tuesday.

This means that the state-owned filling station increased its fuel price by N65 per litre.

The new price has been implemented at NNPCL filling stations in Wuse Zone 6 (Berger), Zone 4, and other outlets in Abuja and its environs.

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Recall that on Tuesday, NNPCL increased its petrol pump price by N115 per litre to N1,270 per litre.

The latest increase comes amid continued petrol price volatility in the country’s downstream oil sector following Dangote Refinery’s resumption of the sale of refined petroleum products in U.S. dollars.

DAILY POST reports that crude oil prices rose by nearly 4 percent on Wednesday as airstrikes intensified in the Middle East.

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Old telecom rules can’t handle AI, digital era, says NCC

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The Nigerian Communications Commission has said Africa’s telecommunications regulators must overhaul traditional regulatory approaches to keep pace with rapid technological changes, warning that existing frameworks were no longer adequate for an industry increasingly driven by artificial intelligence, satellite services, cloud computing and digital public infrastructure.

The Executive Commissioner for Stakeholder Management at the NCC, Rimini Makama, stated this on Tuesday in Abuja during the Head of Regulators Roundtable held on the sidelines of the ongoing 7th Ordinary Session of the Conference Preparatory Committee of the African Telecommunications Union.

Makama said the telecommunications landscape had become significantly more complex, requiring regulators to rely on data and market intelligence rather than conventional regulatory methods.

“Our discussion today turns on one question that matters to every regulator in this room. How do we use data and evidence to make decisions that are smarter, more transparent, and more focused on our consumer? Our markets are no longer simple,” she said.

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She added, “Broadband is expanding, satellite services are arriving, AI, cloud computing, and digital public infrastructure are reshaping our sector. The old regulatory approaches were built for a simpler time. They are no longer enough.”

According to her, regulators across Africa now possess unprecedented volumes of technical, market and consumer data, but the real challenge lies in converting that information into better regulatory decisions.

“To stay ahead of the problem and not just react to it, we need trusted intelligence,” Makama said.

She explained that because African digital markets were becoming increasingly interconnected, regulators faced similar responsibilities in protecting consumers, promoting competition, attracting investment and strengthening network resilience.

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“The challenge is not collecting it. The challenge is turning it into better decisions,” she said.

Makama said the NCC had developed a regulatory intelligence ecosystem that integrates multiple data sources, including quality of service and quality of experience indicators, consumer complaints, compliance analytics and market intelligence to support evidence-based policymaking.

“It brings several data sources into one place, so that our decisions rest on evidence, quality of service, and quality of experience data, consumer complaints, compliance analytics, and market intelligence. We will walk you through some of the recent cases where this intelligence led to real and measurable outcomes,” she said.

She urged regulators across the continent to deepen collaboration by sharing practical experiences and developing trusted approaches to data verification, advanced analytics and consumer-focused regulation.

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Makama also challenged participants to examine how regulators could ensure the independence and accuracy of regulatory data, remove barriers to information sharing and measure consumer experience beyond conventional quality-of-service metrics.

Earlier, the Executive Vice-Chairman of the NCC, Dr Aminu Maida, said African regulators were increasingly confronted with common challenges despite operating under different legal and institutional frameworks.

According to him, discussions among regulators now routinely revolve around investment, infrastructure resilience, satellite communications, cybersecurity, affordability, artificial intelligence and emerging technologies.

“We may regulate markets of different sizes, operate under different legal frameworks, and respond to different national priorities. But the realities of our work are often remarkably similar,” Maida said.

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He added, “Someone asks, how are things back home? Five minutes later, we are discussing investment, infrastructure resilience, satellite services, cyber security, affordability, artificial intelligence, or the latest technology that has arrived just in time to test the regulatory framework we thought had finally settled.”

Maida said such shared experiences underscored the need for stronger collaboration among African regulators to avoid addressing similar problems independently.

“The challenge that one regulator is trying to solve has already been encountered in one form or another by a colleague elsewhere on the continent. So, the question really is how we make that exchange of experience more deliberate, more systematic, and more useful to our institutions,” he said.

He described the roundtable as an opportunity to strengthen evidence-based regulation by encouraging the use of data, market intelligence and practical experience in policymaking.

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Also speaking, the Executive Commissioner, Technical Services, Sunday Oshadami, said the NCC had prioritised transparency by ensuring operators clearly understood regulatory obligations and by making key performance information available to subscribers.

He said the commission had also invested in satellite monitoring capabilities to strengthen oversight of satellite communications and improve regulatory compliance.

According to Oshadami, the commission had established facilities to monitor developments in satellite communications and continued to invest in standard monitoring solutions to support effective regulation as new technologies gain prominence.

The PUNCH earlier reported that stakeholders in Nigeria’s telecommunications sector on recently backed the Nigerian Communications Commission’s draft business rules for Mobile Virtual Network Operators, while urging the regulator to strengthen enforcement to resolve persistent operational and commercial disputes between MVNOs and Mobile Network Operators.

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Economy

Nigeria’s external reserves rise to $52.52bn – Cardoso

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Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Yemi Cardoso, says Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves has presently risen to 52.52 billion dollars.

Cardoso said this on Tuesday in Abuja, while presenting a communique issued at the end of the 306th meeting of the apex bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).

The News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) reports that he had earlier announced the decision of the MPC to retain the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 26.5 per cent.

The committee also retained the Standing Facilities Corridor around the MPR at +50/-450 basis points.

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Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) for Deposit Money Banks was retained at 45.00 per cent, Merchant Banks at 16.00 per cent, and non-TSA public sector deposits at 75.00 per cent

According to Cardoso, gross external reserves rose to 52.52 billion dollars as of July 17, from 50.47 billion dollars
as at end-May.

He said that the rise was mainly as a result of receipts from crude oil-related taxes and third-party inflows.

“This is sufficient to finance approximately 11 months of imports of goods and services, surpassing the international benchmark of three months cover,” he said.

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The CBN governor said that headline inflation (year-on-year) eased marginally to 15.91 per cent in June, from
15.93 per cent in May, ending the three consecutive months of uptick in price levels.

He said that the decline resulted from a decrease in the non-food component which offset the increase
in food inflation.

“Food inflation rose to 17.52 per cent in June, from 16.96 per cent in May, reflecting supply constraints.

“However, core inflation moderated to 15.92 per cent in June, from 16.82 per cent in May, largely on the back of exchange rate stability.

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“Similarly, the 12-month average inflation rate sustained its decline to 17.63 per cent in June, from 18.36 per cent in May,’ ‘ he said.

He said that it marked the sixth month of consecutive moderation and reflected a slower pace of price increases over the medium term.’

According to him, on a month-on-month basis, headline inflation declined to 1.66 per cent in June from 1.75 per cent in May, driven by a slowdown in core inflation.

He said that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded by 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of 2026, compared with 4.07 per cent in the preceding period.

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“This is largely driven by the resilience of the non-oil sector, which grew by 3.94 per cent, supported by improvements in telecommunications, financial services, trade, transportation, and other services sub-sectors.

“Oil sector GDP growth rate declined to 2.57 per cent in the first quarter of 2026 from 6.79 per cent in the fourth quarter
of 2025, due to the maintenance of oil facilities and installations.

“However, recent data showed improvement in economic activities as composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 50.1 index points in June from 49.6 index points in May,” Cardoso said.

He said that output growth was projected to remain resilient into 2026, anchored on the recent improvement in crude oil production, expansionary PMI and the positive impact of timely policy reforms.

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“Inflation is projected to moderate further in the medium term on the back of continued stability in the foreign exchange market.

“This will also be due to lagged effect of previous monetary policy tightening and improved food supply conditions as the harvest season approaches,” he said.

He, however, said that the key risk to the outlook remained the severe and prolonged escalation of the
Middle East conflict.

“In the light of these considerations, the MPC reaffirmed its commitment to preserve price and financial system stability.

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“The committee remains prepared to take appropriate policy measures guided by evolving macroeconomic conditions,” he said.

NAN

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