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Economy

Cost Of Living Crisis: Nigeria, Others Risk Social Unrest – AfDB

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The African Development Bank (AfDB) has warned that Nigeria, Ethiopia, Angola and Kenya risk social unrest owing to the rising prices of fuel and other commodities.

The AfDB gave the warning in its macroeconomic performance and outlook for 2024 wherein it projected the continent’s economy to grow higher than the 3.2 per cent recorded in 2023.

Nigerians, in some states, including Kano, Niger, Lagos and few others, had protested against the cost of living crisis in the country, which is largely blamed on the federal government’s policies of the petrol subsidy removal and floating of the naira.

The Sultan of Sokoto and chairman of the Northern Traditional Rulers Council, Muhammad Sa’ad Abubakar III, had on Wednesday at the 6th Executive Committee meeting of the Northern Traditional Rulers Council in Kaduna, warned that with millions of Nigerian youths left without jobs and food, the country was sitting on a keg of gunpowder.

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The Emir of Kano, Alhaji Aminu Ado Bayero, had, earlier on Monday, said there was serious hardship in Nigeria, asking the First Lady, Senator Oluremi Tinubu, to convey the message of the teeming populace about the hunger in the land to the president.

The emir spoke when Mrs Tinubu visited Kano to officially open the Faculty of Law building at the Maryam Abacha American University, Kano named after her.

The Minister of Agriculture and Food Security, Abubakar Kyari, had on Wednesday assured Nigerians that the government would distribute the 42,000 metric tonnes of grains free of charge.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) had, on Friday, declared a two-day nationwide mass protest on February 27 and 28. The NLC president, Joe Ajaero, said the decision to protest was taken after the expiration of the 14-day ultimatum earlier issued to the government over the nationwide hardship.

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The AfDB, at the weekend, warned that internal conflicts could arise from an increase in energy and commodity prices occasioned by currency depreciation or subsidy removal referencing Nigeria, Angola, Kenya and Ethiopia, where energy subsidies were removed.

It stated, “Internal conflicts and violence could also result from rising prices for fuel and other commodities due to weaker domestic currencies and reforms.

“For instance, the removal of fuel subsidies in Angola, Ethiopia, Kenya and Nigeria and the resulting social costs has led to social unrest driven by opposition to government policy.”

The bank also said the increase in geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, coupled with the El Nino phenomenon, could trigger supply chain disruptions, which could exacerbate energy and food inflation across the world with Africa more vulnerable to these shocks.

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The AfDB further warned that regional conflicts and political instability occasioned by disruptions in constitutional governments could have deleterious economic costs with resources meant for development and social support channeled into security and defence.

It also cautioned that an unconstitutional takeover of the government might lead to sanctions, which have negative implications for the economy.

Quit if you’re overwhelmed, PDP govs tell Tinubu

Governors elected on the platform of the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) have advised President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and the All Progressives Congress (APC)-led federal government to quit if they cannot provide a sustainable solution to the problems plaguing the nation.

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The PDP governors gave the advice in a statement at the weekend, signed by the forum’s director-general, HCID Maduabum, reminding the APC-led government of the need to be guided by the fact that it was the APC that sought power to solve the problems of Nigeria and not to “compound them, shift blame or grandstand and use propaganda to obfuscate or confuse issues.”

The governors noted that the hardship and suffering being faced by Nigerians had no tribal, religious or party colouration, stressing that “a hungry man is an angry man.”

The governors said while all the tiers of government had a role to play, the APC-led federal government had a greater role in mobilising Nigerians and all the organs and tiers of government for sustainable solutions, adding, “If it cannot do so or is unable to do so, it should graciously throw in the towel.”

They assured that as stakeholders in governance they would continue to work collaboratively with the president in finding lasting solutions to “a very difficult situation created or exacerbated by the APC since 2015.”

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When contacted for a reaction to the PDP governors’ allegations, the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, promised to get back to one of our correspondents, but he did not do so as of the time of filing this story.

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Economy

RMAFC gives NUPRC 48 hours to dissolve host community trust

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The Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC) has ordered the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) to dissolve a disputed Host Community Development Trust within 48 hours, following allegations that it was established without proper consultation with the affected oil-producing communities.

The order was issued during an investigative hearing in Abuja into the operations of Sterling Oil Exploration and Energy Production Company (SEEPCO) and the implementation of the Host Community Development Trust provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).

Speaking at the hearing, RMAFC Chairman Dr Mohammed Bello Shehu said the Commission would continue to protect the interests of oil-producing host communities and ensure they receive the benefits guaranteed to them under the law.

According to a statement issued on Friday by the Commission’s Head of Information and Public Relations Unit, Maryam Umar Yusuf, Dr Shehu described the investigation as a national assignment aimed at promoting accountability in the management of Nigeria’s petroleum resources.

He said the Commission would continue to strengthen its oversight of oil companies and government institutions responsible for implementing the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act, adding that transparency and accountability remain essential to protecting national revenue and restoring public confidence in the petroleum sector.

Dr Shehu commended members of the Commission’s Investment Monitoring Committee for their work and expressed optimism that the investigation would help ensure that host communities receive the full benefits provided for under the Petroleum Industry Act.

The Chairman of the Investment Monitoring Committee and Federal Commissioner representing Anambra State, Dr Ekene Enefe, led the investigation into SEEPCO’s compliance with the law establishing Host Community Development Trusts.

He said the era in which oil-producing communities endured environmental degradation and social hardship without corresponding development must end.

According to him, both petroleum operators and regulatory agencies must fully fulfil their legal responsibilities to affected communities.

The Committee also expressed concern about SEEPCO’s repeated failure to honour invitations to appear before it, despite earlier engagements.

Dr. Enefe warned that no operator would be allowed to evade legitimate oversight by the Commission.

Addressing officials of the NUPRC, he said RMAFC’s constitutional responsibility requires it to hold every institution in the petroleum industry accountable for the proper discharge of its duties.

He then issued a direct order to the regulator, saying: “We are going to give you 48 hours to dissolve that host community development trust.”

Dr. Enefe also faulted SEEPCO for what he described as its failure to meet obligations owed to host communities.

He said the company would receive a formal notice directing it to settle all outstanding obligations. “We are going to write them, and we are going to give them an ultimatum to pay up what is owed the host communities,” he said.

Enefe added that after completing its investigation, the Committee would forward its findings and recommendations to the appropriate authorities, insisting that the Commission would carry out its constitutional responsibilities without fear or favour.

Earlier, the NUPRC delegation, led by the Director of Host Communities, Mrs. Ufondu Ejiro, defended the Commission’s handling of the Host Community Development Trust.

She told the Committee that the trust had been legally incorporated, properly funded and established in line with the Petroleum Industry Act.

According to her, the Commission received and reviewed documents covering community consultations, governance arrangements, funding plans and Community Development Plans before approving the trust.

She also presented records of contributions to the trust and maintained that the regulator had carried out its responsibilities in accordance with the Petroleum Industry Act and the Host Community Development Regulations.

However, the affected host communities rejected the regulator’s position. Speaking on their behalf, legal representative Mr. Peter Chukwudi argued that several individuals presented as community representatives were not recognised by the affected communities.

He also disputed claims that adequate consultations had taken place before the trust was established.

Chukwudi questioned the level of development in the oil-producing communities despite years of petroleum exploration and urged the Committee to thoroughly investigate the issues raised by residents.

Also speaking, the Anambra State Commissioner for Petroleum and Mineral Resources, Prof. Charles Ofoegbu, called for stronger cooperation between the NUPRC and the Anambra State Government in verifying genuine community representatives and monitoring compliance with legal obligations.

He also called for greater openness in the calculation of statutory contributions, operational expenditure and the execution of community development projects, saying the state government has a responsibility to protect the interests of its oil-producing communities.

The Federal Commissioner representing Rivers State, Ambassador Desmond Akawor, said there appeared to be a communication gap between the regulator and state governments, adding that closer cooperation would improve oversight of petroleum operations.

He also expressed disappointment at SEEPCO’s absence from the hearing and urged all parties to cooperate fully with the ongoing investigation.

The Federal Commissioner representing Kogi State, Abdulazeez Idris King, questioned whether documents submitted by operators alone were sufficient to confirm that genuine consultations had taken place before community representatives were recognised.

Similarly, the Federal Commissioner representing Jigawa State, Hauwa Umar Aliyu, called on regulatory agencies to maintain professionalism, fairness and impartiality while carrying out their statutory duties.

She said regulators must inspire public confidence by giving equal attention to the interests of host communities as well as those of oil companies.

In his closing remarks, Dr. Enefe assured all stakeholders that every submission and documentary evidence presented before the Committee would be carefully examined before recommendations are made.

He said the Committee would continue its work until all relevant facts had been established, adding that the investigation forms part of RMAFC’s broader efforts to improve transparency, strengthen accountability and ensure that oil-producing communities receive the benefits guaranteed to them under the Petroleum Industry Act.

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Economy

Equities market records N235bn gain

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The equities market recorded N235 billion gain on Friday at the close of trading, reflecting sustained bullish sentiment among investors.

This marked the 3rd consecutive bullish session in the week.

The performance underscored renewed investor confidence in the stock market, driven by increased demand for blue-chip stocks and sustained positive market momentum.

Market capitalisation rose by 0.15 per cent, closing at N158.513 trillion from the N158.278 trillion recorded at the previous session.

Similarly, the All-Share Index (ASI) appreciated by 0.15 per cent, gaining 364.26 points to close at 245,573.60, compared with 245,209.34 recorded in the preceding session.

This pushed the year-to-date return to 57.81 per cent.

Meanwhile, the market breadth closed negatively, recording 24 losers against 22 gainers.

Red Star Express led the losers’ chart by 10 per cent, ending the session at N18, CAP trailed by 9.98 per cent, closing at N115.45 while John Holt dipped by 9.82 per cent, finishing at N 10.10 per share.

Also, ABC Transport declined by 9.57 per cent, settling at N5.20 and Legend Internet shed by 8.70 per cent, finishing at N4.20 per share.

On the gainers’ chart, UPDC led by 9.23 per cent, closing at N3.55, Computer Warehouse Group followed by 6.56 per cent, ending the session at N19.50 and AXA Mansard Insurance advanced by 4.80 per cent, settling at N13.10 per share.

Neimeth International Pharmaceutical gained by 4.24 per cent, finishing at N8.60 while Cutix grew by 4 per cent, closing at N2.60 per share.

Market activity strengthened during the session, with total trading volume surging by 185.55 per cent to 1.52 billion shares worth N26.65 billion, exchanged in 42,580 deals.

Fortis Global Insurance emerged as the most traded stock by volume, with 824.46 million shares, representing 54.29 per cent of the day’s total volume.

Access Corporation led by value, accounting for N4.67 billion or 17.52 per cent of the total value traded.

(NAN)

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Economy

Telcos to spend $76 billion CapEx in five years

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Telecommunication operators in Nigeria and other parts of Africa are expected to inject over $76 billion as capital expenditure (CapEx) into their various networks in five years.

GSMA said this projection is for between 2025 and 2030. It, however, said that for the investment to translate into improved coverage, quality and capacity, there is a need for an improved regulatory and cost environment.

According to the telecom body, markets that have reduced rights-of-way costs, enabled infrastructure sharing and provided regulatory predictability are seeing faster and broader capital deployment.

Infrastructure-sharing models in particular are emerging as a structural solution for extending coverage into areas where individual operator economics alone cannot justify the investment, it said.

MTN Nigeria’s quarterly CapEx this year has been extremely aggressive, starting with N390.3 billion in Q1 and reaching N620.5 billion by H1, while Airtel Africa invested $389 million in Q1 2026 alone, its highest first quarter rollout.

Both operators are front loading investments to expand 4G/5G coverage and fibre infrastructure.
For FY 2025, MTN Nigeria’s CapEx surged to N1 trillion, more than doubling from N443.5 billion in FY 2024. This was driven by aggressive investment in broadband coverage and spectrum leasing.

CapEx intensity stood at 19.3 per cent of revenue, reflecting heavy reinvestment into infrastructure.

Airtel Africa CapEx rose to $884 million in FY 2026, a 31.9 per cent increase year-on-year. The company rolled out over 3,250 new sites and expanded fibre by 3,200 km, with plans to accelerate spending to $1.1 billion in FY 2027.

Both operators are scaling aggressively to meet surging data demand and smartphone penetration.

MTN’s investment intensity is higher relative to revenue, while Airtel is focusing on pan-African expansion with Nigeria as a key growth driver.

For FY 2026, Airtel reported 47.5 per cent constant currency revenue growth in Nigeria, showing strong returns on its infrastructure push.

Airtel Africa is balancing pan African expansion with Nigeria as a key growth driver. Its CapEx is more diversified across regions but still heavily weighted toward network densification.

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