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Reps Okay $75 Oil Benchmark Price, 2.06mbpd, NGN1400/USD Exchange Rate

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By Gloria Ikibah
The House of Representatives has adopted the projected oil benchmark prices at $75, $76.2, and $75.3 per barrel for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
This according to Chairman House committees on Finance and National Planning, and Economic Development, Rep. James Faleke, is aimed at providing a stable foundation for the country’s budget and economic planning.
The report also projects a significant increase in domestic crude oil production.
The projected production levels are 2.06, 2.10, and 2.35 million barrels per day for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
Other key projections include a GDP growth rate of 4.6%, 4.4%, and 5.5% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The projected exchange rate is NGN1400/USD for the same period. Inflation rates are projected at 15.75%, 14.21%, and 10.04% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively.
The 2025 Budget proposes spending of NGN47.9 trillion, with NGN34.82 trillion retained and new borrowings of NGN9.22 trillion.
Debt service is valued at NGN15.38 trillion, while pensions, gratuities, and retirees’ benefits stand at NGN1.443 trillion.
The report also highlights concerns over the non-remittance of operating surpluses into the Federation Account by the NNPC, as well as the failure of some revenue-generating agencies to comply with the Fiscal Responsibility Act.
“The three-year projections for domestic crude oil production had a significant increase from 1.78mbpd in the preceding year to 2.06, 2.10 and 2.35 for the subsequent years of 2025, 2026 and 2027.
“Some critical Agencies such as NNPC, NLNG, Immigration Services and others that are relevant to the attainment of set revenue targets engage in Public Private Partnership and Joint Venture
Arrangements that are inimical to the revenue growth of the Country.
“Historical non-remittance of operating surpluses into the Federation Account by the NNPCL due to what it called under recovery with the claim that the federating units owed it the sum of Ten Trillion Naira.
“The GDP growth rate is projected at 4.6%, 4.4% and 5.5% for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 respectively. The projected exchange rate which stands at NGN1400/USD for years 2025, 2026 and 2027.
“Inflation rates projections are 15.75%, 14.21% and 10.04% for 2025, 2026 and 2027; following the criteria in the overview of the framework for revenues and expenses, the 2025 FGN Budget proposed spending stands at NGN47.9 trillion, of which NGN34.82 trillion was retained. New borrowings stood at NGN9.22 trillion which constitutes both domestic and foreign borrowings.
“Debt service was valued at NGN15.38 trillion; pensions, gratuities and retirees’ benefits stood at NGN1.443 trillion and fiscal deficit at NGN13.08 trillion.
“Capital expenditure is projected at NGN16.48 trillion which is exclusive of transfers; statutory transfers stand at NGN4.26 trillion; Sinking Fund is projected at NGN430.27 billion.
‘Total recurrent (non-debt) is projected at NGN14.21 trillion; special intervention for recurrent and capital is pegged at NGN200 billion and NGN7 billion respectively.
“That the existing liabilities and debt obligations are largely responsible for increasing debt profile of the Country.
“Most revenue generating agencies violate the Fiscal Responsibility Act due to the lack of punitive provisions in the Act. Noncompliance with the Nigerian Export Supervision Scheme (NESS) Act by relevant government agencies, specifically focusing on the inspection and monitoring of oil and gas exports as well as non-oil exports.
The committees findings also Identified systemic gaps and irregularities in the operations of the Import Duty Exemption Certificate (IDEC); and that the Federal Government Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs) as well as the Government Owned Enterprises (GOEs) are not complying with the financial reporting standards.
Among other recommendations, the House noted: That the National Assembly, through its Committees on Finance, National Planning and other relevant Committees should carry out in-depth investigation of such agreements by the NNPC, NLNG and Immigration Services with a view to reconcile remittances to the Federation Account.
It added that the Committees on Finance,Petroleum Upstream, and Petroleum Downstream are tasked to
investigate reports from the Revenue Mobilization, Allocation, and Fiscal Responsibility Commission alleging that the NNPC withheld ₦8.48 trillion as claimed subsidies for petrol.
Additionally, the investigation will address the NEITI report stating that NNPC failed to remit $2 billion (₦3.6 trillion) in taxes to the Federal Government.
The committees are further directed to
verify the total cumulative amount of unremitted revenue (under-recovery) from the sale of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) by the NNPC between 2020 and 2023.
That the GDP growth rate which is projected at 4.6%, 4.4% and 5.5% for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 respectively be approved ; and that the projected exchange rate which stands at NGN1400/USD for years 2025, 2026 and 2027 be approved subject however to review in early 2025 according to monetary and fiscal policies.
The House further noted that the Inflation rates projections which are 15.75%, 14.21% and 10.04% for 2025, 2026 and 2027, be approved.
That the following the criteria in the overview of the framework for revenues and expenses, the 2025 Federal Government of NigeriaBudget proposed spending stands at NGN47.9 trillion, of which NGN34.82 trillion was retained; new borrowings stood at NGN9.22 trillion which constitutes both domestic and foreign borrowings; debt service was valued at NGN15.38 trillion; pensions, gratuities and retirees’ benefits stood at NGN1.443 trillion and fiscal deficit at NGN13.08 trillion.
That the Capital expenditure is projected at NGN16.48 trillion which is exclusive of transfers statutory transfers stand at NGN4.26 trillion; Sinking Fund is projected at NGN430.27 billion; That the Committee approves the respective figures for total recurrent (non-debt) at NGN14.21 trillion; special intervention for recurrent and capital is at NGN200 billion and NGN7 billion; and that the National Assembly do approves the Promissory Note Programme and Bond Issuance to  settle outstanding claims and liabilities of Federal Government owed to States, high priority judgments as well as liabilities incurred by Federal Ministries, Department and Agencies on behalf of Government.

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Just in: EFCC Nabs Tinubu’s Aide Over Alleged N500Bn Fraud

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Operatives of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) have nabbed Mustapha Abdullahi, the director-general of the Energy Commission of Nigeria, over alleged money laundering offences involving more than N500 billion.

TheCable understands that Abdullahi was arrested in Abuja on Wednesday and is currently being held in the custody of the anti-graft agency for further investigation.

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NDLEA intercepts N10.4 billion Canadian Loud at Lagos Port(Photos)

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. We’ll continue to work with local and international partners until illicit drug supply chain is fully broken in Nigeria, Marwa assures

Operatives of the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA) have intercepted a large consignment of Canadian Loud, a high-potency strain of cannabis, weighing 4,173.5 kilograms with a street value of Ten Billion Four Hundred and Thirty-Three Million Seven Hundred and Fifty Thousand Naira (N10, 433, 750,000.00) only at the Tincan Island Port in Lagos.

The successful interdiction of the illicit drug consignment followed painstaking intelligence gathering, sustained surveillance, and trailing of the container, which was transloaded a number of times since it left Toronto, Canada on 28th March, conveyed through rails to Montreal, where it was loaded on board a vessel, Jakarta express voyage, which arrived Tanger Med Port in Morocco on 15th April, discharged and reloaded on another vessel, Osaka voyage, which eventually arrived the Lagos Port on Saturday 9th May 2026.

The over two months of monitoring the shipment by the Marine Intelligence Unit of NDLEA and the Tincan Island Strategic Command of the Agency, working in close collaboration with international partners particularly the United Kingdom Home Office International Operations, the United States Drug Enforcement Administration, and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, culminated in the eventual seizure of the consignment on Tuesday 12th May during a joint examination of the container by NDLEA operatives, men of Customs Service and other security agencies.

The development comes barely four days after NDLEA operatives raided a Lekki mansion used as stash house where 4,000 parcels of same psychoactive substance weighing 2,326 kilograms worth over Five Billion Eight Hundred and Fifteen Million Naira (N5,815,000,000.00) were recovered.

The illicit drug consignments from Canada were professionally packed and concealed inside two vehicles: a used Ford Bus and a Mercedes Benz C300 car, stashed within the shipping container. Speaking during the handover of the exhibits by the NCS at the Port in Lagos on Wednesday 13th May, the NDLEA’s Director of Seaports Operations, ACG Ibinabo ArchieAbia said the “achievement once again demonstrates the effectiveness of inter-agency cooperation, international collaboration, and intelligence-driven operations in combating transnational organized crime and illicit drug trafficking.”

Reacting to the development, the Chairman/Chief Executive Officer of NDLEA, Brig. Gen. Mohamed Buba Marwa (Rtd), commended the officers of the Tincan Command and the MIU of the Agency for their vigilance and professional conduct, noting that the volume of recent Loud seizures highlights a coordinated attempt by international drug syndicates to flood the Nigerian market with synthetic strains of cannabis.

“This second massive seizure in less than a week is a clear message to the international syndicates who think they can use our ports as entry points for their soul-destroying trade, that the synergy between NDLEA and Customs Service as well as other security agencies and our international partners like the Canadian Royal Mounted Police, the UK-HOIO and the US DEA is yielding fantastic results. We will not rest until every link in this supply chain is broken and those behind these shipments are brought to justice”, Marwa stated.

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Prominent Analyst Calls for Immediate Halt to Amukpe–Escravos Pipeline Sale Process

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A prominent public affairs analyst, Prof. Okey Ikechukwu, has called for the immediate suspension and possible termination of all processes related to the proposed sale of a 40 per cent stake in the Amukpe–Escravos Pipeline, warning that proceeding under the current terms would amount to a “giveaway” of a strategic national asset.

Ikechukwu, Executive Director of the Development Specs Academy, made the remarks during an interview on Tuesday on Arise News, where he questioned the pricing, procedure, and transparency surrounding the transaction.

According to him, Nigeria is not in such financial distress as to justify disposing of a critical infrastructure asset at what he described as a “giveaway price.”

“If that is allowed to happen, it means there is no governance,” he said. “It means that people can exercise arbitrary discretion. It means that processes can be routinely violated.”

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His intervention comes amid mounting controversy over the valuation of the pipeline asset. Independent assessments conducted in 2025 reportedly valued the 40 per cent stake at between $544 million and $641 million, more than double the $243 million offer associated with a transaction that collapsed in October 2024.

Ikechukwu argued that any attempt to revive or proceed with the sale on the basis of disputed or outdated valuation benchmarks would undermine due process and public confidence.

“We are not under any desperate need to sell it at a giveaway price, and that’s what appears to be happening here,” he said. “If that is allowed to happen, then it means there is no governance.”

Describing the pipeline as a “performing national asset,” the analyst noted that the facility reportedly maintains operational uptime levels of as high as 95 per cent.

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“If you must sell a performing national asset, it must be sold at the right value,” he stated.

To illustrate his concerns, Ikechukwu compared the situation to a failed private land transaction later revived at an outdated price, arguing that such a practice would be unacceptable in any credible commercial environment.

He further warned that proceeding without an updated valuation process could damage investor confidence and weaken perceptions of regulatory integrity.

“But beyond all of that, where will investor confidence be?” he asked. “If you are a lender, how do you feel in this kind of environment? It might even be interpreted as sabotage.”

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Beyond the question of pricing, Ikechukwu said the larger issue at stake was institutional credibility and adherence to due process.

“If that is allowed to happen, it means there is no governance,” he reiterated. “It means that people can exercise arbitrary discretion. It means that processes can be routinely violated.”

The development expert consequently called for an immediate halt to all ongoing steps connected to the proposed transaction.

“All processes leading up to the presumed attempt to sell it now should be stopped,” he said. “Quite frankly, terminated. An independent evaluation should take place so that we know the current value of what is on the table and ensure that the country does not lose money in the process.”

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