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Economy

75.5% of rural Nigerians now live below poverty line — World Bank

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The World Bank has disclosed that a staggering 75.5 per cent of rural Nigerians are now living below the poverty line, reflecting deepening hardship in the country’s hinterlands.

This was revealed in the Bank’s April 2025 Poverty and Equity Brief for Nigeria, which paints a grim picture of worsening economic hardship, widening inequality, and persistent underdevelopment across much of the nation.

While poverty is widespread among urban populations, the report emphasised that the situation is significantly worse in rural areas, where economic stagnation, high inflation, and insecurity have exacerbated living conditions.

“Based on the most recent official household survey data from Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics, 30.9 per cent of Nigerians lived below the international extreme poverty line of $2.15 per person per day in 2018/19 before the COVID-19 pandemic,” the report stated.

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The report also highlighted Nigeria’s enduring regional disparities. “Nigeria remains spatially unequal. The poverty rate in northern geopolitical zones was 46.5 per cent in 2018/19, compared with 13.5 per cent for southern ones. Inequality measured by the Gini index was estimated at 35.1 in 2018/19.

“Nigeria’s Prosperity Gap — the average factor by which individuals’ incomes must be multiplied to attain a prosperity standard of $25 per day for all — is estimated at 10.2, higher than most peers.”

Despite successive policy interventions, these figures underscore a persistent economic divide across the country.

The report’s demographic analysis found that children aged 0 to 14 years had a poverty rate of 72.5 per cent, reflecting the scale of deprivation among the youngest segment of the population.

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Gender disparities were also observed, with 63.9 per cent of females and 63.1 per cent of males classified as poor under the $3.65 per day lower-middle-income threshold.

Education emerged as a significant determinant of poverty, with Nigerians lacking formal education experiencing a poverty rate of 79.5 per cent. This contrasts with 61.9 per cent for those with primary education and 50.0 per cent for secondary school graduates. Only 25.4 per cent of those with tertiary education were considered poor.

The report also drew attention to multidimensional poverty indicators, which further reflect widespread deprivation.

According to the World Bank, about 30.9 per cent of Nigerians live on less than $2.15 daily, 32.6 per cent lack access to limited-standard drinking water, 45.1 per cent do not have limited-standard sanitation, and 39.4 per cent have no electricity.

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Education access remains a challenge, with 17.6 per cent of adults yet to complete primary education, and 9.0 per cent of households reporting at least one school-aged child not enrolled in school.

The report noted that even before the COVID-19 pandemic, efforts to reduce extreme poverty had largely stalled.

“Before COVID-19, extreme poverty reduction had almost stagnated, dropping by only half a percentage point annually since 2010. Living standards of the urban poor are hardly improving, and jobs that would allow households to escape poverty are lacking,” the report read.

Although the World Bank acknowledged recent economic reforms aimed at stabilising Nigeria’s macroeconomic outlook, it warned that persistently high inflation continues to undermine household purchasing power, particularly in urban areas where incomes have not kept pace with rising costs.

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In light of the worsening situation, the Bank called for urgent policy action to shield vulnerable groups from inflationary shocks and to drive job creation through more productive economic activities.

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Economy

FAAC: FG, states, LGs share N2.257tn April revenue

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The Federal Government, states and local government councils shared a total sum of N2.257 trillion from the Federation Account in April.

Director, Press and Public Relations, Office of the Accountant General of the Federation, Bawa Mokwa, disclosed this in a statement on Monday.

The revenue was shared at the May 2026 Federation Account Allocation Committee, FAAC, meeting held in Abuja.

The N2.257 trillion total distributable revenue comprised distributable statutory revenue of N1.260 trillion , distributable Value Added Tax, VAT, revenue of N747.088 billion, and augmentation of N250.000 billion.

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This indicated that total gross revenue of N3.184 trillion was available in the month of April 2026. The total deduction for cost of collection was N113.756 billion, while total transfers, refunds, and savings were N813.839 billion.

According to the statement, gross statutory revenue of N2.378 trillion was received for the month of April 2026. This was higher than the sum of N1.699 trillion received in the preceding month by N678.224 billion.

Gross revenue of N806.617 billion was available from VAT in April 2026. This was higher than the N664.425 billion available in the month of March 2026 by N142.192 billion.

The communiqué stated that from the N2.257 trillion total distributable revenue, the Federal Government received a total sum of N787.351 billion, and the state governments received a total sum of N772.360 billion.

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The local government councils received N540.152 billion, while the sum of N157.254 billion (13% of mineral revenue) was shared with the benefiting states as derivation revenue.

On the N1.260 trillion distributable statutory revenue, the statement stated that the Federal Government received N580.942 billion and the state governments received N294.661 billion.

The local government councils received N227.172 billion, and the sum of N157.254 billion (13% of mineral revenue) was shared with the benefiting states as derivation revenue.

From the N747.088 billion distributable VAT revenue, the Federal Government received N74.709 billion, the state governments received N410.898 billion, and the local government councils received N261.481 billion.

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The Federal Government received N131.700 billion of the N250.000 billion, the state governments received N66.800 billion, and the local governments received N51.500 billion.

In April 2026, Companies Income Tax, CIT, CGT, SDT, import duty, oil and gas royalty, and VAT increased significantly, while Petroleum Profit Tax, PPT, and hydrocarbon tax, HT, decreased considerably.

Excise duty and CET levies decreased marginally.

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Economy

Nigeria’s company income tax drops to N1.37tn in Q1 2026 — NBS

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Nigeria’s company income tax, CIT, decreased in the first quarter of 2026 to N1.37 trillion.

The National Bureau of Statistics, NBS, disclosed this in its CIT report released on Monday.

The report showed that the country’s CIT dropped by 8.98 percent when compared to N1.449 trillion collected in Q4 2025.

Further breakdown showed that domestic CIT stood at N538.91 billion, while foreign payments accounted for N828.82 billion in the period under review.

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“Company Income Tax (CIT) in Q1 2026 stood at N1.37 trillion, indicating a decrease of 8.08 percent on a quarter-on-quarter basis from N1.49 trillion in Q4 2025.

“Of the total CIT collected, domestic CIT contributed N538.91 billion, while foreign CIT payment accounted for N828.82 billion during the quarter,” the NBS stated.

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Economy

Revenue: IMF asks FG to impose fuel, telecom taxes

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The International Monetary Fund has recommended introducing taxes on fuel products and telecommunications services in Nigeria as part of broader measures to increase government revenue and create fiscal space for development spending and social interventions.

The recommendation was contained in the IMF’s 2026 Article IV Consultation report on Nigeria, where the Fund argued that additional tax measures would be needed over the medium term despite the recent overhaul of the country’s tax system.

“Further tax policy changes will likely be needed—such as increasing the VAT rate, extending VAT to fuel products, rationalising tax expenditures in particular VAT exemptions on extractive industries and some customs duties, and introducing telecom excises—to complement administrative gains,” the IMF said.

The Washington-based institution, however, cautioned that the timing of any new taxes must take into account Nigeria’s rising poverty levels and worsening food insecurity.

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“The timing of reforms must consider the poverty and food insecurity situation and ensure that the cash transfer system is in place and funded,” the Fund added.

The recommendation is likely to trigger fresh debate across the country, given the sensitivity surrounding fuel prices and telecommunications costs.

A previous attempt by the Federal Government to introduce a five per cent excise duty on telecom services faced widespread opposition from operators, subscribers and consumer advocacy groups before it was eventually suspended and later scrapped.

Telecommunications companies had argued that the sector was already burdened by multiple taxes, rising energy costs, foreign exchange pressures and infrastructure challenges, warning that any additional levy would ultimately be passed on to consumers through higher call and data charges.

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Similarly, proposals linked to fuel taxation have generated opposition from labour unions and private sector groups amid concerns over rising living costs following the removal of petrol subsidies and increases in transport and food prices.

The IMF’s latest recommendation comes as it projects that Nigeria will need stronger revenue mobilisation efforts to sustain planned increases in public spending and support vulnerable households.

According to the report, revenue-enhancing tax policies could generate additional revenues equivalent to 3.9 per cent of Gross Domestic Product within three years of implementation. The Fund identified a two-percentage-point increase in the Value Added Tax rate as the single largest contributor, with an estimated revenue gain of 0.8 per cent of GDP.

It also projected that removing pioneer status incentives and revising free zone regulations would generate another 0.7 per cent of GDP, while reforms to capital gains taxation and adjustments to personal income tax bands, allowances and rates would each contribute 0.6 per cent of GDP.

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The IMF further estimated that a top-up tax on multinationals and large firms could raise 0.5 per cent of GDP, while rationalising investment allowances would add another 0.4 per cent.

Notably, the category labelled “others”, which includes telecom excise duties and other measures such as a carbon tax on fuel, was projected to contribute an additional 0.4 per cent of GDP in revenue gains.

Beyond new tax measures, the Fund said Nigeria could generate even larger gains through stronger tax administration.

It projected that administrative reforms would yield an additional 3.1 per cent of GDP through improved compliance, enforcement and efforts to reduce informality in the economy.

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According to the report, measures such as fiscalisation, electronic invoicing and cross-validation of tax deductions could generate 1.5 per cent of GDP, while expanded tax identification registration and consolidation of taxpayer databases could contribute another 1.6 per cent of GDP.

The IMF acknowledged that some of Nigeria’s recently enacted tax reforms would reduce government revenue in the short term because they were designed to support households and small businesses.

It estimated that revenue-reducing measures would lower revenues by 2.4 per cent of GDP, with expanded VAT input credits, additional zero-rated items and broader exemptions on basic consumption goods accounting for 1.7 percentage points.

Lower corporate income tax obligations for smaller firms would reduce revenues by 0.4 per cent of GDP, while lower personal income tax rates and expanded exemptions for low-income earners would account for another 0.3 percentage point reduction.

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Overall, the IMF projected that the combined impact of revenue-enhancing measures, administrative reforms and revenue-reducing policies would result in a net increase in government revenue equivalent to 4.6 per cent of GDP over the medium term.

The Fund argued that stronger revenue mobilisation had become increasingly important because Nigeria’s fiscal position remained under pressure despite recent reforms.

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