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NRS targets ₦40.7trn revenue in 2026
Nigeria’s revenue outlook for 2026 is set on a strong growth path as the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) has projected a total revenue target of ₦40.7 trillion for the year. This would be built on what it described as “sustained progress recorded over the past five years.”
Meeting the ₦40.7 trillion target in 2026 would mean that the Service would outperform the Federal Government’s budgeted revenue estimate of ₦34.3 trillion for the year.
The projection was disclosed on Tuesday in Abuja by the Executive Director, Government and Large Taxpayers at the NRS, Mrs. Amina Ado Kurawa, during the 2026 NRS Leadership Retreat. She said revenue performance between 2021 and 2025 had improved significantly, with collections rising by more than four times within the period.
She explained that while year-on-year growth is expected to remain positive, success will depend largely on stronger enforcement, broader compliance, and improved operational efficiency under the new NRS framework.
Mrs. Kurawa said oil revenue is expected to grow modestly by about 1.4 per cent in 2026, noting that this reflects stable oil production levels but lower benchmark prices. She added that the projected increase would come mainly from Company Income Tax related to oil operations, as well as Petroleum Profits Tax and Hydrocarbon Tax.
She explained that non-oil revenue would remain the main driver of growth, with collections projected to rise by 37.9 per cent to ₦24.836 trillion in 2026, compared to the ₦21.5 trillion recorded in 2025. Kurawa also disclosed that royalty revenue has now been fully integrated into the national revenue framework for the first time, following the expanded mandate of the Nigeria Revenue Service, creating an additional stream of income for the government.
Within the non-oil segment, she said Company Income Tax, Value Added Tax, and the Development Levy are expected to account for the largest share of revenue growth in 2026.
“To achieve the 2026 target, the Service will continue to engage stakeholders on new tax laws, automate Petroleum Profits Tax, Hydrocarbon Tax, and royalty assessments and payments, issue clear regulations to support compliance, and improve audit quality while reducing audit timelines,” she said.
She added that the Service would also strengthen collaboration with state governments and federal ministries, departments, and agencies to improve VAT and withholding tax remittances. According to her, the NRS is also expanding its use of data analytics through e-invoicing, government contract data, and other digital sources to close revenue gaps.
Mrs. Kurawa also presented the performance of the Service in 2025, describing it as one of the strongest in recent years. She said total revenue collection rose by 30.4 per cent to ₦28.3 trillion in 2025, compared to ₦21.7 trillion in 2024, exceeding the annual target of ₦25.2 trillion by 12 per cent.
“Actual collections in 2025 amounted to 112 per cent of the annual target, reflecting improved efficiency and stronger compliance across revenue streams,” she said.
She explained that quarterly results showed particularly strong performance in the middle of the year, with the Service achieving 129.7 per cent of its second-quarter target and 131.9 per cent in the third quarter, although the first and fourth quarters came in slightly below expectations.
Oil tax revenue in 2025 stood at ₦6.8 trillion, representing 95 per cent of the annual oil revenue target, with average monthly collections of about ₦600 billion. Non-oil taxes performed even better, with collections reaching ₦21.4 trillion, equivalent to 119 per cent of the annual target and an average monthly inflow of about ₦1.5 trillion.
Year-on-year figures showed oil tax revenue grew by 19 per cent from ₦5.8 trillion in 2024 to ₦6.8 trillion in 2025, while non-oil tax revenue jumped by 35 per cent from ₦15.9 trillion to ₦21.5 trillion. Company Income Tax, Value Added Tax, and Petroleum Profits Tax or Hydrocarbon Tax recorded the strongest results, while Capital Gains Tax saw exceptional growth due mainly to divestments in the oil and gas sector.
She noted that revenue performance in 2025 was higher than in 2024 in every month except October, which fell short by about five per cent. Filing compliance also improved steadily between 2022 and 2025 across major tax types, including Company Income Tax, VAT, withholding tax, stamp duties, and electronic money transfer levy.
According to her, the strong 2025 outcome was driven by stricter enforcement of penalties, removal of routine filing extensions, organisational restructuring carried out in early 2024, better staff welfare, expansion of the withholding tax system, automation efforts, and reforms in tax policy and legislation.
Speaking at the retreat, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, placed Nigeria’s revenue drive within a broader global context, pointing to what he described as a harsh financial reality facing developing countries.
Using 2024 figures, the Minister said developing and emerging economies paid about $163 billion in debt service to external creditors during the year, while receiving only $42 billion in Overseas Development Assistance (ODA) and about $97 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).
“When you add ODA and FDI together, total inflows came to $139 billion, which is still lower than the $163 billion paid out in debt service,” he said. “This means developing countries sent more money out than they received, leading to a net outflow of resources.”
He explained that this situation shows that developing countries are now giving more money to the global system than they are receiving, reversing the traditional flow of financial support. According to him, this makes reliance on external financing unsustainable.
“Internal fiscal effort and domestic revenue mobilisation must now be the main anchor of fiscal sustainability,” the Minister said, adding that countries must increasingly rely on their own revenue and savings to fund investment and development.
He said this reality makes the role of the Nigeria Revenue Service central to Nigeria’s economic strategy at this time.
The Executive Chairman of the NRS, Dr. Zacch Adedeji, in his address, urged leaders of the Service to abandon comfort, routine, and old habits, and rise to the demands of the present moment. He said the NRS represents a clear departure from the past and marks the beginning of a new institutional era that requires new ways of thinking and leading.
“Past achievements and positions will not be enough to secure the future of this institution,” he said. “What will matter is adaptability, growth, and a higher standard of leadership.”
Dr. Adedeji said leadership failures often stem not from lack of intelligence or strategy, but from hidden beliefs that shape decisions and behaviour. He warned that even strong reforms can fail if leaders do not confront internal barriers that quietly influence how they lead.
He noted that such barriers often appear as good intentions, such as believing leaders must always have the answers, confusing tight control with accountability, or expecting everyone to work in the same way and at the same pace. He added that fear-driven leadership environments discourage learning, questioning, and innovation.
The NRS Chairman said the first priority of the retreat was leadership self-examination, not strategy or technology. He admitted that he personally struggled with expecting others to perform tasks exactly the way he would, which affected delegation and created unnecessary pressure.
“My breakthrough was realising that efficiency does not require uniformity, and excellence does not require my personal style,” he said. “Leadership is about elevating others, not reproducing yourself.”
He urged leaders to set aside titles and inherited leadership scripts during the retreat, saying the future of the NRS would depend more on humility, courage, and clarity than on policy documents.
Also speaking at the retreat, the Chairman of the National Tax Policy Implementation Committee (NTPIC), Mr. Joseph Tegbe, said Nigeria has moved from the phase of making tax laws to the phase of delivering results. He said the passage of four major tax laws has corrected past weaknesses, and attention must now turn fully to execution.
According to him, Nigeria’s low tax-to-GDP ratio remains a major structural weakness that exposes the country to oil price shocks, making stable domestic revenue an economic necessity rather than a choice.
Mr. Tegbe described the NRS as a “revenue system integrator” rather than a stand-alone agency, with responsibility for expanding the tax base while protecting vulnerable citizens, using data and technology intelligently, maintaining high ethical standards, and building a strong, professional workforce.
He added that success should not be measured by revenue figures alone, but by higher voluntary compliance, lower cost of collection, fewer disputes, and increased public trust in the fairness of the tax system
News
Nigeria, Italy lead $5bn global education financing campaign
Nigeria and Italy have strengthened collaboration on a campaign to mobilise $5bn for education financing worldwide through the Global Partnership for Education.
The Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Communications, Office of the Vice President, Stanley Nkwocha, disclosed this in a statement issued on Wednesday.
According to the statement, the collaboration was highlighted at the “Multiply Possibility: A New Era for Education Financing” high-level event held in New York, United States, on the sidelines of the 81st Session of the United Nations General Assembly.
The statement said President Bola Tinubu, in a video message to the event, noted that the GPE vision aligned with his administration’s agenda of improving educational outcomes by investing in access and capacity building for teachers.
The President also commended stakeholders in the GPE for their efforts towards accelerating education financing globally. Representing the President at the gathering, Vice President Kashim Shettima said education was an investment in Nigeria’s economic future, productivity, prosperity and stability.
He said, “For Nigeria, education is not an expenditure at the margins of our development agenda. It is an investment in our economic future, national productivity, and the prosperity and stability of our people.
“Since President Bola Ahmed Tinubu assumed office in 2023, our Administration has substantially increased resources devoted to education, while pursuing reforms to strengthen basic education financing, expand foundational learning, and improve access to tertiary and technical education.
“Through the Nigerian Education Loan Fund, we are widening access to higher education, while strengthening the link between education, skills, employment and enterprise.”
Shettima said Nigeria was looking beyond traditional budgetary allocations, noting that Tinubu had directed that liquid funds recovered by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, once legally cleared and free from litigation, be channelled to the Nigerian Education Loan Fund.
The VP said the Federal Executive Council had also recently approved the consideration of unclaimed dividends and dormant funds for the same purpose, subject to relevant legal requirements.
He said this demonstrated Nigeria’s commitment to mobilising every responsible and lawful domestic source to finance education.
Citing Nigeria’s partnership with the World Bank and GPE through HOPE-EDU, Shettima said, “The programme is expected to reach approximately 29 million children and 500,000 teachers across Nigeria.”
He added: “This is precisely why GPE matters. GPE does not replace national investment; it multiplies it. The ambition before us is to mobilise US$5 billion for GPE and, through that investment, unlock additional financing for education in partner countries.
“Domestic resources must remain the anchor, complemented by development assistance, concessional finance, philanthropy and innovative financing.”
The Vice President said Nigeria’s growing population could become one of its greatest economic assets if its “young people have access to quality education, relevant skills and meaningful opportunities.”
He said the response to declining global aid “must therefore be smarter multilateralism: using scarce international resources to leverage much larger investments.”
Shettima urged participants to ensure that the initiative was not merely a fundraising exercise but “a renewed compact for human capital, bringing together national leadership, international partnership and responsible financing so that every child has the opportunity to learn, thrive and contribute to their country’s future.”
He also expressed Nigeria’s appreciation to the Italian government and GPE for joining the campaign, stressing that Nigeria was participating not merely to seek greater international investment but “to demonstrate that we are investing in education ourselves.”
Earlier, Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, praised Tinubu’s leadership and Nigeria’s determination to improve educational outcomes across all levels.
She urged partners in the global alliance to show greater commitment to reversing the trend in developing countries.
The UN Deputy Secretary-General, Amina Mohammed, thanked partners for their interest in improving education financing in developing countries.
She called on international financial institutions to support committed countries in finding the fiscal space needed to improve educational outcomes, including capacity building for teachers.
Also speaking, the Chair of the Board of Directors of GPE, Jakaya Kikwete, underscored the need to accelerate education financing, noting that education remained central to human rights, security and peace.
Girls’ education activist, Malala Yousafzai, also called for greater collaboration in ideas and resources, urging governments and multilateral organisations to commit more resources towards gender equality in education.
The statement said governments and donors at the event made contributions towards the education of at least 370 million children globally, while the Italian government pledged €50m for GPE programmes and interventions.
News
Ex-LASU VC’s N1m fee remark misinterpreted – Spokesperson
Emmanuel Adeyemi, media aide to the immediate-past Vice-Chancellor of Lagos State University, Prof Ibiyemi Olatunji-Bello, has faulted the misinterpretation of his principal’s remarks on the payment of N1m fees by students of public universities in The PUNCH interview on Tuesday.
A flurry of reactions has trailed excerpts of the interview widely circulated across social media.
In a statement on Wednesday, Adeyemi said Olatunji-Bello did not suggest that students or their parents must pay N1m annually for university education.
He urged the public, media and education stakeholders to consider Olatunji-Bello’s complete remarks rather than isolated portions that, he said, could give a different impression of her position.
He explained that the former VC was speaking about the estimated cost of providing quality undergraduate education, while advocating innovative and diversified funding sources for universities.
According to Adeyemi, Olatunji-Bello’s remarks were made against the backdrop of the desire of Nigerians for university education comparable in quality to what is obtainable in other parts of the world.
He said the former VC had noted that delivering such quality education costs approximately N1m per student annually.
Adeyemi, however, stressed that Olatunji-Bello did not suggest that the entire cost should be transferred to students or their parents.
He said, “The immediate-past Vice-Chancellor of Lagos State University, Prof. Ibiyemi Olatunji-Bello, has been widely quoted across social media as saying that students must pay N1m in fees for public universities to achieve self-sustainability.
“Distinguished Professor Olatunji-Bello’s remarks were made against the backdrop of Nigerians’ legitimate aspiration for university education that is genuinely comparable in quality to what is obtainable in other parts of the world, a standard that stands in sharp contrast to the comparatively low tuition fees currently charged by public universities in Nigeria.
“Her central argument was that delivering the quality of undergraduate education Nigerians rightly desire costs, on average, approximately N1m per student annually.
“Crucially, however, she did not suggest that this cost must necessarily be transferred wholesale onto students or their parents.”
Adeyemi said the remarks, when read in their entirety, reflected Olatunji-Bello’s call for universities to pursue innovation and develop diversified revenue streams to achieve financial sustainability.
He added, “This is precisely why, in response to the interview question on institutional self-sustainability, she began by stating: ‘Universities can achieve financial self-sustainability. If they can innovate and ensure improvements in the institution, money will come in.
“She went on to add: ‘I enjoin parents to ensure their children are well-educated by prioritising their fees. Good quality education needs money.’”
Adeyemi said the ex-VC’s position reflected a broader call for universities to pursue innovation and diversified revenue streams as the primary pathway to financial sustainability, while also reminding parents of the genuine cost implications of quality education and encouraging shared responsibility rather than assigning that burden to any single party.
He said the former VC sought to remind parents of the cost implications of quality education and encourage shared responsibility for funding university education.
“We urge members of the public, the media, and stakeholders in the education sector to engage with Distinguished Professor Olatunji-Bello’s complete remarks in their proper context, rather than isolated soundbites that do not accurately reflect the full weight and intent of her position,” he added.
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Bauchi begins N10bn gratuity backlog payment
Bauchi State Governor, Bala Mohammed, has directed the commencement of payment of outstanding gratuity to retired civil servants from 2012 to 2016.
The governor, who was represented by his deputy, Auwal Jatau, announced this on Wednesday, saying the exercise would commence with the first batch of beneficiaries, while subsequent payments would be made until all eligible retirees had received their entitlements.
Mohammed said the state government had committed N10bn towards addressing the accumulated gratuity obligations owed to retirees.
He explained that the validated historical records showed that the total outstanding obligations for the period amounted to N11.71bn, comprising liabilities owed to state and local government retirees.
According to him, the state component involves 3,570 beneficiaries with obligations amounting to N6.13bn, while the local government component covers 2,262 beneficiaries with outstanding obligations of N5.58bn.
The governor said the payment would be implemented progressively based on the chronology of outstanding obligations, completeness of supporting records, validation and reconciliation processes, as well as the resources approved for each phase.
He said, “No eligible pensioner should interpret this first phase as an exclusion. We are beginning from defined historical brackets so that government can process systematically and transparently.
“We are starting here, but we are not stopping here. The validated historical records before government cover the accumulated obligations.”
Mohammed noted that many retired workers had waited for more than a decade to receive their gratuity, describing the backlog as one of the most challenging issues inherited by his administration.
He said, “Today, we say to you, your wait is finally coming to an end. Acknowledging the plight of our senior citizens, when we talk about monthly living, there should be dignity.
“It is a systemic injustice when, after finishing years of service, you are unable to receive your hard-earned entitlement. Sadly, we have lost some of our colleagues along the way without them tasting the fruit of their labour.”
The governor said the government recognised the contributions of retirees who spent decades building the state’s infrastructure, schools, healthcare system and administrative machinery.
He added that the government had established the Bauchi State Contributory Pension Scheme to strengthen the management of pension-related matters, including data validation, verification and reconciliation.
Mohammed directed the relevant committee and officials overseeing the exercise to ensure transparency, speed and fairness in the disbursement.
He said there should be no bureaucratic bottlenecks during the verification process and directed that senior citizens should be given priority and treated with dignity.
The governor said the payment was not merely a financial intervention but a demonstration of the government’s commitment to addressing inherited obligations and improving the welfare of retirees.
He urged beneficiaries to provide the necessary documentation, cooperate with the verification process and use the payments prudently to support themselves and their families.
The Speaker of the state House of Assembly, Abubakar Sulaiman, said the legislature unanimously approved the release of funds for the payment of the outstanding gratuity.
Sulaiman said the House had remained concerned about the hardship faced by retirees as a result of the accumulated backlog.
He said, “The commencement of this month’s payment of gratuity is an important step towards addressing a long-standing obligation to the men and women who devoted their productive years to the service and development of our dear state.
“The House has demonstrated its commitment through concrete legislative action by approving the request of the government to secure the necessary financing for the settlement of outstanding gratuity.”
The Speaker said the House approved the measure because gratuity was an entitlement earned through years of dedicated service and should not be regarded as a favour to retired workers.
He commended Governor Bala Mohammed for responding to the resolutions of the House and demonstrating political will towards addressing the longstanding liability.
Sulaiman said the exercise was expected to commence with about 1,700 retirees across the state.
He assured retirees that the House would continue to provide legislative support and oversight to ensure that the welfare and legitimate entitlements of workers and pensioners received adequate attention.
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