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The man who saw tomorrow: Senator Akpabio and the uncommon politics of certainty

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By Hon Eseme Eyiboh

Let us begin with a confession. There is something unsettling about a politician who no longer appears to struggle.

In the turbulent theatre of Nigerian politics, where noise is often mistaken for relevance, where primaries resemble wrestling contests and delegate management demands the instincts of a hostage negotiator, a man who walks in unopposed does not merely win. He transforms the entire contest into a rehearsal.

On Monday, May 18, 2026, at Methodist Primary School, Ukana, in Essien Udim Local Government Area, Senator Godswill Akpabio did exactly that. No contest. No drama. No nervous counting of votes. He simply emerged as the candidate of the All Progressives Congress for the Akwa Ibom North West Senatorial District without a single challenger.

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While many politicians remain trapped in the exhausting rituals of horse trading, factional bargaining, and survival politics, Akpabio’s good works delivered something far rarer in Nigeria’s political environment than gold itself. Absolute consensus.

To the casual observer, an unopposed return may suggest the absence of competition. That would be a dangerously shallow interpretation.
Those familiar with the political phenomenon long associated with the “Uncommon Transformer” understand the distinction clearly. An unopposed ticket does not mean nobody desired to contest. Politics naturally attracts ambition the way light attracts insects. Power always generates interest. Influence always provokes aspiration.
What an unopposed return truly means is far more significant: potential challengers surveyed the landscape, studied the numbers, weighed the networks, measured the emotional connection between the man and the political structure around him, and quietly concluded that the road to victory simply did not exist.
There is a profound difference between lack of opposition and the collapse of viable opposition

Why is there no road to victory for others? Because what Akpabio has built in Akwa Ibom State in general and Akwa Ibom North West in particular is no longer merely a political structure. It is a fortress. Its walls are not made of concrete. They are made of cultivated loyalty. Enduring networks. Strategic generosity. And the unspoken understanding that confronting him politically is not simply difficult. It is often futile and absurd.

The atmosphere at the ward centre resembled less a political exercise and more a carnival of affirmation. Supporters, community leaders, women groups, youths, and party faithful gathered not to determine an outcome but to endorse a grace carrier already settled in the public imagination. The votes were counted without end. The votes were celebrated.

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*Here is the remarkable part.*

The whispers surrounding Akpabio’s dominance do not come only from admirers. They come from seeming opponents too.

They do not fear his voice. They fear his results. They do not tremble at confrontation. They confront something more sobering: the recognition that within his political territory, the arithmetic has been solved with almost clinical precision.

While others are still assembling coalitions, Akpabio consolidated his long ago. While rivals continue calculating delegate figures, he has already moved to the next question: what happens after victory? How does political power translate into enduring relevance and measurable impact?

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That is the distinction between a career politician and a political architect. One chases office. The other shapes the terrain on which the chase itself occurs.

Since assuming office as President of the 10th Senate, Akpabio has projected a measure of stability within the Red Chamber. That should not be understated.

The Nigerian Senate has earned a reputation for turbulence over the years. Leadership rebellions. Internal fractures. Floor dramas that generate headlines while weakening governance and social democratic structures. Against that backdrop, a Senate President capable of maintaining institutional stability without recurring crises becomes more than merely effective. He becomes uncommon.

His admirers see in him a politician who has consistently combined institutional authority with emotional loyalty from his base through the National to International arena. From Governor to Minister to Senate President, his rise is framed as the journey of a man who understood tomorrow before others arrived there. A politician deeply conscious of timing, alignment, and the delicate craft of converting social capital into durable influence and uncommon power (political capital).

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This point matters enormously. Political capital is easy to squander. This point matters enormously. Political goodwill is easy to destroy. Many politicians exhaust it through arrogance, exclusion, or the endless pursuit of personal advantage. But Akpabio appears to understand something deeper about leadership: goodwill grows when people genuinely feel seen, valued, included, and carried along.
Over the years, he has cultivated relationships not merely through politics, but through accessibility, generosity of spirit, loyalty to associates, and an unusual ability to make people feel remembered even in the midst of high office. That is why his support structure often appears less like a coalition held together by convenience and more like a community bound by shared experience and enduring personal connection.
What some interpret merely as political dominance may actually be the long-term harvest of sustained human investment.
And perhaps that explains the ease with which the field gradually cleared around him. Not because opposition was forcibly silenced, but because many within the political environment saw little wisdom in disrupting a consensus built around continuity, stability, experience, and an existing relationship of trust.
His commitment to continue working closely with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Governor Umo Eno reinforces a broader message of continuity and strategic alignment. At a time when fragmentation remains the temptation of many ambitious actors, Senator Akpabio has chosen coordination. That is not a weakness. It is political arithmetic.

And this is where the conversation shifts from the present to the near future. The same political capital that secured his senatorial return without resistance is not a one-use currency. It accumulates. It compounds. The goodwill he has cultivated, the equilibrium he has maintained, and the pragmatic preference for results over rhetoric are not merely tools for another Senate term. They form the foundation of something larger and forthcoming.

The crystal ball is not required to observe the trajectory. A Senate President who secures his own return effortlessly, stabilises a chamber historically associated with instability, aligns himself with the centre of national power grid while maintaining grassroots legitimacy, is a Senate President who has solved one of Nigerian politics’ most difficult equations.

He has demonstrated to his colleagues that he can deliver. He has shown the party hierarchy that he can be trusted. He has reassured constituents that proximity to power has not disconnected him from them.

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This combination is rarer than any single attribute standing alone. So when the 11th Senate eventually convenes and the question of leadership emerges once again, the conversation may prove shorter than many anticipate. Not because there will be no interested contenders. There always are. But because the arithmetic of loyalty, institutional experience, strategic alignment, and demonstrated political capacity will already have completed its quiet work.

Akpabio has not formally declared interest in leading the 11th Senate. He does not need to. The declaration already exists in the pattern of his movements, the stability of his stewardship, and the political field he has cleared without visible strain. It is simply the discipline of reading political signs as they present themselves* .

In the end, Nigerian politics rewards those who understand the people more deeply than those who merely master performance and noise.That is not sentimentality. It is a political reality.

A politician capable of delivering his constituency without violence, panic, or emergency intervention is a politician who understands something fundamental: power is never truly declared. It is demonstrated. And it is demonstrated most convincingly when nobody steps forward to challenge it.

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On that Monday in Ukana, the drums rolled. Praises echoed across the gathering. And the political message arrived without ambiguity. In Akwa Ibom North West, the conversation has moved beyond opposition. What remains is an audience waiting to see the next chapter unfold without ceasing.

Senator Godswill Akpabio has once again reminded observers that in certain political spaces, dominance is not always loud.

Sometimes, it is simply complete. And in the intricate chessboard of Nigerian politics, where many players are still learning how the pieces move, that level of mastery remains rare, consequential, and deeply potent.

The man who saw tomorrow understood something else too. The loudest voice in the room is rarely the one that prevails.

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The one that prevails is the one that no longer needs to shout because everybody already understands. And that is what Senator Godswill Akpabio has demonstrated that he is the man who saw tomorrow.

Rt Hon Eseme Eyiboh mnipr is a former member and Spokesperson of the House of Representatives and currently Special Adviser, Media/Publicity and official Spokesperson to the President of the Senate

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Opinion

EPL’S SUNDERLAND AFC AS METAPHOR FOR DEVELOPMENT

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BY BOLAJI AFOLABI

Sunday May 24, 2026, the curtain was drawn on the 2025/26 season of the English Premier League, (EPL). At various stadia across the United Kingdom, clubs were engaged in the last games of the 380 matches, spanning 40 weeks in a 10-month long time. The EPL, is described as the most successful and popular football league in the world with billions of spectators, viewership, and supporters. As the most watched league globally, it has broadcast deals with numerous organizations like SKY TNT, NBC, and DAZN, covering 212 territories, and earning about 6.7 billion pounds annually on TV Rights only. For some lovers of football, and the EPL in particular, the highpoint of this season was the emergence of Arsenal FC as Champions – the first time after 22 years. For others, it was the exit of Pep Guardiola, the Manchester City FC Manager who won 20 trophies in 10 years. By the way, to underscore the marketing and business positions of the EPL, Arsenal earned 198.7 million pounds for winning the EPL – excluding revenues from other sources.

For the writer; a non-partisan lover of the beautiful game, and with no bias or sentimental attachment with any of the club sides in Europe and across the world, the out-of-the-book performances and achievements of the Sunderland AFC stands out. For soccer aficionados, football statisticians, and chroniclers of events, the feat recorded by the modest club which is from a city in Tyne & Wear of about 12 miles Southeast of Newcastle Upon Tyne will, for many seasons and years remain an important and strategic milestone of the EPL story. Sunderland AFC, which gained promotion back to the EPL before the commencement of the 2025/26 season, after some years in the tricky, tortuous, and difficult English Football League, (EFL) came 7th in the 20-team league.

Aside from earning 168.2 million pounds from the EPL, it qualified for the 2026/27 Europa League competition alongside Bournemouth FC and Crystal Palace FC – they will jointly represent the UK in Europe’s second-tier club competition. Also, the club came tops as the EPL side to have over-performed against the money invested – earning 54 points; 8 more than the projected 36; it had the edge on the decimal points garnered over other clubs including the champions, City, United, Liverpool, and Villa. For unattached, unbiased, and neutral followers of football, the superlative performances of Sunderland AFC deserve special mention, attention, and analysis. Many people still wonder how a club that was in the third tier of English football 3 seasons ago has created a record; arguably the best by any club in its first season at the EPL, after promotion from the EFL.

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Founded in 1879 as Sunderland & District Teachers Association Football Club by James Allen, it became a professional club in 1885. Known as “The Wearsiders” and “Black Cats” presently owned by Swiss-born businessman, Kyril Louis-Dreyfus; and partner, Juan Sartori, it has had its fair share of ups and downs in English football. Before the introduction of the EPL, it had won six top-flight titles, with the last one being in 1936, lifted the FA Cup twice, most famously in 1973, and the FA Community Shield in 1936. In the last decade, the club has been oscillating between the EPL, EFL, and League One. Despite its collection of mixed fortunes, Sunderland AFC has produced some notable players who have gone ahead, respectively to become respectable names in English football. It includes Jermaine Defore, Kevin Phillips, David Halliday, Niall Quinn, and Bobby Gurney – the club’s record goal scorer with 228 goals. Reuben Agboola, Asamoah Gyang, Steve Pienaar, Simon Adingra, and Ahmed ElMohamady are some of the Africans that have donned the red and white jersey of the club.

After an 8-year absence from the EPL, which saw Sunderland AFC campaigning in the dregy, cobwebry League One as well as the energy-sapping EFL, it got promoted to the elite division via the championship play-off in May 2025. The Board and Management of the club reasoned that after surviving the challenges and unpredictability of League One and EFL respectively, to stay afloat in the EPL required planning, operations, and results-yielding strategies. Coach Re’gis Le Bris, a French man, who has an impressive coaching career with Lorient FC, and Rennes FC in Ligue 1, came up with a deliberate and intentional blueprint towards ensuring that Sunderland turned the curve. Having crossed the first huddle, Bris, who was appointed as Manager in 2024, went to the next stage with passion, commitment, and conviction. He came up with an admixture of young, hungry players, and older, experienced ones – including home grown, home-adopted, and foreign. His philosophy was anchored on youth development, leadership, and togetherness.

Players like Granit Xhaka; Nordi Mukiele; Dennis Cirkin; Omar Alderete; Enzo Le Fee’; Wisdom Isidor; Brian Brobbey; Betrand Traore; and a few others became the nucleus of the club. On every match day, either at the club’s home ground “Stadium of Light” or any other stadia across the UK, the fans and spectators enthusiastically chant Sunderland AFC anthems – “The Greatest Team Yet” or “Sunderland Till I Die” as the players exhibits grit, brain, focus, hunger, sacrifices on the pitch of play. That Bris has transformed the club is no exaggeration. The club evolved with its unique tactical approach and technical skills with special emphasis on discipline, flexible passing, strong defense, never-tired engine-room, and enterprising build-up play. Through wide overloads, set-pieces, and patient, possession build-up, Bris imbibed the culture of adaptability and willingness to tweak playing styles which resulted in positive results.

Indeed, the Sunderland AFC model of success, which is hinged on strategic recruitment, astuteness, team dynamics, investment in youths, adaptability, and fan engagement can be adopted for realistic growth and development at the sub-national and national levels. From records, the seed of the club’s achievements were fed and watered – through proper planning, sincerity of purpose, and regular appraisals – a few years back. There was no rush or “fire brigade approach.” Though there were some negative results along the way, the entire segments of the club kept their focus on the bigger picture and target. At every stage, the club had to embark on necessary pruning, reviews, recalibration and renewals towards meeting the set objectives; to avoid relegation. Through deliberate, intentional, and sacrificial actions and operations, Sunderland AFC achieved this and more. From observation, all through the season, the tactical principles were pursued with utmost passion and unambiguous dedication.

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Considering the overarching levels of accentuating poverty, pervading hunger, disabling unemployment, and other socioeconomic challenges in the country; particularly across the states, the Sunderland AFC’s model may be useful. From reports, the humongous allocation of funds to states have not translated to realistic and visible changes in the lives of the people. Despite the huge monthly allocations of between 1.818 trillion and 2.036 trillion between June 2025 and April 2026, there have been no positive impacts in the lives of people and improvements on infrastructures in the majority of the states. Apart from a few, residents are served menus of unbridled insensitivity, quantum deceit, and in-your-face shenanigans by their Leaders. While a few are alleged to be involved in spurious and wasteful ventures that are at variance with the pressing needs of states, some others are said to be involved in shameless thievery, multifaceted buffeting, and primitive acquisitions.

That Sunderland AFC was able to make 168.2 million pounds (about 302.8 billion naira) from EPL in its first season; outside other revenues, implies that their development model is working. What lessons can be learned? Are there principles that States can domesticate? Are there takeaways for States to make the people happy? Sub-nationals should be involved in proper planning that is built on sincerity of purpose, focus, and vision. Sunderland AFC’s ambition was to make it to the EPL in three years, and avoid relegation – they achieved all and more. How well do states carry out peer review assessments, and regular appraisals of policies and programmes? Are they strategic in the recruitment of appointees and aides? How well do the chief executives head-hunt for resourceful and experienced people or appointments are made purely on ethnic and tribal sentiments? Are they investing in youths as a deliberate policy for governance, leadership, and development?

Indeed, to justify the huge quarterly FAAC allocations, and some other revenues accrued to the sub-national level, Governors must imbibe the words of Brain Tracy that, “excellence is not a destination; it’s a continuous journey.” Like Sunderland AFC, States must be visionary; astute in thinking, operations, and assessments; promote dynamism; imbibe adaptability; and evolve avenues of engagement with the people at all times. As the chief executives of their respective states, they should realize that the improvement of the well-being of their citizens, the attraction of meaningful development, and protection of lives and properties are the reasons for being elected into office – not self-centredness, selfish demagoguery, and crass sectionalism.

* BOLAJI AFOLABI, a Development Communications specialist was with the Office of Public Affairs, The Presidency, Abuja.

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Opinion

Political Tourists Can’t Derail PDP-Akpodiete Rejects Cheap Blackmail Over Archived Photo

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UGHELLI, Delta State

My attention has been drawn to the deliberate circulation of my old photograph with His Excellency, Rt. Hon. Sheriff F.O. Oborevwori, Governor of Delta State, by a handful of political distractors within our party.

Let me state clearly: this act is nothing but cheap blackmail orchestrated by unstable politicians who are political tourists and migrants with no genuine stake in the growth of the Peoples Democratic Party [PDP].

I joined the PDP in 2018 and have remained steadfast, contributing to the development and growth of our great party across Delta State, especially in the Ughelli North, Ughelli South, and Udu Federal Constituency. Even when the Governor defected, I stood firm and remained committed to the ideals, unity, and future of our great party.

No old photograph, no blackmail, and no smear campaign can erase my record of service, loyalty, and sacrifice to the PDP. The people of U3 know my antecedents, and they know where I stand.

I therefore urge our party leaders, women, youths, and supporters across U3 Federal Constituency to remain calm, focused, and undistracted. We must not allow mischief-makers to derail our collective resolve as we prepare for the 2027 elections.

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The PDP remains our home, and together we will reclaim and strengthen our mandate for the good of our people.

Signed
Hon. Dr. Olotu Akpodiete JP
House of Representatives Candidate Hopeful_
Ughelli North, Ughelli South & Udu Federal Constituency
Peoples Democratic Party [PDP]

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Opinion

No Law Says Governors Must Control 13% Derivation Fund: Tinubu Should Correct Derivation Error Before 2027

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As Nigeria moves steadily toward the 2027 general election, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu faces a defining test in the Niger Delta, one that goes beyond politics and strikes at the heart of constitutional justice, resource governance, and public trust.

For more than two decades, the 13 per cent derivation fund has been disbursed through state governments. Yet stakeholders across the Niger Delta continue to raise a fundamental question: where is the law, constitutional provision, or legislative instrument that expressly mandates that the 13 Per cent derivation fund must be paid exclusively to state governments?

This question cannot be dismissed. It deserves serious attention from the Presidency, the National Assembly, and all institutions charged with upholding the Constitution.

The 13 per cent derivation principle is enshrined in Section 162(2) of the 1999 Constitution. The provision guarantees that not less than 13 per cent of revenues accruing directly from natural resources shall be returned under the derivation principle. However, critics of the current framework argue that while the Constitution establishes the right to derivation, it does not specifically direct that the funds must be controlled solely by state governments.

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The result is a debate that has lingered unresolved for years while the communities that host the nation’s oil wells, gas facilities, pipelines, and export terminals continue to grapple with poverty, unemployment, environmental degradation, and inadequate infrastructure.

The contradiction is difficult to ignore as Billions of naira have flowed into oil-producing states through derivation payments, yet many of the communities from which the wealth originates remain among the least developed in the country.

The Niger Delta Civil Society Forum argues that the current arrangement evolved as an administrative practice rather than an explicit constitutional requirement. Whether one agrees fully with that position or not, the arguement raises important constitutional and policy questions that deserve objective examination.

Adding weight to the debate is the acknowledgement that proposals for a dedicated 13 per cent Derivation Fund Board were previously considered at the federal level. This demonstrates that alternative frameworks have been contemplated before and should not be treated as radical or unprecedented.

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President Tinubu now has an opportunity to undertake what previous administrations avoided: a comprehensive review of the derivation fund framework to determine whether it remains faithful to the spirit and intent of the Constitution.

Such a review should not be viewed as an attack on state governments. Rather, it should focus on ensuring that derivation funds achieve their original purpose improving the welfare of the people and communities whose resources contribute significantly to the national economy.

Stakeholders have proposed the establishment of independent Derivation Fund Boards in oil-producing states, supported by a Presidential Monitoring Committee to strengthen transparency, accountability, and oversight. These proposals deserve careful consideration and broad consultation.

The issue is bigger than politics. It is about restoring confidence in public institutions and ensuring that constitutional provisions produce measurable benefits for ordinary citizens. It is about ensuring that communities that bear the environmental and social burden of oil and gas production are not left behind while others benefit from their resources.

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As the 2027 elections approach, the Niger Delta is watching closely. Citizens are demanding more than promises; they are demanding fairness, accountability, and evidence that the wealth generated from their lands is improving their lives.

President Tinubu has repeatedly pledged his commitment to economic reform, inclusive development, and the rule of law.

The 13 per cent derivation fund presents an opportunity to demonstrate that commitment in a meaningful and historic way.

The people of the Niger Delta have waited long enough. If there are constitutional ambiguities, they should be clarified. If there are administrative distortions, they should be corrected. And if the current framework is no longer serving the purpose for which it was created, then reform is not merely desirable it is necessary.

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History may well remember the leader who finally ensured that the benefits of Nigeria’s natural resources reached the communities from which those resources are drawn. President Tinubu should seize that opportunity.

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