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Did Yagba Federal Constituency Rotation Arrangement End in 2011?
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By Debo Alabi
Yagba Federal Constituency in the western Kogi senatorial zone, consists of three local councils, namely Mopamuro, Yagba East and Yagba West. In 1999, at the outset of the Fourth Republic political dispensation in Nigeria, each of the three local government areas fielded aspirants for the seat. The Peoples Democratic Party, (PDP), the dominant political association at the time, guaranteed success for its flagbearers. In the run-up to the 1999 polls, all eyes were on the PDP primaries. Shola Ojo, (Mopamuro); Tolorunjuwon Joseph Faniyi (Yagba East), Engr Sunday Karimi and Mrs Margret Orebiyi, (Yagba West) were the frontrunning aspirants. Orebiyi would later step down for Karimi. Despite the superior strength of Yagba West, which consists of 14 electoral wards, four more than Mopamuro and Yagba East with 10 electoral wards apiece, the PDP ticket was eventually decided in favour of Ojo (Mopamuro).
Ojo’s emegence was more of a consensus in an arrangement superintended by party elders under the leadership of the respected patriarch and one of the founding fathers of PDP in Nigeria, the late Chief Sunday Awoniyi. Aspirants from the two other local government areas were prevailed upon by the elders to await their turns in subsequent electoral cycles. Meanwhile, Yagba West fielded a candidate for the 1999 election in the late legal icon, Chief Tunji Arosanyin who was the flagbearer of the defunct All Peoples Party (APP). Ojo, also an attorney, hitherto domiciled in Kano, the formidable hub of commerce in northern Nigeria, went on to win the general election of that year.
Ojo served in the “Green Chamber” from 1999 to 2003. At that time, PDP’s internal, mutual understanding based on the rotation principle expressly asserted that each LGA would serve just one term, after which the position would rotate to another. Contestants for the 2003 PDP ticket included Karimi, Faniyi, Mrs Funmi Abiodun, a lawyer; the Port Harcourt based quantity surveyor and expert in the Marine sector, Bode Olorunsola and J.K Odeyemi, an engineer. The primary election was headed for a runoff between Faniyi and Karimi, but, again, the elders in their wisdom settled for a simple majority. Faniyi picked PDP ticket and he went on to defeat his opponent in the reconfigured APP, which had then become the All Nigeria People’s Party, (ANPP), Mrs Justina Abanida. Abanida, a one time Commissioner for Justice and Attorney General. Abanida, a lawyer, hails from Egbe, Yagba West Council.
For Karimi, the waiting game continued even when the seat berthed in Yagba West. Karimi lost PDP’s ticket to a fellow Yagba West opponent, Samuel Bamidele Aro.. Aro, a successful oil marketer, won the 2007 election into the House of Representatives, which took place on April 21, 2007. He defeated Bolaji Oluwafemi of the defunct Action Congress (AC) and served in the lower parliament until 2011.
The extant rotational arrangement forbade Mopamuro and Yagba East from fielding candidates for the 2007 election. In fairness to the past occupants of the seat, performance was not a yardstick for continuity. Based on the extant zoning template of the PDP, the baton was expected to be passed back to Mopamuro in 2011. However, at the conclusion of his first term in 2011, Aro, the incumbent declared his intention for a second term. Backed by the Kogi State governor at the time, Ibrahim Idris and machinery of the ruling party at the state level, Aro defeated his lone challenger for the PDP ticket, Chief Folorunsho Daniyan, (from Mopamuro). However, the outcome of 2011 primary election that threw up Aro did not sit well with the factional PDP who beckoned on Karimi to step forward in another political party.
Karimi’s name was a last-minute inclusion in the portal of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) as the candidate of Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN). In what turned out a historic protest vote, Karimi defeated PDP’s Aro in the general election held on April 9th, 2011. The strength of the PDP had been further decimated in the aftermath of the controversies that trailed its primaries. Daniyan left PDP and flew the flag of the ANPP. He came third in the general election. For the first time, in 2011, Mopamuro, Yagba West and Yagba East all fielded candidates for the House of Representatives.
The 2011 episode effectively marked the fatal end to one term and rotation of the seat in Yagba Federal Constituency.
Highlights
Karimi got the mandate of Yagba people to represent them in 2011 when he did not aspire for it from the start to the race and when it was supposed to be the turn of Mopamuro. He was not even on the list of aspirants jostling for the much-sought ticket of the PDP in that year’s primaries. He also became the first Yagba man to be reelected, thereby setting the precedence for continuity.
As the sitting Rep, Karimi (Yagba West) returned to his old party (PDP) and sought re-election in 2015. He picked the PDP ticket ahead of Kano based business tycoon, Leke Abejide (Yagba East) and successful civil engineer, Dele Obiniyi (Yagba East).
Karimi went on to win the parliamentary election held on March 28, 2015. He defeated Ganiyu Salaudeen of the Accord Party (AP/Yagba East), Kayode Adegbayo (APC/Yagba East), and Joseph Blessing of the Labour Party (LP/Mopamuro). Note again that all three LGAs fielded candidates in 2015.
Subsequently, Karimi’s record was equalled by Leke Abejide (Yagba East), now on his second term. His back-to-back victory in the 2019 and 2023 elections were achieved under the platform of lesser known African Democratic Congress (ADC).
Instructively, to further butress the point that rotation may have become a thing of the past, Abejide’s victories in both elections were far from a walkover, not for him, not for Yagba East. With the exception of Yagba West, the 2019 edition was keenly contested by aspirants from Mopamuro and Yagba East. A total of 15 candidates registered with the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to contest in the 2019 election. ADC candidate, Abejide won the election, defeating APC’s Henry Abimbola (Mopamuro), PDP’s Fabola James (Yagba East), SDP’s Oluwafemi Iselaiye (Yagba East) and 12 other candidates from Mopamuro and Yagba East. The list of candidates and their parties for the 2019 polls are as follows: Adebayo Kenneth (PPC); Oluropo Odofin Augustine (MPN); Jonathan Ayokunle Olushola (ACCORD): Balogun Blessing Olumayowa (APM); Somidire Comfort (ACPN); Atteh Oladimeji (PPN); Yusuf Mary Oluwatoyin (DA); Isah Saidu (LP); Omowaiye Ete A. (UPP); Omole David Bolorundoro (UPC) and Abdurafiu Ismail (PT).
The all-commers scenario was again replayed in 2023 when Abejide (ADC/Yagba East) ran against Folorunsho Olafemi (APC/Mopamuro), Joseph Faniyi (PDP/Yagba East).and Jeremiah Oladokun (APGA/Yagba East). The list incuded Alonge Victor Oluwabusayo (Accord), Adekunle Komolafe (NNPP), Bamigboye Sunday (ADP), Musa Lasisi (Action Alliance), Jethro Olusegun Solomon (SDP) and Obiniyi Bamidele (YPP).
Rotation Can Only Be By Negotiation, Not Entitlement Claim
Ahead of the 2027 election, a notable Yagba political figure who preferred anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the debate on the continuity of rotation representation told our reporter that based on the foregoing, if at all there would be further adherence to rotation, “it can only be by negotiation, not by entitlement claim”.
He said: “The rotational arrangement for the HOR election in Yagbaland has been a straightforward and adaptable practice since inception. This arrangement was designed to give each local government in the federal constituency a fair opportunity. The Yagba federal constituency comprises three local government areas: Yagba West, Yagba East, and Mopamuro. Historically, Mopamuro was the first local government to benefit from this arrangement in 1999 with Hon. Sola Ojo, followed by Yagba East with Hon. T.J. Faniyi in 2003. In 2007, Hon. Sam Aro benefited from the rotation, and in 2011, it was Yagba West’s turn again with Hon. Sunday Karimi, who served two terms. This two-term pattern continued with Hon. Leke Abejide from Yagba East in 2019, who is currently serving his second term. Ideally, after Hon. Leke Abejide’s second term, Mopamuro local government should be the next to benefit from the rotation and to spend their two terms. However, Mopamuro’s inconsistent adherence to the rotation has been a significant constraint.
In the last two elections, Mopamuro fielded candidates against Hon. Leke Abejide, which was unfortunate as their action demonstrated their disregard for the rotation. Mr Tuesday Abimbola and Engr Folorunsho Olafemi contested twice with Leke Abejide. If they had won, it would have also conflicted the entire process. As an experienced political figure in Yagba federal constituency, I cautioned Mopamuro aspirants to respect the rotation and not contest against Yagba East candidates. Unfortunately, my warnings were ignored, and Mopamuro’s actions have put them at a disadvantage. If Mopamuro had respected the rotation and not contested against Yagba East in the last two elections, it would have been incumbent on Yagba East not to run against them. However, since Mopamuro did contest, Yagba East’s potential third term would alter the rotation cycle, making Yagba West eligible to contest after Yagba East.
It will take a proper consultation and a United front from Mopamuro to sustain their alliance with the rotation which they had kicked against”.
As it were, from the viewpoints of public affairs analysts and political pundits, Mopamuro has held the seat one-term of four years since 1999, Yagba West had 3 terms of 12 years and Yagba East two terms of eight years. From the foregoing, Mopamuro’s agitation to have the 2027 HOR seat is not out of order. The point has also been made for the entrenchment of fairness and equity as well as the sustenance of unity within the region. One can not also rule out the fact that, with the exception of 2003 election, Mopamuro has consistently fielded candidates against candidates from Yagba West and Yagba East.
Twice in 2019 and 2023, the ruling APC conceded its tickets to Mopamuro. Both chances were lost more to internal divisions within the local government. Power is not given; it is taken. The bottomline is that 2027 election doesn’t look like one to be determined by entitlement. Rotation is achievable only by negotiation. Rotation is not a law. Mopamuro must work hard for it, speak with one voice, and present a formidable candidate, as a prerequisite for negotiation.
Effective Representation As a Factor
While the idea of rotation may seem appealing, the performance of the sitting member and the capacity to drive meaningful development and growth are key factors in effective representation, which should not be overlooked going into the 2027 election. Rotation may seem like a fair and equitable approach, but the electorate is also aware it can lead to a lack of continuity and consistency in representation. This also can result in a lack of accountability, as representatives may not feel compelled to deliver on their promises. Furthermore, rotation can lead to a focus on short-term gains rather than long-term development. Again, anyone thinking of running against an incumbent must make a careful examination of whether it can be done.
In the modern-day election pattern in Nigeria, incumbents win elections about 85 percent. An entrenched incumbent is even harder to beat than a more recently elected one. Here are some factors to consider before going into the decision of whether a challenge could be successful. The first step is to consider the overall political environment and the general mood of the electorate. Generally, there are two things that should worry incumbents.
One is whether the electorate perceives that things are on the right track. The other is whether the electorate thinks the incumbent care about them. For any sitting representative who receives favourable ratings from his people—based on these two factors—it will require an out-of
-this-world strategy for any successful challenge to happen.
● Debo Alabi, a public affairs analyst and native of Yagba, writes from Lekki, Lagos
News
ECOWAS Parliament Rallies Communities Against Irregular Migration, Modern Slavery
By Gloria Ikibah
The ECOWAS Parliament will this week launch a major grassroots campaign in The Gambia and Senegal to raise awareness of the dangers of irregular migration and modern slavery, amid growing concern over the increasing number of young West Africans embarking on perilous journeys in search of better opportunities.
In a statement by the Chief Communication Officer of the ECOWAS Parliament, Uchenna Duru-Nwaotule, it stated that the initiative is themed “One Journey, Many Risks. Ask First, Move Safely”, will be held in Banjul from 6 to 10 July before moving to Dakar from 13 to 17 July.
According to the regional parliament, the exercise will bring lawmakers into direct contact with young people, returnees, community leaders, civil society organisations and other stakeholders to discuss the risks associated with irregular migration and human trafficking.
The parliament said the engagement was designed to deepen public understanding of one of West Africa’s most pressing socio-economic and security challenges.
It noted that worsening unemployment, poverty, insecurity and limited economic opportunities continue to push many young people into dangerous migration routes across land and sea.
“Irregular migration remains one of the most pressing socio-economic and human security challenges confronting West Africa.
“Driven by unemployment, poverty, limited economic opportunities, insecurity and aspirations for better livelihoods, many young people undertake perilous migration journeys through unsafe land and maritime routes, exposing them to exploitation, trafficking in persons, forced labour, sexual exploitation, debt bondage and other forms of modern slavery”, the statement read.
The parliament observed that both The Gambia and Senegal continue to face the consequences of irregular migration as countries of origin, transit and return.
It said the campaign aims to educate vulnerable communities, while giving Members of Parliament a clearer understanding of the factors driving migration and the challenges faced by victims and returnees.
“The engagement seeks to sensitize young people and vulnerable communities on these risks, provide Members of Parliament with first-hand insight into the drivers and consequences of irregular migration, promote dialogue between parliamentarians and citizens, and generate practical recommendations to strengthen national and regional prevention, protection and reintegration efforts”, it added.
Activities in The Gambia will begin with a courtesy visit to the Minister of Interior, followed by a stakeholders’ briefing involving the ECOWAS Resident Representative, the Gambian delegation to the ECOWAS Parliament, the International Organization for Migration and the National Agency Against Trafficking in Persons.
The programme will also feature a series of community town hall meetings in Bakau, Brikama and Barra, where parliamentarians will engage residents through local-language awareness sessions, testimonies from returnees and survivors, and interactive discussions.
As part of efforts to reach young people through sport, organisers will also stage a community football event in Bakau under the campaign slogan, “One Journey, Many Risks. Ask First, Move Safely.”
The Gambian leg will conclude with a debriefing session on 10 July to review key findings and consolidate recommendations.
The second phase of the campaign will take place in Dakar, where lawmakers will engage youth groups, students, returnees, community organisations and public institutions through town hall meetings, public discussions and media outreach.
According to the ECOWAS Parliament, both engagements will rely heavily on interactive dialogue, question-and-answer sessions, as well as radio, television and community media platforms to encourage widespread public participation and strengthen awareness of the dangers associated with irregular migration and modern slavery.
News
FG Condemns Killing of Two Nigerians in South Africa, Warns ‘All Options Remain on the Table
By Gloria Ikibah
The Federal Government has strongly condemned the killing of two Nigerian nationals in South Africa, demanding swift investigations and justice for the victims while warning Pretoria that Nigeria may consider stronger measures if attacks on its citizens continue.
In a statement issued on Sunday by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the government expressed deep concern over what it described as a disturbing pattern of violence against Nigerians amid rising xenophobic tensions in South Africa.
According to the ministry, one of the victims, Emeka Charles Iroegbu, was allegedly killed by officers of the Tshwane Metro Police in Sunnyside, Pretoria, on 28 June after being subjected to what it described as “gruesome interrogation techniques.”
The ministry also recalled the death of Nnaemeka Mathew Andrew Ekpenyong, who was allegedly killed by the same officers on 20 April.
It said although the identities of the four officers involved were known to the South African Police Service, no arrests had been made.
The second victim, Musa Yunana Joe, popularly known as Big Joe, was reportedly shot dead in front of his shop in Witbank, Mpumalanga, on 28 June by unidentified gunmen.
The Federal Government said the incidents had heightened concerns over the safety of Nigerians and other foreign nationals living in South Africa.
It argued that Nigerians were unfairly being blamed for broader socio-economic problems confronting South Africa.
“These two killings come at a time when foreigners are being unduly targeted in South Africa. This raises questions about deliberate attempt by some elements to wrongfully generalise and tag well-meaning, hard-working, and respectable Nigerians as criminals. It also raises further questions over the general safety of Nigerians and other foreigners in South Africa.
“The continuing pattern of such terrible incidents is clearly evidence of complicity on the part of security operatives, especially officers of the Tshwane Metro Police, which raises the question of state responsibility under International Law.
“It is a fact that South Africa currently has one of the highest rates of crime globally, including the culture of looting and mob action. Nigerians are more civil in our engagements with foreign nationals, and we always uphold the rule of law when dealing with illegalities. It is therefore unfair to target foreigners and make them scapegoats of endemic socio-economic conditions that need to be addressed by the authorities”, the statement read.
The Nigerian government also criticised recent remarks attributed to a spokesperson for the South African government, who reportedly challenged Nigerians leaving the country during the ongoing xenophobic protests to reveal where illegal drugs were hidden.
The ministry described the comments as inflammatory.
It added that groups accused of promoting violence against foreign nationals would also be held accountable.
The unguarded public statements are unacceptable and are strongly condemned. Such derogatory, unprofessional and uncensored public statements by highly placed government officials constitute hate speech that influences and incites negative and criminal actions against members of the Nigerian community.
“The gang leaders of groups such as March on March and Operation Dudula, who incite violence and hate against fellow Africans, will also be held to account as a matter of regional and international criminal liability”, it added.
Nigeria called on the South African authorities to investigate the latest killings as well as other unresolved cases involving Nigerian citizens.
“The Government of Nigeria, therefore, calls on the South African authorities to conduct urgent investigations into the two killings and several other pending cases of extra-judicial killings of Nigerian nationals in South Africa, and ensure that the perpetrators of the heinous crimes are brought to justice without further delay.
“Our position remains that no matter what the allegations or suspicions may be, there are lawful processes and steps to justice. All must be presumed innocent and granted fair hearing in a court of law”, it stated.
The government extended its condolences to the families of the victims and advised Nigerians living in South Africa to remain vigilant while diplomatic efforts continue.
“With the volatile security situation, we appeal to our nationals to remain calm, law-abiding and security conscious, especially due to the ongoing xenophobic and afrophobic demonstrations in the country. They are advised to move to safer neighbourhoods and avoid areas that are prone to violent activities, while the Government continues to explore diplomatic solutions to address the growing scourge of Afrophobia in South Africa”, the Federal Government stated.
The ministry also stressed that South African citizens and businesses continue to operate freely in Nigeria and urged Pretoria to guarantee similar protection for Nigerians.
“The Government of Nigeria wishes to reiterate the fact that there are numerous South African nationals and businesses operating safely in Nigeria without harassment of any kind. Likewise, it is the responsibility of the South African Government to protect the lives and properties of all foreigners, including Nigerian nationals, living in the country.
“Therefore, the systematic targeting of Nigerian nationals who are legally residing in South Africa is not acceptable, and their safety should be guaranteed.
“We wish to place the Government of South Africa on notice that if the situation continues to persist, all options remain on the table, some of which will be activated if the uncultured and provocative trend of intolerance and apartheid-style behaviour of South Africa against foreigners is not addressed”,it stated.
Despite its strong stance, the Federal Government appealed to Nigerians at home to refrain from reprisals.
“The government calls on the general Nigerian public to remain calm and not take laws into their hands with retaliatory actions. We will continue to pursue dialogue and negotiations in the spirit of African unity, brotherhood and solidarity, which are the cornerstones of Nigeria’s foreign policy in resolving the unfortunate developments”, it pleaded.
The ministry added that the ongoing evacuation of Nigerians who had registered to leave South Africa will continue as planned.
News
NYSC Reforms Spark Fresh Row as Agbese Urges Tinubu to Suspend Plan
By Gloria Ikibah
A member of the House of Representatives, Philip Agbese, has urged President Bola Tinubu to suspend the Federal Government’s proposed reformsAggese to the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC), warning that some of the changes could weaken the scheme’s founding purpose and undermine Nigeria’s national defence strategy.
Agbese, who represents Ado/Okpokwu/Ogbadibo Federal Constituency of Benue State and serves on the House Committees on Youth and Defence, made the appeal in a statement issued on Sunday in Abuja.
He argued that although reforms were necessary to keep the NYSC relevant, they should not erode the institution’s core mandate of promoting national unity and preparing young Nigerians for national service.
“Reducing NYSC to a skill acquisition training centre is not healthy for our national life”, Agbese said.
His comments come days after the Minister of Youth Development, Ayodele Olawande, unveiled what the Federal Government described as the first comprehensive review of the NYSC since its establishment in 1973.
The proposed reforms include restructuring the orientation camp into three phases, introducing 11 specialised career streams from which prospective corps members will make their choice during registration, strengthening skills acquisition programmes, replacing the traditional khaki uniform with locally produced attire and appointing a civilian, rather than a military officer, to head the scheme.
The proposals have sparked debate, with supporters describing them as overdue modernisation, while critics fear they could alter the character of the national service programme.
Agbese maintained that the NYSC had evolved into far more than a youth development initiative, saying it had become a strategic national institution that had repeatedly supported the country during periods of national need.
He noted that corps members had over the years played vital roles in education, healthcare, elections and emergency response, making the scheme an important component of Nigeria’s nation-building efforts.
The lawmaker also opposed plans to place the scheme under civilian leadership, arguing that the military culture embedded in the orientation programme helps instil discipline, patriotism and national consciousness among participants.
“Instilling military training in citizens is an international practice that must be sustained”, he added.
According to him, removing that element could diminish one of the NYSC’s defining features and weaken its contribution to national preparedness.
Agbese therefore called on President Tinubu to suspend implementation of the reforms and set up a broader review committee comprising security experts, lawmakers, former NYSC officials, youth organisations and other key stakeholders.
He argued that any restructuring of the scheme should be based on extensive consultation to ensure that its original objectives are preserved while addressing contemporary challenges.
Established on 22 May 1973 by the administration of Yakubu Gowon in the aftermath of the Nigerian Civil War, the NYSC was designed to promote reconciliation, national integration and unity by deploying graduates to states outside their places of origins
Over the past five decades, the scheme has become a key platform for cultural exchange and public service, with corps members contributing to sectors facing manpower shortages while supporting government programmes ranging from healthcare campaigns to election duties and disaster response.
Although successive governments have introduced policy adjustments over the years, the current proposals represent the most extensive attempt to reshape the NYSC since its creation, fuelling a wider national conversation about the future of one of Nigeria’s most enduring institutions.
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